Minnesota Playoff Chances

Beat Bears 20-17, playoff odds up 9.9 to 34.3%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Bears 17 Vikings 20 +7.4
+0.9
-0.1
+0.8
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
Lions 24 Panthers 27 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 -0.3
+0.1
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.3
-0.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.1
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.0
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Vikings vs Packers+11.2-2.3-13.0
+1.8-0.7-2.0
+0.9-0.2-1.1
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.5*+0.5+1.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.5*+0.2+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.5*-0.5-1.0
+0.1*-0.2-0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Eagles-0.5*-0.2+0.6
+0.3*-0.1-0.4
Saints vs Lions+0.4*+0.2-0.5
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+0.5*-0.2-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vikings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1411-0-0In99.2%991No1,718
13.510-0-1In96.4964No138
1310-1-0In89.489901No16,644
9-0-2InYes100No4
12.59-1-1In76.7771913No1,491
129-2-0In55.4553140100No91,033
8-1-2In61.46131313No70
11.58-2-1In32.23238111180No7,695
7-1-3InYes100No1
118-3-099.8%13.9143018330400No295,896
7-2-299.714.615361432930No295
10.57-3-198.83.03152383812100No22,106
6-2-3InNo14291443No7
107-4-089.00.616141032279100No622,465
6-3-289.80.61314113327910No707
9.56-4-167.60.0015101735247100No40,051
5-3-3InNo15231546No13
96-5-036.40.0002662332228100No890,687
5-4-235.0No0167213123102No1,080
8.55-5-18.2No0215213526910No48,357
4-4-35.6No61739336No18
85-6-02.5No00102102432228100No883,528
4-5-22.4No121022322391No1,089
7.54-6-10.1No0016223726710No39,698
3-5-3OutNo1783342No12
74-7-00.0No00002113034184000No608,416
3-6-2OutNo11231322030No641
6.53-7-1OutNo011031381730No21,148
2-6-3OutNo14291443No7
63-8-0OutNo005223827710No283,459
2-7-2OutNo6214323710No287
5.52-8-1OutNo0423412650No7,344
52-9-0OutNo0021637331110.0%85,491
1-8-2OutNo29363122No58
4.51-9-1OutNo0216433271.21,474
0-8-3OutNo100No1
41-10-0OutNo01123639123.015,008
0-9-2OutNo14571414No7
3.50-10-1OutNo110543420.7116
30-11-0OutNo011454328.51,516
Total:34.3%2.9%3443910111111119641000.0%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -1.6
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 +0.1
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 +0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +0.1
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 -0.1
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.1
Lions 24 Panthers 27 -0.1
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Vikings vs Packers-1.8+0.4+2.1
Texans vs Browns+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bears+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Saints vs Lions-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.0-0.1-0.0
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0-0.1-0.0
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.0+0.1+0.0
Raiders vs LA Chargers+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-080191
13.510-0-172254
1310-1-0444591010
9-0-25050
12.59-1-1354118113
129-2-01045229400910
8-1-211501714313
11.58-2-1428231510111620
7-1-3100
118-3-0013921135302284000
7-2-21141026853023530
10.57-3-103213139702513120100
6-2-314291443
107-4-0010541073122022510100
6-3-210341083122123491
9.56-4-100115553142312238100
5-3-315815882323
96-5-000002241681524241231000
5-4-20124167142624113000
8.55-5-10021057202822113100
4-4-36622441111
85-6-00000100215142324179310000
4-5-2121414222318115000
7.54-6-10000028182524156100
3-5-33325338
74-7-00000000261421231810410000
3-6-20171321222010310
6.53-7-100039192724134100
2-6-329431414
63-8-00001381825231562000
2-7-2012715242715720
5.52-8-1001718282614510
52-9-00002819272413410
1-8-272124221772
4.51-9-10031024302481
0-8-3100
41-10-00015162930153
0-9-229292914
3.50-10-118284221
30-11-015244228
Total:12132222456577666544443322110000