Baltimore Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 48.6%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +12.7
+0.6
-0.7
+1.4
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +1.4
+0.1
+0.1
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -0.5
-0.1
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.4
-0.1
-0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +0.2
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +0.2
-0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.1
-0.1
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Ravens vs Bears+5.6-4.0-12.8
+0.4-0.5-0.9
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.3-1.0
Chiefs vs Steelers+1.3*+0.3-2.8
-0.3*+0.1+0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Texans vs Browns-0.5+1.3+1.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.4*-0.2+1.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.3*-0.1+0.6
Titans vs Colts-0.2*+0.1+0.4
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.1*+0.1-0.4
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.1*+0.5+0.2
-0.2*+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ravens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1411-0-0In79.0%79210No2,022
13.510-0-1In80.88119No213
1310-1-0In54.054415000No20,630
9-0-2In20.02080No5
12.59-1-1In46.24647601No1,944
129-2-0In23.7244922230No109,838
8-1-2In23.02352187No61
11.58-2-1In13.7145029340No8,960
7-1-3InYes100No1
118-3-099.9%5.0529411211200No338,871
7-2-2In6.5730421372No276
10.57-3-199.81.1120422012500No24,607
6-2-3InNo206020No5
107-4-096.20.306282818153000No676,322
6-3-296.30.9152734141531No802
9.56-4-188.60.0021736122210200No42,042
5-3-385.7No729212914No14
96-5-064.20.00062682422103000No913,972
5-4-267.8No172872520930No1,139
8.55-5-135.5No0122111262411300No48,286
4-4-353.8No312323888No13
85-6-015.1No00905162624134100No855,104
4-5-215.2No09151527251431No1,066
7.54-6-14.9No0500313283016510No37,080
3-5-3OutNo7142929714No14
74-7-01.4No010015152728176100No554,464
3-6-21.7No2041425311860No583
6.53-7-10.4No000210273520510No18,889
2-6-3OutNo111111331122No9
63-8-00.1No0000414293217300.0%243,492
2-7-2OutNo251425311850No240
5.52-8-10.0No002123237161No6,126
1-7-3OutNo100No2
52-9-00.0No001622382850.569,018
1-8-2OutNo41358204No45
4.51-9-1OutNo0062549191.31,153
41-10-0OutNo0218512911.711,249
0-9-2OutNo10025.04
3.50-10-1OutNo4475022.3103
30-11-0OutNo03306748.31,112
Total:48.6%1.5%251115610109876532100.1%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 -2.8
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 +0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -0.1
Cowboys 31 Packers 35 -0.1
Lions 24 Panthers 27 +0.1
Eagles 34 Cardinals 7 -0.0
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Ravens vs Bears-1.2-0.0+2.7
Chiefs vs Steelers-0.2-0.1+0.4
Texans vs Browns+0.1-0.1-0.2
Saints vs Lions+0.0-0.1-0.0
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.0-0.1+0.0
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Patriots-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-07542100
13.510-0-176519
1310-1-042124015000
9-0-22080
12.59-1-13214462601
129-2-0915391022120300
8-1-28153913187
11.58-2-1311341527130400
7-1-3100
118-3-0059192813111922000
7-2-2710203012121702
10.57-3-1013172220182845000
6-2-320402020
107-4-00006622171171111431000
6-3-2105720221341012321
9.56-4-10021161620110111083000
5-3-372921141477
96-5-000065200851939118410000
5-4-21076220652148108210
8.55-5-100122010113111817104100
4-4-33123888158
85-6-0000090005001411192217831000
4-5-2009150141221231572
7.54-6-10050000161523241672000
3-5-37212943
74-7-00010000001513222619930000
3-6-2201411213221820
6.53-7-1000261626261761000
2-6-3111122221122
63-8-0000039212823123000
2-7-20059252421941
5.52-8-10001413252920710
1-7-35050
52-9-0000141327311950
1-8-2916441894
4.51-9-10018173428101
41-10-000315363512
0-9-2502525
3.50-10-14393522
30-11-01104148
Total:11234669244612333455444332211000