How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday, 5/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Germany vs Canada-40.6-23.9-23.9+30.2+30.3+48.3
-0.5-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.7
USA vs Belarus-5.5-4.0-4.0-3.4-3.4+5.7
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
USA vs Canada-7.3-5.7-5.7+0.6+0.5+20.7
-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.6
Belarus vs Germany+1.6+3.1+3.0-1.8-1.7-5.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Canada finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs1234Count
62-00-0In27658889,961
51-10-0In16930289,639
41-00-198.9%19801541,059
0-20-098.45642223,727
31-01-077.8671223,321,899
0-10-171.3712988,141
20-11-048.74951540,492
0-00-2Out10071,727
0-1Out1003,579,819*
Total:49.7%31235509,346,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday, 5/20100.0*Lottery seed
Germany vs Canada+2.3+0.9+0.9-1.1-1.0-2.7
USA vs Belarus+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1
Denmark vs Czech Republic-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Finland vs Kazakhstan-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Russia vs France-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
USA vs Canada+1.3+0.2+0.2-1.1-1.1-3.1
Latvia vs Kazakhstan-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Denmark vs France+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
Finland vs Switzerland+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Russia vs Czech Republic-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Slovakia vs Norway+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Germany+0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Sweden vs Italy-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Championship

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT12345678910111213141516
62-00-00311132419157800
51-10-00116253726400
41-00-10031641308110
0-20-001104527132020
31-01-0006317272416510
0-10-1116342022600
20-11-00345182491
0-00-24343131
10-01-1464311
00-02-0123652
Total:001122355811117111516