New England Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 45%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 +9.3
+0.8
-0.2
+0.9
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +1.1
+0.1
+0.1
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.7
-0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -0.6
+0.1
-0.0
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +0.5
-0.6
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +0.5
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +0.3
Colts 26 49ers 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Patriots-12.0*+1.0+13.2
-1.0*-0.1+1.1
-1.0+0.3+1.1
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.4*-0.0+1.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Bears-0.4+1.3+0.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Texans vs Browns-0.4*-0.2+1.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.3*-0.0-0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs Steelers+0.3*+0.3-0.7
-0.3+0.5+0.7
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.4*+0.8+0.6
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Titans vs Colts-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.1*+0.3+0.2
-0.1*-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Patriots finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1411-0-0In82.1%8218No2,136
13.510-0-1In78.17822No169
1310-1-0In57.35741100No21,290
9-0-2In62.5632513No8
12.59-1-1In45.84648600No1,974
129-2-0In26.5275813020No111,560
8-1-2In15.51566171No71
11.58-2-1In14.7155227240No9,093
7-1-3InNo3367No3
118-3-0100.0%5.25393661120No338,853
7-2-2In7.983738692No341
10.57-3-199.71.312143131650No24,472
6-2-3InNo14571414No7
107-4-096.50.20830221917300No671,628
6-3-297.00.5193322181430No740
9.56-4-185.80.0021825152712200No42,094
5-3-383.3No833172517No12
96-5-057.60.00062072525134000No907,074
5-4-259.6No05227262612300No1,104
8.55-5-126.6No0111113292813300No47,911
4-4-345.0No2520151525No20
85-6-07.6No00403102429207100No852,228
4-5-26.8No05210242921810No1,078
7.54-6-11.2No0100212273219510No36,335
3-5-3OutNo1325381313No16
74-7-00.2No000001720322711200No557,477
3-6-20.1No0171732311010No677
6.53-7-10.0No0001925352461No19,038
2-6-3OutNo502525No4
63-8-0OutNo01521372880No249,331
2-7-2OutNo719392780No243
5.52-8-1OutNo02113239161No6,157
1-7-3OutNo100No1
52-9-0OutNo0111374380.0%71,943
1-8-2OutNo25354513No55
4.51-9-1OutNo0053049150.71,229
41-10-0OutNo001054361.512,041
0-9-2OutNo831716.76
3.50-10-1OutNo2485015.5110
30-11-0OutNo0287117.41,247
Total:45.0%1.6%27101061099887643100.0%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -2.3
Bengals 20 Bills 16 -0.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.1
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +0.0
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 +0.0
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -0.0
LA Rams 10 Seahawks 16 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Patriots+1.8+0.2-2.0
Ravens vs Bears+0.0-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs 49ers+0.0-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Lions-0.0+0.1+0.0
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Titans vs Colts+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-0784180
13.510-0-175422
1310-1-04314401100
9-0-238252513
12.59-1-13115463600
129-2-0101745131200200
8-1-211452141431
11.58-2-131135172612400
7-1-33367
118-3-005132625116092200
7-2-2171126251360722
10.57-3-1013192221121115500
6-2-31414431414
107-4-000087231487121253000
6-3-211952713951311330
9.56-4-1021171114213131311300
5-3-388251781717
96-5-00006416076192413410000
5-4-200551716620231341
8.55-5-100111010135152219103100
4-4-32520251515
85-6-000040032102025201141000
4-5-2004022920252110410
7.54-6-10010000028172524156100
3-5-36625193166
74-7-0000000013101926221351000
3-6-20117192723145200
6.53-7-100002818272514510
2-6-325252525
63-8-00001411222721103100
2-7-231319292010320
5.52-8-1001616282816510
1-7-3100
52-9-00003112329229200
1-8-24724292592
4.51-9-10021125342351
41-10-0017213327101
0-9-233331717
3.50-10-119324315
30-11-0210333817
Total:11344646244675665444432221110000