"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/20None
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sweden vs ItalyOutOutOut+75.5+75.4In
-0.4-0.4-0.4+1.4+1.4+1.6
Slovakia vs Norway+0.1*+0.2*+0.2-2.7-2.7+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Italy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs1234Count
51-00-0In1001,640,330
40-10-095.7%86104266,615
2-3Out1007,439,519*
Total:20.3%200809,346,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/20None
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday, 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Sweden vs Italy+1.3+0.9+0.9-4.2-4.2-4.9
Denmark vs France+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1
USA vs Canada-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3
Latvia vs Kazakhstan-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Belarus vs Germany-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Finland vs Switzerland+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Russia vs Czech Republic-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Slovakia vs Norway-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

Championship

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT12345678910111213141516
51-00-0063162
40-10-0011570541040
30-00-1682840
20-01-04342131
Total:0161300003732101