San Francisco Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Vikings vs 49ers-7.8+1.5+10.3
-4.9+1.5+6.4
-0.9+0.2+1.2
Broncos vs Seahawks+1.0*+0.3-1.3
+1.6+0.5-2.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+1.0*+0.4-1.3
+1.6*+0.3-2.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.4*+0.2+0.6
-1.4*+0.1+1.8
Lions vs NY Jets-0.3+0.6+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.3*-0.1+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
49ers vs Lions+7.6-1.2-10.0
+4.7-0.5-6.2
+1.0-0.1-1.3
Bears vs Seahawks+0.7*+0.0-0.9
+1.7*+0.1-2.2
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*-0.1+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.3*-0.3+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the 49ers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16InYes100979*
1515-1-0InYes10002,047*
14.514-1-1InYes1000433
1414-2-0In99.9%9910016,023*
13.513-2-1In99.998203,184
1313-3-0In99.494500176,862
12-2-2In99.39451302
12.512-3-1In98.89090114,243*
1212-4-0In96.276191040254,994
11-3-2In96.87619131,234
11.511-4-1In93.86129306043,541
10-3-3In91.459293958
1111-5-0100.0%85.3383611114100622,829
10-4-2100.086.3393610113103,476*
10.510-5-199.978.119371931920097,728
9-4-3In83.52139204151164
1010-6-098.061.562225826112001,155,682
9-5-298.362.87232582610207,034*
9.59-6-192.848.819241524206100163,782
8-5-392.244.11102112272171281
99-7-067.730.30211161324209300001,662,432
8-6-269.330.8021217142420820010,455*
8.58-7-136.818.2003153152623113000210,616
7-6-337.120.1041641322251231423
88-8-013.48.3001814132224178200001,876,481
7-7-213.68.11715122224188200012,062*
7.57-8-13.43.103002820282311300211,252
6-7-32.62.320371825281141387
77-9-01.01.00100027162425177201,662,748
6-8-20.80.8100161625251771010,396*
6.56-9-10.20.2000031125312171163,333
5-8-30.30.30041225302072325
66-10-00.00.00000131125312261,152,960
5-9-20.00.000031125322266,782*
5.55-10-10.00.000021029391996,970
4-9-3OutNo17364015151
55-11-00.00.0000004174138623,350
4-10-2OutNo0031741383,346*
4.54-11-1OutNo006326243,768
3-10-3OutNo9365567
44-12-0OutNo0022276254,279
3-11-2OutNo0221781,212*
3.53-12-1OutNo0108914,227*
33-13-0OutNo069476,830
2-12-2OutNo496285
2.52-13-1OutNo02983,243*
22-14-0OutNo019915,921*
1.51-14-1OutNo0100444*
11-15-0OutNo01002,009*
0-0.5OutNo100978*
Total:37.0%23.9%666676666666666610,582,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Vikings vs 49ers+1.9-0.4-2.4
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.1-0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.1-0.0+0.1
Saints vs Buccaneers+0.1-0.0-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
49ers vs Lions-1.9+0.2+2.4
Bears vs Seahawks-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Cowboys vs NY Giants+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.0-0.0-0.1
LA Rams vs Cardinals+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-09900
14.514-1-11000
1414-2-0972100
13.513-2-196220
1313-3-086850001
12-2-288651
12.512-3-177139001
1212-4-05323181100400
11-3-2552119013
11.511-4-13329272300600
10-3-32434282372
1111-5-01226279100101311000
10-4-213262610100112110
10.510-5-12172017182301732000
9-4-3418201918241321
1010-6-006616169811791012000
9-5-2066171798116109120
9.59-6-11099151329151736100
8-5-3119913111819174610
99-7-000022109721111131511520000
8-6-20022101073121212151042000
8.58-7-10003410031141120181031000
7-6-300331341128181714500
88-8-000011601042611151615117310000
7-7-2011610526121617141063100
7.57-8-1003000002513212318931000
6-7-320125131826181032
77-9-000100000125914171715106210000
6-8-210000025915181815105210
6.56-9-1000001391824221462000
5-8-300121014242615621
66-10-0000000251017212115720
5-9-2000241017212115720
5.55-10-1000139202925112
4-9-31110233022131
55-11-0000002819302812
4-10-202719312812
4.54-11-1015204132
3-10-314254028
44-12-00002103553
3-11-201113355
3.53-12-10022176
33-13-0011287
2-12-20990
2.52-13-10496
22-14-000397
1.51-14-10100
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333