Baltimore Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 74.8%
7-6-0   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Browns vs Ravens-22.7-4.3+7.7
-0.7-0.1+0.2
Bills vs Dolphins-3.5+3.9+5.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
49ers vs Titans+2.8+3.4-2.3
+0.2+0.2-0.2
Chiefs vs LA Chargers+2.8-2.5-2.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jaguars vs Texans+0.1+0.1-0.4
Vikings vs Bengals+0.1+0.1-0.2
Raiders vs Cowboys-0.0-0.2+0.0
Saints vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ravens vs Colts+8.8-7.5-36.0
+0.2-0.1-1.0
NY Jets vs LA Chargers+3.5-1.4-2.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Patriots vs Bills+1.2-3.2-3.6
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Dolphins+0.2+4.1-0.5
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Titans vs LA Rams-2.1+1.8+1.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Eagles vs Raiders+0.1-0.3-0.3
Bengals vs Lions-0.1+0.1+0.1
49ers vs Jaguars+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ravens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
103-0-099.7%No67320339,984,473
9.52-0-197.5No603729,688,161
92-1-073.7No2054252335,167,971
1-0-279.5No245619192,224
8.51-1-139.7No634461406,338,023
0-0-336.9No5324914298
81-2-08.4No8423711100107,810,654
0-1-210.8No11473191029,945
7.50-2-10.0No0356347001,013,377
70-3-0OutNo1625322161011,341,226
Total:74.8%No3738166210000811,466,352
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Lottery seed
Browns vs Ravens+2.2-0.0-0.7
49ers vs Titans-0.4-0.3+0.3
Bills vs Dolphins+0.1-0.1-0.2
Chiefs vs LA Chargers-0.1+0.1+0.1
Raiders vs Cowboys-0.0-0.1+0.0
Lions vs Bears+0.0-0.0-0.1
Redskins vs Cardinals-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/23100.0*Lottery seed
Ravens vs Colts-0.7+0.2+3.0
Titans vs LA Rams+0.4-0.2-0.2
NY Jets vs LA Chargers-0.2+0.0+0.1
Patriots vs Bills-0.0+0.2+0.1
Chiefs vs Dolphins+0.0-0.2+0.0
Packers vs Vikings+0.1-0.0-0.0
Eagles vs Raiders-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
103-0-0115616160000
9.52-0-106073111000
92-1-0020549031093000
1-0-20245510377300
8.51-1-160341722218100
0-0-353210232280
81-2-00800215343010100
0-1-21102143329910
7.50-2-1001113336153000
70-3-001929361951000
Total:5329290144354111000000