How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 +0.6
-7.6
+0.5
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.1
-0.4
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -1.5
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -0.5
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +0.8
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.4
-0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -0.3
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.1
Bears 17 Vikings 20 -0.1
Colts 26 49ers 23 *-0.1
-0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Raiders vs LA Chargers-1.2*+0.0+2.1
+1.2*+0.1-2.1
-0.6+0.4+1.0
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.1*+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.5+0.9
Texans vs Browns-0.1*+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.6+0.6
Ravens vs Bears-0.1*+0.3+0.2
-0.1*+0.3+0.3
Chiefs vs Steelers+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.0*+0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Titans vs Colts-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.2*+0.3+0.5
Cardinals vs Buccaneers+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1211-0-0In51.6%5251421No461
11.510-0-1In42.9431048No21
1110-1-099.9%13.31311306390No2,746
10.59-1-199.41.8272165231No331
109-2-092.00.512314837800No21,836
8-1-292.9No64297No14
9.58-2-178.6No01129471830No2,248
7-1-3InNo100No1
98-3-041.60.0000193234185100No101,826
7-2-234.7No629421742No98
8.57-3-115.5No00214333215400No9,103
6-2-3OutNo5050No2
87-4-02.5No00021024302292000No306,513
6-3-22.8No31026292291No363
7.56-4-10.1No0210253322810No24,161
5-3-3OutNo11443311No9
76-5-00.0No0001617292815300No630,359
5-4-2OutNo0161727331430No806
6.55-5-1OutNo0016213528910No41,529
4-4-3OutNo62941186No17
65-6-0OutNo0015183432101No900,468
4-5-2OutNo14173235110No1,147
5.54-6-1OutNo01829421920.0%48,764
3-5-3OutNo62447186No17
54-7-0OutNo00110364390.0895,372
3-6-2OutNo18354511No1,093
4.53-7-1OutNo0042750180.937,994
2-6-3OutNo256313No8
43-8-0OutNo011251362.0601,165
2-7-2OutNo0946442.4594
3.52-8-1OutNo05415415.618,907
1-7-3OutNo100No2
32-9-0OutNo02297021.7262,211
1-8-2OutNo2267222.9179
2.51-9-1OutNo00148657.75,324
0-8-3OutNo100Yes1
21-10-0OutNo079363.965,737
0-9-2OutNo10066.724
1.50-10-1OutNo19991.6618
10-11-0OutNo10092.67,707
Total:1.9%0.0%000011234579131923153.1%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 -1.4
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +0.2
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.1
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.1
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Raiders vs LA Chargers+1.0+0.1-1.8
Chiefs vs Steelers-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1+0.1
Redskins vs 49ers-0.0+0.1+0.1
Texans vs Browns+0.0+0.1-0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Titans vs Colts+0.0+0.1-0.0
Panthers vs Eagles+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Lions+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1211-0-024285114101
11.510-0-110331048
1110-1-00132921004220900
10.59-1-12151214322231
109-2-0102031194021167100
8-1-214507217
9.58-2-100101425242316510
7-1-3100
98-3-00000000922923201141000
7-2-2629322094
8.57-3-100020136162422124100
6-2-35050
87-4-00000216142122181041000
6-3-23261420241810310
7.56-4-10000261624251772000
5-3-322442211
76-5-000000251219232012520000
5-4-201251118222112520
6.55-5-10015152526187200
4-4-36618352466
65-6-00000261424261882000
4-5-201514242717830
5.54-6-10014142630196100
3-5-318293518
54-7-00001618292714410
3-6-200161728291541
4.53-7-1002824342481
2-6-31313253813
43-8-00014163231142
2-7-2003152837142
3.52-8-100211323916
1-7-35050
32-9-00017274322
1-8-215284423
2.51-9-10073558
0-8-3100
21-10-00043264
0-9-23367
1.50-10-1892
10-11-00793
Total:000000000001111222344567899109863