American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Steelers +0.1, Ravens -0.1
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsFirst SeedChance will finish regular season at seedFirst Pick
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Chiefs5-0-01.0005396.8%-0.058.0%+0.058145215311000000002.30.0%1.633Kansas City
Jaguars3-2-0.6005690.8+0.016.9-0.0173620104432111000003.10.0-0.011.653Jacksonville
Broncos13-1-0.7502468.5+0.09.7-0.010531351597543211005.80.010.576Denver
Bills3-2-0.6001568.2+0.06.3+0.061318176877543221005.30.02.560Buffalo
Steelers3-2-0.6001062.8+0.13.4+0.03917254677654321105.8+0.010.0-0.018.537Pittsburgh
Ravens3-2-0.600-748.6-0.11.5-0.0251115610109876532106.9-0.010.1-0.019.474Baltimore
Patriots3-2-0.600645.0-0.11.6-0.027101061099887643107.2-0.010.0-0.04.517New England
Texans2-3-0.4001431.1+0.00.5-0.00444712121111108753218.30.1-0.012.540Houston
NY Jets3-2-0.600-1424.9-0.00.9-0.01344581011111010975308.80.1-0.015.451NY Jets
Bengals2-3-0.400122.8+0.00.4+0.0024836791011111096419.20.2-0.023.504Cincinnati
Raiders2-3-0.400-117.0-0.00.6+0.011006910101011111097419.70.2-0.016.497Oakland
Titans2-3-0.400-3210.1-0.00.1+0.00112245789111212119411.01.4-0.120.408Tennessee
Dolphins12-2-0.500-268.7+0.00.1+0.001122356791013141310311.20.8-0.121.394Miami
Colts2-3-0.400-622.6+0.00.00000112345791319251013.03.8-0.230.347Indianapolis
LA Chargers1-4-0.200-161.9-0.00.00000112345791319231513.23.1-0.224.447LA Chargers
Browns0-5-0.000-470.1+0.00.000000000011259186415.235.4-1.332.358Cleveland

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Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/5
Raiders 17 Ravens 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars+1.1
Steelers-1.5
+0.5
Ravens+12.7
+0.6
-0.7
+1.4
Patriots+0.5
Texans+1.1
Raiders-15.9
-2.1
-1.2
Titans+0.7
LA Chargers+0.8
Browns-0.6
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars+11.4
+6.5
+1.0
Broncos-0.8
+0.6
Bills-0.4
+0.9
Steelers-6.0
-8.8
-0.8
Ravens+1.4
Patriots-0.6
Texans-2.4
-0.2
Bengals+1.3
Raiders-1.1
Titans-1.8
Browns+0.5
Texans 34 Chiefs 42
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Chiefs+5.5
+11.0
+0.6
Jaguars+1.9
-1.5
Broncos+1.0
-0.9
Bills+0.4
-1.9
Steelers-2.2
Patriots+0.5
-0.6
Texans-12.8
-3.3
-1.0
Raiders+1.3
-0.3
Titans+1.1
Colts+0.5
LA Chargers-0.5
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars-0.6
Broncos-1.0
Bills-2.0
-0.2
Patriots+9.3
+0.8
+0.9
Texans-1.1
NY Jets-1.0
Raiders-1.2
Titans-0.5
Bengals 20 Bills 16
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Chiefs+1.6
Jaguars+0.8
Broncos+1.0
Bills-7.1
-6.0
-0.7
Steelers-1.0
+1.4
Patriots+1.1
Texans+0.5
+0.5
NY Jets+0.6
Bengals+5.0
-1.1
+0.9
LA Chargers+0.4
Dolphins 16 Titans 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars+1.2
Broncos+0.6
Texans+0.8
Raiders+0.4
Titans-6.3
-0.4
+0.6
-0.8
Dolphins+2.2
-2.1
+0.7
Colts+0.5
Browns+0.4
Browns 14 NY Jets 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars-0.5
Broncos-0.5
Bills-0.8
Ravens-0.4
Patriots-0.7
Texans-0.7
NY Jets+6.1
+0.4
-0.6
+1.0
Raiders-0.6
Dolphins-0.7
Colts-1.3
LA Chargers-1.5
Browns-0.4
No
+9.4
-0.6
Colts 26 49ers 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Colts+1.0
-5.9
+0.5
Browns-0.4
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
LA Chargers+0.6
-7.6
+0.5
Browns-1.0
Bears 17 Vikings 20
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Browns-0.7
Cowboys 31 Packers 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Browns-0.5
Week of 10/12
NY Jets vs PatriotsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Patriots33.0*46.058.3
0.6*1.52.8
8.37.06.1
NY Jets35.423.413.4
1.50.50.3
7.79.010.0
Chiefs vs SteelersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Chiefs98.3*97.193.6
65.954.640.8
2.02.32.9
Jaguars13.918.823.4
Steelers57.0*63.975.8
0.8*3.79.1
6.45.74.7
Ravens49.9*48.945.8
1.2*1.62.1
6.86.97.1
Bengals23.6*22.220.9
0.3*0.40.6
9.29.39.4
Texans vs BrownsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Broncos68.0*69.270.2
5.8*5.85.7
Texans35.627.016.9
0.6*0.40.1
0.0*0.10.3
7.88.69.7
Browns0.1*0.20.4
No*No0.0
40.326.420.3
15.415.014.7
Ravens vs BearsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Steelers61.1*62.366.9
5.95.95.6
Ravens54.244.635.8
1.91.00.6
6.57.27.9
Bengals21.7*23.625.1
9.39.29.1
Browns34.5*35.337.6
Broncos vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Chiefs96.8*97.197.1
57.359.960.5
2.32.12.1
Broncos72.165.256.1
11.06.65.0
5.66.16.7
Browns34.0*36.040.4
Raiders vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Raiders21.913.38.3
0.80.30.1
0.10.40.5
9.010.110.9
LA Chargers0.7*1.94.0
4.3*3.21.0
13.712.812.2
Titans vs ColtsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Titans13.18.24.3
0.60.82.9
10.311.112.2
Colts1.22.25.1
5.22.61.0
13.513.011.9
Jaguars vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Chiefs56.259.661.6
2.32.32.2
Jaguars93.7*90.885.3
20.415.110.0
2.83.23.7
Texans30.1*30.932.9
8.3*8.38.1
Falcons vs DolphinsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Dolphins6.5*9.014.4
1.0*0.80.1
11.611.210.2
Redskins vs 49ersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Browns34.036.838.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.