Houston Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 31.1%
2-3-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 -12.8
-3.3
+0.1
-1.0
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 -2.4
-0.2
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 +1.1
+0.2
Buccaneers 14 Patriots 19 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 +0.8
+0.0
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 -0.7
-0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 +0.5
+0.5
Colts 26 49ers 23 -0.0
NY Giants 22 LA Chargers 27 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*First Seed100.0*First Pick100.0*Average seed
Texans vs Browns+4.5-4.0-14.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
+0.5-0.3-1.4
Jaguars vs LA Rams-0.9*-0.2+1.8
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Broncos vs NY Giants-0.4+1.2+1.5
-0.0+0.2+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Raiders vs LA Chargers-0.5*+0.4+1.0
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.1+1.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Bears-0.3*+0.4+0.7
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Falcons vs Dolphins+0.3*-0.1-0.7
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs Steelers+0.3*+0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.3+0.3
Titans vs Colts-0.3*+0.4+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inFirstChance will finish regular season at seedFirst
TWW-L-TplayoffsSeed12345678910111213141516PickCount
1311-0-0In54.0%54451No4,587
12.510-0-1In45.1454637No437
1210-1-0In20.3205990111No45,460
9-0-2In45.04535155No20
11.59-1-1In15.11551100222No3,875
119-2-099.7%2.9335213281000No206,035
8-1-2In2.0238233269No151
10.58-2-199.21.2120204371810No15,651
7-1-3InNo333333No3
108-3-090.10.10716925339100No535,312
7-2-290.6No716102632810No510
9.57-3-179.80.00289204117300No35,122
6-2-3InNo202753No15
97-4-044.30.0003872732175100No874,370
6-3-246.3No0397283117510No1,000
8.56-4-120.9No004215333013300No49,319
5-3-325.0No2550178No12
86-5-05.6No002031326291971000No945,864
5-4-24.9No01031325301882No1,120
7.55-5-10.7No0100313293217400No44,766
4-4-3OutNo1139172211No18
75-6-00.2No000003122430218100No696,605
4-5-20.2No0031323302271No908
6.54-6-10.0No00211283419500No26,748
3-5-3OutNo10304020No10
64-7-00.0No00031227322060No345,355
3-6-2OutNo21432311740No406
5.53-7-1OutNo02133335151No10,157
2-6-3OutNo502525No4
53-8-0OutNo001519373170.2%115,005
2-7-2OutNo223303312No121
4.52-8-1OutNo062649181.02,563
42-9-0OutNo021646367.424,460
1-8-2OutNo47464321.428
3.51-9-1OutNo4375922.1371
31-10-0OutNo02227644.22,891
0-9-2OutNo100Yes1
2.50-10-1OutNo99172.722
20-11-0OutNo39780.6474
Total:31.1%0.5%0444712121111108753210.1%3,989,776
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/5100.0*Lottery seed
Texans 34 Chiefs 42 +2.1
Steelers 9 Jaguars 30 +0.3
Browns 14 NY Jets 17 +0.1
Raiders 17 Ravens 30 -0.1
Bengals 20 Bills 16 -0.1
Dolphins 16 Titans 10 -0.0
Colts 26 49ers 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Lottery seed
Texans vs Browns-0.9+0.7+2.8
Jaguars vs LA Rams+0.1*+0.1-0.2
Redskins vs 49ers+0.1*+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Patriots+0.0-0.1-0.1
Broncos vs NY Giants+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Buccaneers-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Chiefs vs Steelers-0.0-0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Chargers+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Titans vs Colts+0.0+0.0-0.1
Falcons vs Dolphins-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vikings vs Packers+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

The Official NFL Page

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1311-0-040144411
12.510-0-1321343237
1210-1-0713461380010010
9-0-2540305155
11.59-1-141135169102112
119-2-00310251473021610000
8-1-221325176321581
10.58-2-10131711940251217110
7-1-3333333
108-3-0000631354818221181000
7-2-2163136410172112810
9.57-3-10020845218202115510
6-2-3201313747
97-4-000031606522111715831000
6-3-2031706423101914731
8.56-4-1000420155152320114100
5-3-3258833178
86-5-00002003026121922181041000
5-4-201030251319232010310
7.55-5-1010000281725241561000
4-4-3665011226
75-6-0000000002613212419103100
4-5-200026121928181131
6.54-6-100028182625145100
3-5-32020301020
64-7-00000139192624145100
3-6-20281928201751
5.53-7-101514272818610
2-6-3502525
53-8-0000292229241020
2-7-228163128123
4.52-8-101722332791
42-9-000172236277
1-8-2718143921
3.51-9-1006264522
31-10-002134144
0-9-2100
2.50-10-12773
20-11-011881
Total:00121312245745556665554433211100