Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Norway41-00-10In320682.44.500Norway
Slovakia31-01-0394.6%+0.021472652.24.693Slovakia
Sweden31-01-0185.1+0.047325151.96.584Sweden
Italy20-11-0-420.3-0.0200803.63.264Italy

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 5/20
None
Thursday, 5/22
Sweden vs ItalyIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norway2.42.22.22.32.32.4
SlovakiaInInIn73.673.673.6
2.31.81.81.91.91.9
SwedenInInIn30.630.726.4
1.32.02.03.73.63.7
ItalyOutOutOut95.895.7In
4.04.04.02.22.22.0
Slovakia vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norway3.02.72.71.01.01.0
SlovakiaInInInInIn79.6
1.71.91.93.03.03.2
Sweden79.679.679.682.582.4In
1.71.71.72.42.42.2
Italy20.4*20.4*20.417.517.620.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.