Jacksonville Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 90.8%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +11.4
+6.5
+1.0
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +1.9
-1.5
+0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +1.2
+0.1
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +1.1
+0.3
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.6
-0.1
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.5
-0.1
Colts 26 49ers 23 -0.2
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.2
+0.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Jaguars vs LA Rams+2.8*+0.0-5.5
+3.5-1.8-6.8
+0.3-0.1-0.6
Texans vs Browns-0.5*+0.6+1.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Titans vs Colts-0.3+1.0+0.6
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.1*-0.2+0.4
-0.3*+0.8+1.2
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.2*+0.3+0.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bears-0.1*-0.3+0.2
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.1*+0.0-0.2
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.1*+0.4-0.1
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
Chiefs vs Steelers-3.0+2.0+6.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jaguars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1411-0-0In80.9%81190No88,812
13.510-0-1In79.680200No6,281
1310-1-0In59.459401000No400,248
9-0-2In54.054451No226
12.59-1-1In51.25147200No25,518
8-0-3InNo5050No2
129-2-0In30.731608010No815,731
8-1-2In31.33159900No744
11.58-2-1In19.3196415110No46,999
7-1-3In12.513631313No8
118-3-0100.0%8.08542844100No994,445
7-2-2In7.375826531No1,185
10.57-3-199.82.223841105200No50,914
6-2-3InNo31636No16
107-4-097.40.61204019892000No803,903
6-3-297.91.0119411981020No1,136
9.56-4-193.00.00630357156100No35,635
5-3-3InNo206020No5
96-5-071.80.00216325171792000No451,204
5-4-273.7No318335161962No666
8.55-5-147.4No043211022209200No17,215
4-4-362.5No38252513No8
85-6-022.9No011804142322134100No179,192
4-5-223.8No1160612222412510No269
7.54-6-19.5No90211262917510No5,745
3-5-3OutNo100No1
74-7-03.0No030014132427197100No50,377
3-6-23.0No3351515202983No66
6.53-7-10.7No101924342281No1,291
2-6-3OutNo5050No2
63-8-00.2No00031125302271No9,953
2-7-2OutNo502525No8
5.52-8-1OutNo192341232No206
52-9-0OutNo03143136152.2%1,306
1-8-2OutNo100No1
4.51-9-1OutNo225028No18
41-10-0OutNo119395119.5128
30-11-0OutNo138761.5312
Total:90.8%16.9%173620104432111000000.0%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -2.3
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -0.2
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 -0.1
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 -0.1
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +0.0
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.8+0.1+1.5
Texans vs Browns+0.1-0.1-0.3
Titans vs Colts+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chiefs vs Steelers+0.0+0.1-0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bears+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Patriots-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-07831900
13.510-0-17552000
1310-1-0501039010000
9-0-24684501
12.59-1-135164622000
8-0-35050
129-2-016155288000100
8-1-216155189000
11.58-2-141543211411100
7-1-31350131313
118-3-017272723540401000
7-2-217312722550201
10.57-3-102533222091422000
6-2-3131931316
107-4-0012181425155448121000
6-3-211171526154349120
9.56-4-1006228152116785200
5-3-3206020
96-5-0002016102304611268731000
5-4-2301782455112610620
8.55-5-104230101039141493100
4-4-33825131313
85-6-001117004001381520171041000
4-5-2116060381322177410
7.54-6-10900015122224168200
3-5-3100
74-7-00030000139192622134100
3-6-23561727231262
6.53-7-11014132326209200
2-6-35050
63-8-00001514252918710
2-7-21325252513
5.52-8-1038173125134
52-9-001720342792
1-8-2100
4.51-9-1611441722
41-10-0313194620
30-11-0053362
Total:116231311955223211111111100000000000