LA Rams Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 38.1%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Raiders vs LA Rams-6.4*+0.4+8.4
-4.8*+0.1+6.4
+1.3-0.4-1.7
-0.7+0.1+1.0
Broncos vs Seahawks+1.0*-0.2-1.3
+1.6*-0.1-2.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.7*-0.1-0.9
+1.7*-0.3-2.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.5*-0.0+0.6
-1.5*+0.1+1.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.3*+0.5+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.3*-0.1+0.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.1*+0.2-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
LA Rams vs Cardinals+8.9-2.2-11.7
+7.6-2.3-10.0
-1.4*+0.1+1.9
+1.0-0.2-1.4
Bears vs Seahawks+0.6*+0.2-0.9
+1.6*+0.1-2.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.6*+0.3+0.8
-1.6*+0.4+2.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.3*+0.0+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*+0.1+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LA Rams finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
15.5-16InYes100No904*
1515-1-0InYes1000No1,872*
14.514-1-1InYes100No451
1414-2-0In100.0%99100No14,714
13-1-2InYes100No49
13.513-2-1In99.99820No3,003*
1313-3-0In99.794500No70,799
12-2-2InYes973No272
12.512-3-1In99.189901No13,185*
1212-4-0In97.577191020No234,762
11-3-2In97.6771922No1,150
11.511-4-1In94.662294050No40,469
10-3-3In97.1682543No68
1111-5-0100.0%88.8393811111100No574,830
10-4-2100.089.040371111100No3,236*
10.510-5-199.979.5193720318200No90,503
9-4-3In76.12228251221No134*
1010-6-098.466.77242692391000No1,067,299
9-5-298.768.272627822810No6,383*
9.59-6-193.050.4110241523196100No151,494
8-5-392.950.02111919212270No280*
99-7-071.234.703131913231882000No1,538,396
8-6-271.034.30313181423188200No9,718*
8.58-7-137.719.1004153152622113000No195,616
7-6-339.419.1131531727181050No350*
88-8-015.510.00019151322231682000No1,730,352
7-7-214.29.101814132324167200No11,009*
7.57-8-13.53.3030028202823113000No195,782
6-7-34.54.552102029191311No375
77-9-01.31.30100027162525167100.0%1,536,722
6-8-21.11.1102616252517610No9,539*
6.56-9-10.20.200000311253121710.0151,650
5-8-3OutNo121030321861No300
66-10-00.10.1000131225312260.31,067,788
5-9-20.10.100031125322360.16,384*
5.55-10-10.00.00002103039192.189,715
4-9-3OutNo1112843171.4140*
55-11-0OutNo000418413711.3574,346
4-10-2OutNo00418403811.33,168*
4.54-11-1OutNo006326232.740,325
3-10-3OutNo5425329.857
44-12-0OutNo002227551.2234,884
3-11-2OutNo2207853.51,135
3.53-12-1OutNo00118976.013,234*
33-13-0OutNo0069485.770,564
2-12-2OutNo59588.2271
2.52-13-1OutNo29895.23,002*
22-14-0OutNo19997.414,705*
1.51-14-1OutNo010099.3420
0-1OutNo10099.72,772*
Total:38.1%25.8%66766666666666663.0%9,778,576

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Raiders vs LA Rams+1.8-0.3-2.3
Vikings vs 49ers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1-0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
LA Rams vs Cardinals-2.0+0.4+2.6
49ers vs Lions+0.1-0.0-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.0*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-010000
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-0981100
13.513-2-195320
1313-3-08785000
12-2-29163
12.512-3-177129001
1212-4-05423191100200
11-3-2542318022
11.511-4-13329272400500
10-3-3284024143
1111-5-013272810110101011000
10-4-213272710111110100
10.510-5-12172017182301622000
9-4-3219141320511841
1010-6-007718179811588110000
9-5-207719189801487110
9.59-6-11099161329141636100
8-5-3211091015481319370
99-7-00032111182111112149410000
8-6-2003211118212111214941000
8.58-7-10003511031141119181031000
7-6-31341130178201910210
88-8-000011801052712151513106310000
7-7-20117104261115171310631000
7.57-8-1003000002613212318931000
6-7-314025141923199310
77-9-00010000001261014161614106210000
6-8-21001251014161815105210
6.56-9-1000001391824221462000
5-8-311281620321441
66-10-0000001251117212014720
5-9-20001251018202114730
5.55-10-1000139212925112
4-9-31214202626111
55-11-000013920292711
4-10-2012921292711
4.54-11-1015214133
3-10-39164630
44-12-00002113651
3-11-20293553
3.53-12-1022276
33-13-0011386
2-12-2011188
2.52-13-1595
22-14-00397
1.51-14-1199
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333