How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/20None
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sweden vs ItalyInInIn-54.5-54.4-58.7
+0.6-0.1-0.1-1.8-1.8-1.9
Slovakia vs Norway-5.5-5.5-5.5-2.6-2.7In
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Sweden finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs1234Count
61-00-0In69316,399,419
50-10-0In1001,040,100
40-00-130.7%42669266,615
30-01-026.426741,640,330
Total:85.1%47325159,346,464
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/20100.0*Lottery seed
Switzerland 4 Latvia 5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Russia vs France-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0
USA vs Belarus-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Germany vs Canada+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0
Denmark vs Czech Republic+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Sweden vs Italy-2.0+1.0+1.0+5.4+5.4+6.2
Slovakia vs Norway-0.3-0.3-0.3+1.1+1.1+0.7
Latvia vs Kazakhstan+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.2
Finland vs Switzerland-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0
Denmark vs France-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
USA vs Canada+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Belarus vs Germany+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Russia vs Czech Republic+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Championship

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT12345678910111213141516
61-00-0021750101272
50-10-0193753
40-00-1001317810690
30-01-03896591320
Total:0112347997122112200