Baltimore Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Ravens vs Bills+7.6-1.6-10.0
+4.4-1.2-5.8
+0.9-0.2-1.2
Colts vs Bengals+0.5*+0.2-0.7
+1.5*+0.1-2.0
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.3*-0.1-0.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*+0.0-0.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.3*+0.2+0.4
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.3*+0.3+0.3
Browns vs Steelers+0.1*+0.5-0.1
+0.2+0.8-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Bengals vs Ravens-9.2+1.4+12.2
-8.1+1.0+10.7
-1.0+0.2+1.4
Saints vs Browns+1.0*-0.1-1.3
+1.6*-0.2-2.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.7*+0.1+0.9
-1.6+0.5+2.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts+0.3*-0.2-0.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Titans vs Texans+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ravens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16InYes100983*
1515-1-0InYes10002,106*
14.514-1-1InYes1000415
1414-2-0In99.9%991016,188*
13.513-2-1In99.998203,209*
1313-3-0In99.49450176,560
12-2-2In99.49541315
12.512-3-1In99.090900114,253*
1212-4-0In96.776191030255,721
11-3-2In97.07719131,218
11.511-4-1In93.96129406043,581
10-3-3In91.757323860
1111-5-0100.0%86.8383711112100621,471
10-4-2In88.039381111113,354*
10.510-5-199.978.419371931920097,012
9-4-399.478.323302321921175
1010-6-098.164.0623269241020001,155,232
9-5-298.664.56242592510106,907*
9.59-6-192.949.6110241524206100163,858
8-5-391.042.50919142622811299
99-7-069.032.9021218132319930001,663,428
8-6-270.132.9021318132419820010,324*
8.58-7-137.318.9004153152622113000210,916
7-6-336.918.60415216262112300425*
88-8-014.79.600191413222316820001,875,777
7-7-213.89.0181413222417820012,015*
7.57-8-13.73.5030028202823113000210,676
6-7-32.62.4020111202825121456
77-9-01.31.30100027162425167101,662,137
6-8-21.21.210171625251661010,594*
6.56-9-10.30.3000031125312171164,331
5-8-3OutNo41125302361286
66-10-00.10.1000131125322261,155,731
5-9-20.10.100031024322376,963*
5.55-10-10.00.000021029391997,227
4-9-3OutNo57283722156
55-11-00.00.000004174138621,164
4-10-2OutNo0041840383,354*
4.54-11-1OutNo006326243,722
3-10-3OutNo9286367
44-12-0OutNo0022276254,678
3-11-2OutNo221781,214
3.53-12-1OutNo00108914,539*
33-13-0OutNo0069476,926
2-12-2OutNo0694297
2.52-13-1OutNo2983,226*
22-14-0OutNo19915,682*
1.51-14-1OutNo0100420
11-15-0OutNo01001,985*
0-0.5OutNo100975*
Total:37.5%25.0%666666666666666610,582,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Ravens vs Bills-1.8+0.3+2.4
Dolphins vs Titans+0.1-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Browns vs Steelers-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Bengals vs Ravens+2.0-0.4-2.7
Saints vs Browns-0.1-0.0+0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Titans vs Texans-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-09900
14.514-1-19900
1414-2-097210
13.513-2-195320
1313-3-086850010
12-2-288841
12.512-3-1771390001
1212-4-05323191100300
11-3-2552218113
11.511-4-13329272400600
10-3-3282830238
1111-5-01226279110101211000
10-4-21227271010111111
10.510-5-12172018172301722000
9-4-32211417193216321
1010-6-00661717981169912000
9-5-206618169811699110
9.59-6-11099151329151736100
8-5-30186131131016175801
99-7-000221010821111121410510000
8-6-20022101082111113141041000
8.58-7-10003411031141119181031000
7-6-304312221411211511510
88-8-000011701042611151614116310000
7-7-211710426111516151063100
7.57-8-1003000002613212318931000
6-7-3002012912222514941
77-9-00010000012591417171510621000
6-8-2010002510141718151062100
6.56-9-1000001391824221462000
5-8-306819251914710
66-10-0000000251017212115720
5-9-20000241016222115720
5.55-10-1000139212924112
4-9-3146202821155
55-11-0000002819302812
4-10-2003818302813
4.54-11-1015204133
3-10-313183740
44-12-0002103553
3-11-22113355
3.53-12-10022177
33-13-0011387
2-12-2011782
2.52-13-10595
22-14-00298
1.51-14-10100
11-15-0199
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333