Carolina Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Panthers vs Cowboys+7.6-1.7-10.0
+4.8-1.3-6.3
+1.0-0.2-1.2
Eagles vs Falcons+0.7*-0.3-0.9
+1.7*-0.2-2.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.3*-0.5+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*-0.2-0.4
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.3*+0.4-0.4
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.3*+0.0+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Saints vs Buccaneers+0.2+0.5-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Falcons vs Panthers-9.2+1.3+12.1
-8.1+1.1+10.7
-1.0+0.2+1.4
Saints vs Browns-1.0*+0.1+1.3
-1.6*+0.2+2.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.7*+0.1+0.9
-1.6*+0.3+2.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*+0.3+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1*-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Panthers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16InYes1001,002*
1515-1-0InYes10002,131*
14.514-1-1InYes100434
1414-2-0In100.0%991016,044*
13.513-2-1In99.9982003,189*
1313-3-0In99.59450176,473
12-2-2In99.79450297
12.512-3-1In98.889900114,167*
1212-4-0In96.776201030255,151
11-3-2In97.177182031,264
11.511-4-1In94.06229406043,480
10-3-3In98.660336170
1111-5-0100.0%86.838371111210620,665
10-4-2In87.737391111213,335
10.510-5-199.978.419372031920097,214
9-4-3In82.02137204153172
1010-6-098.164.1623269241020001,156,885
9-5-298.365.46242692492006,955*
9.59-6-192.749.519241523206100164,222
8-5-394.051.2110251621226281
99-7-068.833.00212181323199300001,663,814
8-6-269.733.80213181323198200010,457*
8.58-7-137.118.8041531526231130000212,500
7-6-340.719.2031641824191141364
88-8-014.69.600191413222316820001,874,477
7-7-214.69.60191413222417720011,985*
7.57-8-13.73.4030028202823113000211,471
6-7-33.93.94192327201230355
77-9-01.31.30100027162425167101,660,611
6-8-21.01.0010171626251661010,383*
6.56-9-10.30.3000031125312171163,292
5-8-30.40.40021224312271283
66-10-00.10.1000131125312261,155,471
5-9-20.10.100031125322376,875*
5.55-10-10.00.000021029391997,471
4-9-3OutNo119343817163
55-11-00.00.000004174138622,828
4-10-2OutNo041541403,522*
4.54-11-1OutNo006326143,587
3-10-3OutNo3375959
44-12-0OutNo0022276254,290
3-11-2OutNo221771,206*
3.53-12-1OutNo0109014,202*
33-13-0OutNo0069476,575
2-12-2OutNo0595314
2.52-13-1OutNo2983,199*
22-14-0OutNo19915,978*
1.51-14-1OutNo0100447
11-15-0OutNo01002,024*
0-0.5OutNo100974*
Total:37.5%25.1%666666666666666610,582,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers vs Cowboys-1.9+0.3+2.5
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.0+0.0-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Falcons vs Panthers+2.0-0.4-2.7
Saints vs Browns+0.1-0.0-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.0+0.1+0.1
49ers vs Lions+0.1+0.1-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-010000
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-097210
13.513-2-1963200
1313-3-08685001
12-2-287750
12.512-3-1761390001
1212-4-05322191100300
11-3-25522181203
11.511-4-13329262400600
10-3-3273327661
1111-5-01226289110101211000
10-4-21226291010011111
10.510-5-12171917182301722000
9-4-3120171916541323
1010-6-00661717981169912000
9-5-2066181798115890100
9.59-6-101099151329151736100
8-5-31099161337141936
99-7-000221010821111121410510000
8-6-2002211118211111214104200
8.58-7-1003411031131120181031000
7-6-3034124216102116831
88-8-000011701042611151614116310000
7-7-2011710426121516141173100
7.57-8-1003000001613212318931000
6-7-341613202217961
77-9-0001000001251014171715106210000
6-8-20010002510151717151052100
6.56-9-100001391824231462000
5-8-301381728191582
66-10-0000000251017212115720
5-9-20000141017212116720
5.55-10-1000139212925112
4-9-31213253016102
55-11-0000012819302812
4-10-2002720292912
4.54-11-10015204133
3-10-35223736
44-12-0002103553
3-11-202113355
3.53-12-1022177
33-13-0011387
2-12-221286
2.52-13-10496
22-14-0298
1.51-14-10100
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333