Detroit Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1 to 55.8%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Lions 24 Panthers 27 -13.1
-10.8
-1.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -1.0
-0.1
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +0.7
+0.3
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.6
-0.4
-0.1
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 -0.2
+0.9
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.2
-0.8
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Lions-10.9+2.3+14.8
-3.3+0.9+4.4
-0.8+0.2+1.1
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.6+1.6+1.6
-0.2*+0.5+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Vikings vs Packers+0.4-1.4-0.5
+0.3*-0.0-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.6*+0.6+1.2
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Eagles-0.7*+0.3+0.7
+0.5+0.7-0.6
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.5*-0.5-0.9
+0.2*-0.1-0.3
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+0.7*+0.4-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lions finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1411-0-0In94.9%9550No8,930
13.510-0-1In93.6946No677
1310-1-0In76.076221010No72,220
9-0-2In63.363333No30
12.59-1-1In72.27224102No5,767
8-0-3InNo100No1
129-2-0100.0%38.63942111700No276,671
8-1-2In36.436421318No206
11.58-2-1100.027.828411511400No19,705
7-1-3In28.6291457No7
118-3-099.77.982829822400No620,837
7-2-2In7.3728328223No667
10.57-3-199.12.53162611331010No39,099
6-2-3In9.19927945No11
107-4-088.10.4051818222410200No900,574
6-3-288.50.404182123221010No1,066
9.56-4-172.00.001715173322610No49,294
5-3-364.3No7750297No14
96-5-036.60.0003115182723102000No892,202
5-4-237.5No02124182823920No1,171
8.55-5-111.1No0416233423810No41,139
4-4-3OutNo3327337No15
85-6-03.8No00202821302511200No613,090
4-5-23.8No138193426920No788
7.54-6-10.3No00017233625710No23,223
3-5-3OutNo1010502010No10
74-7-00.1No0002102535225100No292,809
3-6-2OutNo0192436255No360
6.53-7-1OutNo01930371930No8,678
2-6-3OutNo100No1
63-8-0OutNo0031737301110No94,884
2-7-2OutNo1282435111No80
5.52-8-1OutNo0318393080No2,133
52-9-0OutNo011133381510.2%20,254
1-8-2OutNo12294712No17
4.51-9-1OutNo1124234111.4285
41-10-0OutNo0073646117.52,406
0-9-2OutNo100No2
3.50-10-1OutNo6474717.617
30-11-0OutNo09504040.4436
Total:55.8%5.9%691181111109875311000.0%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Lions 24 Panthers 27 +2.2
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 +0.2
Bears 17 Vikings 20 +0.1
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 +0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +0.0
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Saints vs Lions+1.6-0.5-2.1
Vikings vs Packers-0.2+0.1+0.2
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.0-0.2-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0+0.0-0.1
Texans vs Browns+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.0+0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Chargers+0.0-0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Bears+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers-0.0-0.1+0.0
Titans vs Colts+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-07718500
13.510-0-172226
1310-1-04036211100100
9-0-23033333
12.59-1-131412221020
8-0-3100
129-2-0830311211016000
8-1-2729281413171
11.58-2-13252516151113100
7-1-329144314
118-3-0081019237801754000
7-2-21711182477016630
10.57-3-1032131610101211210010
6-2-39991891827
107-4-0000461214491321493000
6-3-20046121568151831020
9.56-4-10116863142211207100
5-3-3773614297
96-5-0000033704711920191141000
5-4-200239046121021181041
8.55-5-1003010661827221141000
4-4-3740271313
85-6-00002002013917222114620000
4-5-201301310172321136200
7.54-6-100000271625251672000
3-5-32040102010
74-7-0000001491824221462000
3-6-2041122242312410
6.53-7-100027172725156100
2-6-3100
63-8-000026152426187200
2-7-2391630211110
5.52-8-101514252818710
52-9-000271930261330
1-8-224244112
4.51-9-111120322691
41-10-0162036297
0-9-25050
3.50-10-16245318
30-11-02144340
Total:24456553657445544443222111100000