Baltimore Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.02 to 84.3%
4-2-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Titans 0 Ravens 21 +10.5
+6.8
+0.8
Dolphins 31 Bears 28 -0.7
-0.1
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +0.6
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 -0.5
Texans 20 Bills 13 -0.3
-0.0
NY Jets 42 Colts 34 -0.3
Broncos 20 LA Rams 23 +0.2
Bengals 21 Steelers 28 +5.3
+0.1
Browns 14 LA Chargers 38 +1.7
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*Average seed
Ravens vs Saints+4.4-1.8-8.4
+6.0-1.5-11.4
+0.4-0.2-0.8
Chiefs vs Bengals+0.5*+0.0-0.8
+4.1+1.2-6.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2
LA Chargers vs Titans-0.5+0.3+0.9
Dolphins vs Lions-0.5+0.1+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Vikings-0.4*-0.1+0.7
Bears vs Patriots+0.4*+0.0-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Buccaneers vs Browns+0.4-0.3-0.5
+0.5-0.4-0.7
Cardinals vs Broncos+0.1-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Bills-0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ravens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
1410-0-0InYes1000No2,909,528
13.59-0-1In100.0%98200No314,054
139-1-0In99.59360010No15,497,162
8-0-2In99.795400No15,112
12.58-1-1In98.885130010No1,506,888
7-0-3In98.0861112No459
128-2-0100.0%95.3662730500No36,896,889
7-1-2In96.168253040No65,263
6-0-4In92.3622388No13
11.57-2-1100.090.9463870900No3,173,529
6-1-3In90.94440790No1,634
117-3-099.979.42338171182000No51,292,091
6-2-299.981.424391711720No119,546
5-1-4In82.626431317No23
10.56-3-199.566.9730263267000No3,844,464
5-2-399.665.68302522770No2,455
106-4-094.547.821525627195100No46,174,018
5-3-295.149.621526727184000No122,777
4-2-496.265.48153582744No26
9.55-4-180.430.60317101931163000No2,953,674
4-3-380.530.103171018321630No2,177
3-2-5OutNo100No1
95-5-053.415.701871028291430000No28,087,974
4-4-253.516.501889282914300No78,543
3-3-466.714.847474419114No27
8.54-5-117.26.1015110313216400No1,490,210
3-4-318.56.515111293315400No1,147
84-6-06.12.0002041631291441000No11,693,952
3-5-25.71.9020416312914400No31,686
2-4-410.0No10404010No10
7.53-6-10.40.30000192534227100No494,052
2-5-30.90.61029203423101No333
73-7-00.10.1000003142931175100No3,290,259
2-6-20.10.100314293118510No7,923
1-5-4OutNo333333No3
6.52-7-10.00.000162034271020No103,688
1-6-3OutNo1204124113No71
62-8-0OutNo00212293318400.0%600,449
1-7-2OutNo021228361840No1,053
5.51-8-1OutNo01623392550.112,451
0-7-3OutNo5050No2
51-9-0OutNo003173633111.663,162
0-8-2OutNo8144424101.663
4.50-9-1OutNo011741418.6675
40-10-0OutNo0110385123.219,316
Total:84.3%61.4%271912314964211000000.0%210,868,832
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Titans 0 Ravens 21 -1.5
Bengals 21 Steelers 28 -0.3
Browns 14 LA Chargers 38 -0.0
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 -0.0
Texans 20 Bills 13 +0.0
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
Ravens vs Saints-0.9+0.3+1.7
Chiefs vs Bengals-0.2-0.1+0.3
Bears vs Patriots-0.0-0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs Titans+0.0-0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Lions+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0-0831700
13.59-0-177212000
139-1-0553760000100
8-0-258384000
12.58-1-1434213000100
7-0-3444211012
128-2-0214524330005000
7-1-22147232300400
6-0-423382388
11.57-2-18383087009000
6-1-383631970900
117-3-02212216152101812000
6-2-222223161621016120
5-1-42626179417
10.56-3-1079222063023370000
5-2-3089211962023370
106-4-0022131411512071915000
5-3-202213141261207181400
4-2-48151519819844
9.55-4-100331473711265154000
4-3-3003413737112751540
3-2-5100
95-5-000117342817112316610000
4-4-2011744271711231661000
3-3-44747301511194
8.54-5-10011401191023261672000
3-4-311411910232416721
84-6-000002000427162221158310000
3-5-2002003171622211583100
2-4-41010104030
7.53-6-1000000002817242416720000
2-5-31012914261917740
73-7-0000000000149172221158310000
2-6-2000139172221158310
1-5-4333333
6.52-7-100001310202623124100
1-6-3614232413156
62-8-0000261522241893100
1-7-2001714242318831
5.51-8-101413262919710
0-7-35050
51-9-000141224282092
0-8-2251319302552
4.50-9-1171937289
40-10-000210263823
Total:101811884211037243221110000000000000