Carolina Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 64.3%
4-1-0   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Lions 24 Panthers 27 +14.9
+7.5
+1.3
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +1.5
+0.2
+0.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -0.5
-0.1
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.4
-0.3
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 -0.4
+0.7
-0.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Panthers vs Eagles+10.2+3.8-10.9
+8.1-1.8-8.6
+0.9+0.3-0.9
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.8+1.2+2.1
-0.3*+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+0.9+1.2-0.8
+0.1*-0.4-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.6*+0.2+1.2
-0.1*+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.4*+0.5-0.9
+0.5*+0.1-0.9
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Saints vs Lions-0.3*+0.5+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vikings vs Packers-0.2*-0.1+0.2
+0.6*-0.3-0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Panthers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-15InYes100No4,374*
1410-1-0In98.7%99100No36,328
9-0-2InYes100No5
13.59-1-1In96.797300No3,108
8-0-3InYes100No1
139-2-0In88.08811001No166,386
8-1-2In90.39010No103
12.58-2-1In76.77720102No12,557
7-1-3InNo100No1
128-3-0100.0%52.9533271800No440,909
7-2-2In55.55630618No418
11.57-3-1100.032.332411511000No29,874
6-2-3In12.513502513No8
117-4-099.811.81228237264000No767,661
6-3-299.912.813292672130No946
10.56-4-199.23.1317291328810No45,160
5-3-3In4.85333351410No21
106-5-087.50.3041415282710200No920,225
5-4-289.60.30415172727910No1,109
9.55-5-172.30.001717163121610No45,906
4-4-360.0No72772040No15
95-6-027.4No016417292614400No769,845
4-5-225.4No1621631241450No967
8.54-6-110.1No0416223425810No31,944
3-5-35.6No6282822116No18
84-7-01.0No00014152931164000No452,237
3-6-20.2No03142931184No489
7.53-7-10.2No0015203628910No14,845
2-6-3OutNo2575No4
73-8-00.0No000041835311010No182,442
2-7-2OutNo3114035102No199
6.52-8-1OutNo01728402030No4,386
1-7-3OutNo5050No2
62-9-0OutNo01932381730No48,097
1-8-2OutNo142542173No36
5.51-9-1OutNo0220422870No772
51-10-0OutNo0626422230.0%7,482
0-9-2OutNo3367No3
4.50-10-1OutNo31633408No63
40-11-0OutNo032847221.7830
Total:64.3%13.5%131197131198654210000.0%3,989,776

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Lions 24 Panthers 27 -2.2
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.0
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers vs Eagles-1.5-0.2+1.6
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.1-0.2-0.3
Saints vs Lions+0.1-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers-0.1-0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.0+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Bears+0.0-0.1-0.0
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vikings vs Packers-0.0+0.1+0.0
Raiders vs LA Chargers+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Colts+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1511-0-0964
14.510-0-1955
1410-1-08118100
9-0-28020
13.59-1-175213000
8-0-3100
139-2-048401000010
8-1-2454610
12.58-2-134421921020
7-1-3100
128-3-0124124870107000
7-2-21441227618
11.57-3-14282616141109100
6-2-31325252513
117-4-01111018185702064000
6-3-2112101920670183300
10.56-4-103315181212118108010
5-3-35332410551010
106-5-0000459123131523312100
5-4-2003691341314243910
9.55-5-10116107313211020610
4-4-37207771340
95-6-000124037103725920000
4-5-213402793924830
8.54-6-101301067202821103100
3-5-3622221717116
84-7-00000012919242113621000
3-6-202917272413521
7.53-7-1000028172524156200
2-6-3255025
73-8-00000013816232216831000
2-7-215816242315721
6.52-8-1002817262614510
1-7-35050
62-9-0001391926231351000
1-8-231422191414113
5.51-9-1001616273016410
51-10-0003921282411300
0-9-2333333
4.50-10-151119332111
40-11-016193129112
Total:495563528683106433221111000000000