Portland LumberJax Playoff Chances Season1 50/50
Plays Barrage, Plays Lizards, Lost to Swarm 8-9, Plays at Swarm, playoff odds down 12 to 66.7%
3 points 1 2-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Sunday, 2/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lizards 4 Swarm 5 | +0.3 | +1.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Monday, 2/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Barrage 13 Lizards 12 | -3.7 | +2.5 | -4.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| Tuesday, 2/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LumberJax 8 Swarm 9 | -12.1 | -17.7 | +18.7 | -0.5 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOTieAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| LumberJax vs Barrage | +25.7+17.7+17.7*-0.1-12.2-12.2-27.6 | +5.0+4.7+4.7-4.2-3.5-3.5-4.9 | -24.1-15.9-15.8+7.1+12.9+12.9+24.1 | +0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.6 | ||||
| LumberJax vs Lizards | +23.9+17.4+17.4-10.2-11.5-11.5-24.6 | +5.2+4.5+4.5-4.2-3.4-3.4-5.0 | -26.8-18.9-18.9+11.4+14.6+14.5+26.7 | +0.6+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.6 | ||||
| Swarm vs LumberJax | -13.7-2.5-2.5-13.6+12.0+12.0+12.2 | NoNoNo-4.7+0.8+0.8+7.5 | +13.6+6.5+6.5+14.1-10.7-10.9-14.1 | -0.3-0.1-0.1-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||||
| Lizards vs Barrage | +3.7-5.0-4.9+10.1-6.1-6.1-1.2 | -0.2-0.2-0.2+0.6-0.3-0.3+0.2 | +2.8+4.8+4.8-15.9*+0.1+0.1-2.3 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.3-0.1-0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Swarm vs Barrage | +8.0+0.7+0.8+7.9-7.1-7.1-6.8 | -3.6-3.6-3.6+4.8+0.5+0.5+4.1 | -4.1-0.7-0.7-6.1+5.4+5.4+3.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Swarm vs Lizards | +5.5+1.4+1.3+5.5-5.1-5.2-4.9 | -3.6-3.6-3.6+5.6+0.5+0.5+3.9 | -6.3-2.6-2.6-7.7+7.9+7.9+5.6 | +0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the LumberJax finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Relegated | Count | |||||||
| 12 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 41.2 | % | 41 | 59 | No | 1,977,330 | ||||||||
| 10 | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 99.9 | % | 5.3 | 5 | 77 | 18 | 0 | 17.7 | % | 1,553,325 | |||||
| 9 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 97.1 | 0.9 | 1 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 49.6 | 4,353,858 | |||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 3.9 | 4 | 75 | 21 | 21.1 | 621,885 | |||||||||
| 8 | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 75.9 | No | 10 | 65 | 24 | 89.6 | 408,065 | ||||||||
| 7 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 64.4 | No | 7 | 58 | 36 | 93.3 | 2,289,201 | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 85.0 | No | 21 | 64 | 15 | 78.6 | 326,133 | |||||||||
| 6 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 36.4 | No | 1 | 35 | 64 | 98.7 | 3,210,552 | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 58.5 | No | 7 | 51 | 41 | 92.9 | 916,270 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 77.2 | No | 17 | 60 | 23 | 83.1 | 65,719 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 15.2 | No | 15 | 85 | Yes | 35,656 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 301,463 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 17.6 | No | 18 | 82 | Yes | 42,655 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 844,863 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 14.2 | No | 14 | 86 | Yes | 240,343 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 27.8 | No | 0 | 28 | 72 | 99.7 | 17,169 | |||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 799,883 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 5.4 | No | 5 | 95 | Yes | 336,852 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 10.2 | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.9 | 47,895 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 14.8 | No | 0 | 15 | 85 | 99.9 | 2,379 | |||||||||
| Total: | 66.7 | % | 5.2 | % | 5 | 29 | 32 | 33 | 65.6 | % | 18,391,496 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
