Jacksonville Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.06 to 32.5%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 -9.4
-8.1
+0.1
-0.9
Titans 0 Ravens 21 +1.4
+4.5
+0.1
Texans 20 Bills 13 -0.9
-1.4
-0.1
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 -0.4
-0.1
NY Jets 42 Colts 34 +0.4
+0.8
Browns 14 LA Chargers 38 -0.3
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 -0.2
-0.0
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 *+0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars vs Texans+12.6-0.1-14.5
+12.2*+0.1-14.0
-0.3-0.2+0.4
+1.2-0.1-1.4
LA Chargers vs Titans+1.2+0.9-2.3
+2.0+1.1-3.8
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Colts vs Bills-0.5+0.7+0.9
-0.6+0.7+1.0
Chiefs vs Bengals+0.3*+0.1-0.5
Dolphins vs Lions-0.2*-0.0+0.3
NY Jets vs Vikings-0.2-0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Saints-0.1+0.2+0.3
Bears vs Patriots+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Buccaneers vs Browns+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Broncos+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Falcons vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1+0.0
49ers vs LA Rams+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jaguars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
1310-0-0InYes821800No154,116
12.59-0-1InYes742510No20,248
129-1-0In99.9%45468000No1,487,165
8-0-2In99.9474670No1,385
11.58-1-1In99.6315017200No196,862
7-0-3InYes1558235No40
118-2-0100.0%97.710433682000No7,200,016
7-1-2In98.5114535810No11,263
6-0-4InYes6733No3
10.57-2-199.995.442745203100No842,758
6-1-399.794.22314318420No380
107-3-097.885.20103936672000No20,536,143
6-2-298.387.3110403656200No43,126
5-1-4In75.038381313No8
9.56-3-191.977.002215451062000No2,098,127
5-2-393.279.403235459510No1,272
96-4-066.753.300845211171141000No38,232,236
5-3-269.055.8094721116113100No92,064
4-2-476.266.7244310195No21
8.55-4-144.139.70139041421155100No3,336,362
4-3-344.439.72380514191650No2,194
85-5-017.516.8001701618272182000No48,527,160
4-4-218.117.30170161828218100No121,532
3-3-413.913.91431725366No36
7.54-5-18.38.308000417322710200No3,518,864
3-4-37.97.98041832261020No2,282
74-6-01.61.602001519322712200No42,538,039
3-5-21.51.5101519322712200No101,948
2-4-4OutNo61241356No17
6.53-6-10.30.3000031634311320No2,460,997
2-5-30.20.20131734311320No1,483
63-7-00.00.0000151934291110.0%25,417,457
2-6-20.00.000051934301110.053,784
1-5-4OutNo204040No5
5.52-7-10.00.00000521392960.11,099,378
1-6-3OutNo0062138278No457
52-8-0OutNo000192942191.79,908,904
1-7-2OutNo0182943201.715,975
4.51-8-1OutNo0011447376.5285,242
0-7-3OutNo11455306.577
41-9-0OutNo006355923.22,273,578
0-8-2OutNo04336323.42,013
3.50-9-1OutNo01247644.632,792
30-10-0OutNo00118965.2251,023
Total:32.5%28.4%13718135791010976420.4%210,868,832
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +1.8
Titans 0 Ravens 21 -0.2
Texans 20 Bills 13 +0.1
Bengals 21 Steelers 28 -0.1
Redskins 23 Panthers 17 -0.0
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 +0.0
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
Jaguars vs Texans-2.4+0.1+2.7
LA Chargers vs Titans-0.1-0.1+0.1
Chiefs vs Bengals-0.1-0.0+0.1
Falcons vs NY Giants+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Lions-0.0-0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Panthers-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Vikings-0.0+0.1+0.0
49ers vs LA Rams+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cardinals vs Broncos-0.0-0.1+0.0
Colts vs Bills+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0453718000
12.59-0-1363724110
129-1-010353978000000
8-0-2103837870
11.58-1-152638121702000
7-0-331340182035
118-2-0110192431580200000
7-1-2011202530580100
6-0-4333333
10.57-2-1047203311190311000
6-1-321021331018420
107-3-00019162330642602000
6-2-2111016243063250200
5-1-42513381313
9.56-3-10024173717238262000
5-2-300241936182381520
96-4-000008162902561313620000
5-3-200817300256111262000
4-2-4241429551014
8.55-4-100163300035141813520000
4-3-3253300451317146100
85-5-000011600011310171916105100000
4-4-201160011391720171051000
3-3-4143118172214633
7.54-5-1008000002614222316720000
3-4-308026152421147200
74-6-0002000000261320221810410000
3-5-20100026132023191141000
2-4-46182462424
6.53-6-10000013102026221241000
2-5-30003112026221341
63-7-0000001512212521114100
2-6-20001411202521124100
1-5-42020202020
5.52-7-100001514262918610
1-6-3141627281572
52-8-00001310222923102
1-7-2001310223023102
4.51-8-100172336267
0-7-3161842266
41-9-000029273923
0-8-2028264023
3.50-9-101134245
30-10-00053065
Total:011234711112133445444555444332210