Minnesota Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.9 to 36.1%
3-2-1   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 +6.5
+2.8
-0.8
+0.8
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 +1.2
+3.0
+0.1
Raiders 3 Seahawks 27 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Packers 33 49ers 30 -0.7
-1.1
-0.0
Falcons 34 Buccaneers 29 +0.6
+0.1
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 -0.6
-0.1
Redskins 23 Panthers 17 +0.4
NY Giants 13 Eagles 34 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Vikings-8.0+3.2+12.8
-4.9+1.5+7.8
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.7+0.4+1.2
Bears vs Patriots-1.3+0.7+1.8
-2.8+1.7+4.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dolphins vs Lions+0.8-0.3-1.1
+0.8-0.3-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Eagles vs Panthers+0.1+1.0-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Buccaneers vs Browns-0.5*+0.1+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.4*-0.0-0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Falcons vs NY Giants-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Redskins vs Cowboys+0.0+0.4-0.0
49ers vs LA Rams-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Broncos-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vikings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
13.510-0-0InYes79210No89,670
139-0-1InYes57430No11,610
12.59-1-0In99.8%5345200No904,300
8-0-2InYes53461No845
128-1-1In99.23164501No127,366
7-0-3InYes2476No34
11.58-2-0100.0%95.82260130400No4,973,567
7-1-2In96.7236112030No8,087
6-0-4InYes100No1
117-2-1100.090.91157222900No621,437
6-1-3In94.58691850No291
10.57-3-099.978.233534720200No16,025,773
6-2-299.979.33363461920No34,018
5-1-4In80.0404020No5
106-3-199.064.01203211269100No1,740,642
5-2-399.165.111933112681No1,014
9.56-4-093.342.7042019282361000No33,540,922
5-3-293.443.30420192822610No80,569
4-2-495.739.130930264No23
95-4-174.324.90191419301961000No3,101,500
4-3-372.924.511014202920610No2,010
3-2-5InNo100No1
8.55-5-035.410.70019420322381000No47,562,503
4-4-235.410.5019520322381000No119,264
3-3-446.27.7883119314No26
84-5-113.13.40031824302192000No3,642,918
3-4-311.43.40317243123820No2,413
7.54-6-01.20.7010041530301540000No46,270,609
3-5-21.10.70100415303015400No111,355
2-4-44.04.04123620208No25
73-6-10.10.1000016183028133000No2,814,728
2-5-30.10.1001518312814300No1,616
6.53-7-00.00.00000210273521500No30,504,607
2-6-20.00.0000210273521500No64,333
1-5-4OutNo1020203020No10
62-7-10.00.00000416333112200.0%1,381,090
1-6-3OutNo14133533131No625
5.52-8-0OutNo00021233371520.013,032,316
1-7-2OutNo0021233371520.021,112
0-6-4OutNo2575No4
51-8-1OutNo001727412130.3390,956
0-7-3OutNo623373141.0104
4.51-9-0OutNo00062845214.83,255,042
0-8-2OutNo062846204.52,922
40-9-1OutNo0425472410.248,847
3.50-10-0OutNo005356039.2377,722
Total:36.1%19.4%157689109998764210.1%210,868,832
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 -1.6
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 -0.1
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +0.1
Packers 33 49ers 30 +0.1
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Vikings+1.6-1.0-2.6
Bears vs Patriots+0.2-0.1-0.2
Dolphins vs Lions-0.1-0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Panthers-0.0-0.1+0.0
Falcons vs NY Giants+0.0-0.1-0.0
Redskins vs Cowboys+0.0-0.1-0.0
Jaguars vs Texans+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
13.510-0-0754210
139-0-145124300
12.59-1-038154512000
8-0-236174601
128-1-1121956850010
7-0-39156512
11.58-2-06164911120040000
7-1-261750111200300
6-0-4100
117-2-111025311932072000
6-1-383336143410
10.57-3-003926258601362000
6-2-20392625960126200
5-1-4404020
106-3-101119122010191772100
5-2-311181320101917721
9.56-4-0004317145423149610000
5-3-200431714542314961000
4-2-4426443013134
95-4-1001097811872316720000
4-3-310978119722169200
3-2-5100
8.55-5-0000127041208172013510000
4-4-2001270512081820135100
3-3-4883141212198
84-5-10000301082918231810410000
3-4-3003107210182320115100
7.54-6-00010000003919262313510000
3-5-200100001391925221351000
2-4-444816322844
73-6-100000000026142223179410000
2-5-300002713222417951000
6.53-7-000000001513232619930000
2-6-2000151323261993000
1-5-42010302020
62-7-1000014122125201141000
1-6-3131221252012410
5.52-8-000002718282614410
1-7-20002718282714410
0-6-4252550
51-8-1000292029241230
0-7-3351536271131
4.51-9-000002102635225
0-8-202102635224
40-9-1001519343110
3.50-10-0002154339
Total:01233433263634543565434433221100