Kansas City Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.008 to 96.8%
5-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +5.5
+11.0
+0.6
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -0.4
+0.3
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.3
-0.1
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.3
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +0.3
+0.3
+0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +0.2
Colts 26 49ers 23 -0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +1.6
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*Average seed
Chiefs vs Steelers+1.5*+0.2-3.3
+7.9-3.4-17.3
+0.3-0.0-0.6
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.2*+0.3+0.3
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.1*+0.3+0.3
-0.7+1.8+2.4
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Texans vs Browns-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Ravens vs Bears-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.2+1.1+0.5
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.0*-0.2-0.1
Titans vs Colts-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-1.8+1.5+3.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chiefs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
15-16InYes100No215,796*
14.59-1-1In100.0%1000No13,047
149-2-0In99.510000No520,570
8-1-2In99.71000No363
13.58-2-1In97.097300No33,029
7-1-3InYes100No9
138-3-0In90.4907003No863,182
7-2-2In91.792602No926
12.57-3-1In79.58016104No48,478
6-2-3In66.76733No15
127-4-0100.0%59.66025301200No940,743
6-3-2In61.46127309No1,211
5-2-4InYes100No1
11.56-4-1In40.2403470180No45,644
5-3-3In43.84431196No16
116-5-0100.018.4182915333200No704,908
5-4-299.920.921281533210No947
10.55-5-199.86.462221639500No29,469
4-4-3In5.661128506No18
105-6-096.01.317151044194000No372,928
4-5-296.20.819179412030No501
9.54-6-187.20.1021012323211200No12,905
3-5-3InNo100No1
94-7-053.30.00027133028144100No138,127
3-6-255.5No12121724231453No173
8.53-7-122.2No05314293015400No3,694
83-8-04.2No0103122429218200No35,468
2-7-2OutNo17222225113No36
7.52-8-10.1No03824342371No707
72-9-0OutNo0152032261330No5,874
1-8-2OutNo17333317No6
6.51-9-1OutNo72029368No84
61-10-0OutNo14203728101No563
5.50-10-1OutNo100No2
50-11-0OutNo18394570.6%335
Total:96.8%58.0%58145215311000000000.0%3,989,776

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -1.2
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 -0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 -0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Chiefs vs Steelers-0.6+0.1+1.2
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.1-0.3-0.4
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.0-0.0-0.1
Raiders vs LA Chargers+0.0-0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bears+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Vikings vs Packers-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1510-1-01000
9-0-2100
14.59-1-19910
149-2-097200
8-1-29910
13.58-2-19073000
7-1-38911
138-3-07912700020
7-2-27913602
12.57-3-153271511040
6-2-3402733
127-4-0342622230012000
6-3-235272433090
5-2-4100
11.56-4-183223117001710
5-3-3441913196
116-5-03151613132303132000
5-4-231716121313030210
10.55-5-10631911105026135000
4-4-3611171128226
105-6-00117698225191724000
4-5-21197107225161724
9.54-6-1020966328161610300
3-5-3100
94-7-0000235112121816161041000
3-6-2123911691515141221
8.53-7-100530145132221124100
83-8-000100314111923201251000
2-7-236282817118
7.52-8-1001613232520911
72-9-000139192522136200
1-8-2171767
6.51-9-121432261771
61-10-002312242820811
5.50-10-1100
50-11-01312282822511
Total:451310441101232111000000000000000000