Philadelphia Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 41.8%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
NY Giants 13 Eagles 34 +11.2
+9.7
-1.4
+1.3
Redskins 23 Panthers 17 -2.1
-4.0
-0.1
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 -2.1
-2.9
-0.1
Falcons 34 Buccaneers 29 +0.4
+0.0
Raiders 3 Seahawks 27 -0.4
Vikings 27 Cardinals 17 -0.3
Packers 33 49ers 30 -0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Division100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Panthers+9.1-4.0-13.3
+5.6-4.8-8.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+0.9-0.2-1.3
Redskins vs Cowboys+0.3-1.6-0.3
+0.6-1.9-0.6
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Vikings+0.6-0.7-1.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bears vs Patriots-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Browns-0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dolphins vs Lions+0.4*+0.1-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.2-0.2-0.5
49ers vs LA Rams-0.2*-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Falcons vs NY Giants+0.1*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eagles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsDivision12345678910111213141516PickCount
1310-0-0InYes89110No158,800
12.59-0-1InYes702910No20,835
129-1-0In99.9%53434000No1,463,883
8-0-2In99.75542300No1,303
11.58-1-1In98.8305613110No183,024
7-0-3In98.23551122No57
118-2-0100.0%96.51551274300No6,355,951
7-1-2In96.7165225330No10,065
6-0-4InYes100No1
10.57-2-1100.088.4435391010100No700,159
6-1-3In90.043544791No311
107-3-099.279.31173823136100No16,041,806
6-2-299.378.8117382314710No33,566
5-1-4In90.020403010No10
9.56-3-194.057.5042331191851000No1,530,881
5-2-395.859.8052233191731No912
96-4-074.643.60110339221771000No26,105,676
5-3-273.641.2019321023187100No62,566
4-2-481.033.333543145No21
8.55-4-138.819.6011831628229200No2,117,766
4-3-339.719.71183172722820No1,409
85-5-016.411.6001104142525144100No28,584,704
4-4-214.19.7090414262715410No70,917
3-3-45.9No618412412No17
7.54-5-12.62.302003132831174100No1,917,863
3-4-33.12.93031330301750No1,308
74-6-01.01.0010002112531217100No21,367,443
3-5-20.60.6010002102532227100No51,063
2-4-4OutNo88254217No12
6.53-6-10.00.0000019263522610No1,136,702
2-5-3OutNo28293521410No619
63-7-00.00.00000210273521500.0%10,755,007
2-6-2OutNo01927352250No22,597
1-5-4OutNo333333No3
5.52-7-1OutNo0021131371620.0425,996
1-6-3OutNo103636162No191
52-8-0OutNo000317393281.13,499,067
1-7-2OutNo0316393481.25,717
4.51-8-1OutNo0052546245.991,616
0-7-3OutNo53236274.522
41-9-0OutNo0114453920.2660,050
0-8-2OutNo11464320.9597
3.50-9-1OutNo04316543.08,482
30-10-0OutNo01217865.265,021
Total:41.8%30.4%269144778988753210.2%123,454,016
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 13 Eagles 34 -2.5
Redskins 23 Panthers 17 +0.2
Cowboys 40 Jaguars 7 +0.2
NY Jets 42 Colts 34 +0.0
Falcons 34 Buccaneers 29 -0.0
Texans 20 Bills 13 -0.0
Patriots 43 Chiefs 40 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
Eagles vs Panthers-1.8+0.7+2.6
Redskins vs Cowboys-0.0+0.2+0.0
49ers vs LA Rams+0.1+0.0-0.1
Falcons vs NY Giants+0.0+0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bills-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Vikings+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-070191100
12.59-0-1502128010
129-1-02132376400000
8-0-22232356300
11.58-1-182244121201100
7-0-31125429122
118-2-0114222923440310000
7-1-211523302143310
6-0-4100
10.57-2-1048272810100741000
6-1-3482732137541
107-3-001115152421349521000
6-2-20111615232035952100
5-1-420403010
9.56-3-100431923831610851000
5-2-3004418248316107310
96-4-0001091618095171095200000
5-3-2010914170951810952000
4-2-4141955385105
8.55-4-1001315031165141915720000
4-3-31415311761417166200
85-5-00001100004141017201710410000
4-4-20190041410172117104100
3-3-46624612181866
7.54-5-1002000002716242416720000
3-4-33002816232217620
74-6-0001000000137152122179310000
3-5-201000012714212317941000
2-4-41717178833
6.53-6-10000014112127211131000
2-5-3114122227191130
63-7-000000261422251993000
2-6-2000251322261910310
1-5-4333333
5.52-7-10001616272816510
1-6-3151431321351
52-8-0000141324292071
1-7-200131224292181
4.51-8-1000292435246
0-7-3141827365
41-9-0000211283820
0-8-228294021
3.50-9-102134243
30-10-000053065
Total:01243677132533455544444333221100