Carolina Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.05 to 79.5%
9-4-0   .692

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Panthers vs Packers+12.0+8.7-20.2
+8.2+7.0-13.8
+0.6+0.4-1.0
Buccaneers vs Falcons+4.7+4.5-3.5
+2.4+2.3-1.8
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Seahawks vs LA Rams-3.5+4.2+3.0
-0.0+0.2+0.0
Raiders vs Cowboys+1.3+1.3-1.1
Lions vs Bears-0.8+1.3+1.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Saints vs NY Jets-0.4+1.7+1.2
-6.9+17.6+18.7
-0.1+0.4+0.4
Vikings vs Bengals-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Panthers vs Buccaneers+9.6+7.4-19.0
+7.2+6.0-14.2
+0.5+0.4-1.0
Cowboys vs Seahawks+3.7+6.7-3.6
+0.1+0.2-0.1
Saints vs Falcons+1.9+2.7-3.4
-8.0+20.0+13.6
-0.1+0.4+0.1
Packers vs Vikings-2.3+1.5+1.6
Bengals vs Lions+1.3+1.3-1.2
Titans vs LA Rams+0.3+0.6-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Panthers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
123-0-0In69.8%132231430148,655,762
11.52-0-1In68.80134214315,655,562
112-1-099.5%19.5161369110344,981,150
1-0-2In24.9171768771,007
10.51-1-199.519.10415691208,449,260
0-0-3In28.60722639276
101-2-055.80.7001154034100245,449,216
0-1-266.30.9012243285050,921
9.50-2-144.90.30010354014102,941,739
90-3-00.8No111334014055,211,459
Total:79.5%21.9%06784017115310811,466,352
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers vs Packers-0.9-0.6+1.5
Saints vs NY Jets+0.2-0.7-0.7
Buccaneers vs Falcons-0.3-0.3+0.2
Seahawks vs LA Rams+0.1-0.3-0.1
Vikings vs Bengals+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/23100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers vs Buccaneers-0.8-0.5+1.5
Saints vs Falcons+0.2-0.7-0.3
Cowboys vs Seahawks-0.2-0.2+0.2
Titans vs LA Rams-0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
123-0-0007251761430
11.52-0-10021130111431
112-1-0012413672110
1-0-20125176627
10.51-1-1001315663120
0-0-3006226039
101-2-0000101143824310
0-1-20010166422331
9.50-2-100036296411410
90-3-00073252000
Total:001543803821711820000