Atlanta Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.1 to 56.5%
3-1-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +1.5
+0.2
+0.1
Lions 24 Panthers 27 -0.7
+0.6
-0.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -0.6
-0.1
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.5
-0.5
-0.0
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 +1.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Falcons vs Dolphins+4.9-7.1-13.3
+1.9-4.1-5.0
+0.4-0.6-1.0
Panthers vs Eagles-0.9*-0.8+1.0
+1.1-0.6-1.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.5*+0.6+1.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+1.0*+0.2-0.8
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.5*-0.7-1.0
+0.3*-0.0-0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vikings vs Packers-0.1-1.2+0.1
+0.5-0.8-0.6
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Saints vs Lions-0.2*+0.4+0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Falcons finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1512-0-0InYes100No1,704
14.511-0-1In99.4%991No157
1411-1-0In98.69910No16,723
10-0-2In50.05050No2
13.510-1-1In94.39460No1,593
9-0-3InYes100No1
1310-2-0In89.9909001No88,416
9-1-2In85.58614No76
12.59-2-1In72.57324202No7,912
8-1-3In50.05050No2
129-3-0In60.761304050No278,154
8-2-2In60.6613036No312
11.58-3-1In29.93040161130No21,821
7-2-3InNo503317No6
118-4-099.9%18.4183420422200No577,973
7-3-2In17.51736214202No766
6-2-4InNo100No1
10.57-4-199.32.83162711321010No39,762
6-3-3InNo241212476No17
107-5-093.71.018181433216100No836,089
6-4-294.70.4072014342051No1,217
5-3-4InNo100No1
9.56-5-171.50.001614173322610No49,717
5-4-366.7No13844233No24
96-6-043.80.0002882534174100No857,095
5-5-242.0No018725361651No1,248
4-4-4OutNo100No1
8.55-6-19.7No0316223424810No43,617
4-5-35.3No511324211No19
85-7-02.9No00102142831186100No633,673
4-6-23.1No0021125341961No950
7.54-7-10.1No0016213627810No26,391
3-6-3OutNo175033No6
74-8-00.0No0003132934183000No333,601
3-7-2OutNo021030342040No446
6.53-8-1OutNo01828411930No11,053
2-7-3OutNo100No3
63-9-0OutNo0004204127600No121,695
2-8-2OutNo1320432822No123
5.52-9-1OutNo00322432660No2,936
1-8-3OutNo100No1
52-10-0OutNo02164033910.0%29,122
1-9-2OutNo65022176No18
4.51-10-1OutNo0318433250.8490
41-11-0OutNo114413591.24,231
0-10-2OutNo5050No2
3.50-11-1OutNo9504121.932
30-12-0OutNo0117414017.9577
Total:56.5%10.0%109861311119765311000.0%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Lions 24 Panthers 27 +0.2
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.1
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 -0.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 +0.0
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 +0.0
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.0
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 +0.0
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.9+1.3+2.3
Panthers vs Eagles+0.1+0.1-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Vikings vs Packers-0.0+0.1+0.0
Saints vs Lions+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers-0.1+0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.0+0.1+0.1
Texans vs Browns+0.0+0.0-0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0-0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Bears+0.0*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1512-0-0964
14.511-0-189101
1411-1-08019100
10-0-25050
13.510-1-1722260
9-0-3100
1310-2-047439000010
9-1-2463914
12.59-2-132412222020
8-1-35050
129-3-01348228400500
8-2-211502293051
11.58-3-13272515151101210
7-2-317333317
118-4-01181222154401752000
7-3-2116132316541552
6-2-4100
10.57-4-103214171111121119010
6-3-32412124166
107-5-001176121131419183600
6-4-2007713123142018250
5-3-4100
9.56-5-10116863142211216100
5-4-38484251733
96-6-00000235181115311951000
5-5-200135161114322051
4-4-4100
8.55-6-100201067202821103100
4-5-353726265
85-7-000010022112226201141000
4-6-2000229202622133100
7.54-7-10000028172524156100
3-6-33317171717
74-8-0000001391825231462000
3-7-213816232415810
6.53-8-10028182725155100
2-7-33367
63-9-0001311222721113100
2-8-2472329221131
5.52-9-101616282716510
1-8-3100
52-10-0003112430219200
1-9-22211282811
4.51-10-131026322161
41-11-002823322591
0-10-25050
3.50-11-16442822
30-12-0211274218
Total:37464442677496554322221111000000