SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances

Beat Dallas 39-28, playoff odds up 18.4 to 83%

3-0-0 1.000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	+11.1		+1.5		+1.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.9		+0.1		+0.1
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	+0.6				+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	-0.5				-0.0
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+0.3		+0.1
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.3				+0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	-0.3		-0.2		-0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	-0.3				-0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7	+0.1		-0.1		-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.3*+0.0+0.4		-0.1*+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta vs Houston	+4.3*-0.0-6.8		+0.7*+0.2-1.2		+0.4-0.1-0.6
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.4*+0.2-0.7		+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.3*+0.1+0.6		-0.0*+0.3+0.1		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.2*+0.0-0.5		-0.1*+0.4+0.4
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.2*+0.4-0.3				+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	-0.2*+1.6+0.2		+0.5*+0.4-0.4		+0.2+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.2*-0.1-0.1		+0.2*-0.5-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.1*-0.9+0.1				-0.0*-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas			+0.0*+0.4-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

16		13	-	0	-	0	In		100	0															4,554
15	.5	12	-	0	-	1	In		100																28
15		12	-	1	-	0	In		99	1			0												40,086
14	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		97	2			0												322
14		11	-	2	-	0	In		94	6	0		1												187,596
		10	-	1	-	2	In		100																1
13	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		90	9	0		1												1,498
13		10	-	3	-	0	In		78	17	1	0	4	0											529,074
		9	-	2	-	2	In		75				25												4
12	.5	9	-	3	-	1	In		67	24	1	0	8												3,701
12		9	-	4	-	0	In		48	32	4	0	16	0											1,007,564
		8	-	3	-	2	In		67	8	25														12
11	.5	8	-	4	-	1	In		30	38	8	0	23	0											6,358
11		8	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	16	32	14	1	36	2	0										1,365,151
		7	-	4	-	2	In		13	40	13	13	20												15
10	.5	7	-	5	-	1	99.9		6	22	20	3	44	4	0										7,611
10		7	-	6	-	0	97.8		2	12	17	5	47	16	2	0	0								1,361,064
		6	-	5	-	2	In			8	17	8	50	17											12
9	.5	6	-	6	-	1	93.3		0	3	11	10	41	27	6	1									6,762
9		6	-	7	-	0	71.9		0	1	5	7	24	35	21	6	1	0	0						1,010,097
		5	-	6	-	2	85.7				7		29	50	7	7									14
8	.5	5	-	7	-	1	42.0			0	1	6	8	27	33	19	5	1	0						4,141
8		5	-	8	-	0	17.0		0	0	0	2	2	12	28	29	17	7	2	0	0	0			556,521
		4	-	7	-	2	Out								38	38	25								8
7	.5	4	-	8	-	1	2.2					1	0	2	10	21	32	22	11	2	0				2,001
7		4	-	9	-	0	0.4				0	0	0	0	3	11	22	27	22	11	3	1	0	0	226,131
		3	-	8	-	2	Out										40		40	20					5
6	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out									1	5	13	30	30	17	4	1		636
6		3	-	10	-	0	Out								0	0	1	6	17	28	27	15	5	1	65,473
		2	-	9	-	2	Out												100						1
5	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out												3	12	30	30	22	3	125
5		2	-	11	-	0	Out											0	1	5	19	33	32	10	13,004
4	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out															25	65	10	20
4		1	-	12	-	0	Out													0	1	13	40	45	1,580
3		0	-	13	-	0	Out														0	1	20	79	574

Total:							83.0	%	21	16	8	3	25	11	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Arizona	Carolina	Green Bay	Minnesota	Dallas	NY Giants	Seattle	Washington	Philadelphia	St. Louis	Tampa Bay	San Francisco	Detroit	New Orleans	Chicago

15.5	-16						13.9	%	Yes
15		12	-	1	-	0	15.1		100	0		0	0	0	0	0		0
14	.5	11	-	1	-	1	15.8		100								0
14		11	-	2	-	0	14.9		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2	No		Yes
13	.5	10	-	2	-	1	14.2		99	0		0	0	0	0		0	0			0
13		10	-	3	-	0	14.0		95	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	No		75					25
12	.5	9	-	3	-	1	13.3		91	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
12		9	-	4	-	0	12.2		80	1	1	2	2	4	3	1	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2	8.3		75		8	8	8
11	.5	8	-	4	-	1	10.5		68	2	2	4	4	6	4	2	3	3	1	1	0	1	0	0
11		8	-	5	-	0	8.7		48	3	4	6	6	9	6	3	4	5	2	1	1	1	0	1
		7	-	4	-	2	26.7		53		7	7	7	13		7	7
10	.5	7	-	5	-	1	6.7		28	5	7	8	8	12	8	4	6	6	3	2	1	1	1	1
10		7	-	6	-	0	5.4		13	6	11	11	10	13	8	4	6	6	2	2	1	1	1	1
		6	-	5	-	2	8.3		8		25	17	17	8	8		8				8
9	.5	6	-	6	-	1	4.2		3	8	12	12	10	13	9	5	7	6	3	2	1	2	1	1
9		6	-	7	-	0	2.9		1	7	11	10	8	9	6	3	5	4	2	2	1	1	1	1
		5	-	6	-	2	No			7	21			21	14		7		7	7
8	.5	5	-	7	-	1	1.8		0	5	6	7	5	5	3	2	3	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
8		5	-	8	-	0	0.7		0	2	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
7	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.1			0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0		0
7		4	-	9	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
3	-6.5						No

Total:							7.2	%	37.4	3.6	5.4	6.0	5.2	7.2	4.7	2.2	3.5	3.5	1.3	1.0	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.4

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-2.2
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	+0.2
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-0.1
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7	+0.0
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	-0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Houston	-1.0+0.0+1.5
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	-0.4-0.3+0.3
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.0+0.2+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Detroit	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		13	-	0	-	0	100	0	0
15	.5	12	-	0	-	1	100
15		12	-	1	-	0	98	1	1						0
14	.5	11	-	1	-	1	97	1	2						0
14		11	-	2	-	0	87	7	6	0	0				1
		10	-	1	-	2	100
13	.5	10	-	2	-	1	77	12	9		0				1
13		10	-	3	-	0	58	20	17	0	1	0	0		4	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	25	50							25
12	.5	9	-	3	-	1	39	27	23	1	1		0		8	0
12		9	-	4	-	0	20	27	27	5	4	0	0		15	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2	42	25	8		25
11	.5	8	-	4	-	1	6	24	26	12	8	0	0		21	2	0
11		8	-	5	-	0	2	14	16	16	12	2	1	0	29	6	2	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2		13	20	20	7	7	13		20
10	.5	7	-	5	-	1	0	6	4	18	14	7	3	0	28	16	4	0	0
10		7	-	6	-	0	0	2	1	10	8	8	5	1	22	25	13	3	2	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2				8	8	8	8		8	42	8	8
9	.5	6	-	6	-	1		0	0	3	2	10	7	3	6	36	16	12	6	1	0	0
9		6	-	7	-	0		0	0	1	1	5	4	3	2	22	14	21	7	9	7	3	1	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2						7				29	14	36	7		7
8	.5	5	-	7	-	1				0		1	1	4	0	8	1	26	8	17	18	10	4	1	0
8		5	-	8	-	0		0		0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	12	1	2	6	11	17	19	15	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2															13		50	25		13
7	.5	4	-	8	-	1							0	0		0		2		0	1	5	12	21	26	18	10	3	1	0	0
7		4	-	9	-	0						0	0	0		0		0			0	0	1	2	4	9	15	20	20	15	8	3	1	0	0
		3	-	8	-	2																						20	20	40			20
6	.5	3	-	9	-	1																				1	5	16	17	28	18	9	3	2
6		3	-	10	-	0																			0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	23	18	10	3	1	0
		2	-	9	-	2																								100
5	.5	2	-	10	-	1																								1	3	13	20	27	24	9	3
5		2	-	11	-	0																								0	0	1	5	13	25	30	20	5
4	.5	1	-	11	-	1																												5	20	35	40
4		1	-	12	-	0																											0	1	3	15	39	42
3		0	-	13	-	0																													0	2	17	80

Total:							12	10	10	7	5	3	2	1	14	10	6	5	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0