SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances

Lost to Indianapolis 33-35, playoff odds down 14.8 to 42.6%

1-2-0 .333

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	-14.6		-1.5		-1.5
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	+1.7		+0.1		+0.1
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-1.2		-0.1		-0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.3		+0.2		+0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.2				-0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	+0.2				+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.1		-0.1
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27	+0.1				+0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	*-0.1		-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.1*-0.4-0.2

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta vs Houston	+1.9*-1.7-3.0		+0.1*+0.1-0.1		+0.1-0.2-0.2
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	-0.6+2.8+1.0		-0.0*+0.3+0.1		-0.0+0.2+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.2*+1.2+0.3		-0.0*+0.1+0.0		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.1*+0.2+0.3		-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.2*+0.2-0.2		+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.2*-1.2-0.2				+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City			-0.0*-0.6+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota			-0.0*-0.5+0.1		-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Tennessee finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14		13	-	0	-	0	In		93	7	0														2,266
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	In		89	11															9
13		12	-	1	-	0	In		75	23	2	0	0												21,119
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		64	33	4														184
12		11	-	2	-	0	In		40	43	15	2	0	0											112,216
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		24	46	26	3	0												894
11		10	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	9	34	39	15	2	0	0										364,744
		9	-	2	-	2	In			25	25	25	25												4
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	99.9		3	25	45	23	2	1	0										2,693
10		9	-	4	-	0	97.8		0	8	34	46	5	5	2	0	0	0							795,495
		8	-	3	-	2	In			20	60	20													5
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	94.3		0	2	23	58	4	7	4	1	0								5,204
9		8	-	5	-	0	73.8		0	0	8	56	2	8	11	9	5	1	0	0	0				1,236,254
		7	-	4	-	2	62.5				13	44		6	13	6	13	6							16
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	57.9				2	52	1	4	11	16	11	3	0	0					7,370
8		7	-	6	-	0	30.9			0	0	30	0	1	4	12	20	19	11	3	1	0	0		1,409,308
		6	-	5	-	2	28.0					28			4		44	16	8						25
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	19.5				0	19		0	1	4	16	26	21	9	2	0			7,128
7		6	-	7	-	0	6.8				0	7		0	0	1	4	13	24	27	17	6	1	0	1,193,123
		5	-	6	-	2	16.7					17						6	22	17	39				18
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	2.5					3				0	0	4	15	29	30	15	3	0	5,179
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.5					1				0	0	1	3	13	27	32	19	4	748,202
		4	-	7	-	2	Out													20	20	20	30	10	10
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.0					0						0	0	4	17	33	34	11	2,720
5		4	-	9	-	0	0.0					0						0	0	1	5	21	42	32	344,013
		3	-	8	-	2	Out																33	67	3
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out														1	12	40	47	946
		2	-	8	-	3	Out																100		1
4		3	-	10	-	0	Out													0	0	3	25	72	113,100
		2	-	9	-	2	Out															100			1
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out																12	88	269
3		2	-	11	-	0	Out															0	6	94	25,147
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out																	100	34
2		1	-	12	-	0	Out																1	99	3,332
1	-1.5						Out																	100	712	*

Total:							42.6	%	2	4	8	25	1	2	3	5	6	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	6,401,744

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Tennessee finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Denver	New England	Cincinnati	NY Jets	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	Houston	Oakland	Kansas City	Indianapolis	San Diego	Jacksonville	Cleveland	Miami	Baltimore

14		13	-	0	-	0	13.2	%	100						0
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	22.2		Yes
13		12	-	1	-	0	13.2		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	10.9		96				1		1	1		1		1			1
12		11	-	2	-	0	11.3		83	1	2	1	2	2	2	1	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	0
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	10.3		71	1	2	2	4	3	5	1	2	3	1	2	1	1	1	1
11		10	-	3	-	0	7.8		43	3	6	5	8	6	8	2	4	5	2	2	1	2	1	1
		9	-	2	-	2	No		25			25			25		25
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	6.9		28	4	9	7	10	7	9	3	5	5	2	3	1	2	2	1
10		9	-	4	-	0	4.9		8	6	12	8	13	9	13	4	6	7	3	3	2	2	2	1
		8	-	3	-	2	No		20				20		40	20
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	4.4		2	6	13	9	14	10	13	3	6	6	2	3	2	3	2	1
9		8	-	5	-	0	3.1		0	5	11	7	12	7	11	2	4	5	1	2	1	1	1	1
		7	-	4	-	2	6.3						25		13	6	6	6			6
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	2.3			4	9	6	11	5	9	1	4	4	0	2	0	1	1	1
8		7	-	6	-	0	1.3		0	2	5	3	6	3	6	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
		6	-	5	-	2	No				16				8			4
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	1.0			1	3	2	4	2	4		1	1		1		0	1	0
7		6	-	7	-	0	0.3			0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0		0		0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No			6			6	6
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.1			0	1	0	1	0	1		0	0				0	0
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0		0		0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	No						0
5		4	-	9	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0		0		0	0				0	0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
1	-4.5						No

Total:							2.2	%	5.4	2.4	5.5	3.5	6.0	3.6	5.8	1.0	2.3	2.7	0.7	1.2	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.5

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	+2.9
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-0.2
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.1
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-0.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.2+0.3+0.3
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	+0.1-0.3-0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.0*-0.2+0.1
New Orleans vs Dallas	-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0*+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

14		13	-	0	-	0	85	8	7	0	0
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	78	11	11
13		12	-	1	-	0	51	25	22	1	2		0		0
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	35	28	29	3	4
12		11	-	2	-	0	13	27	33	10	14	0	2	0	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	5	19	34	12	25	1	3		0
11		10	-	3	-	0	1	9	12	22	31	8	14	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2				25	25		25		25
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1		3	5	19	31	14	23	1	2	1	1		0
10		9	-	4	-	0	0	0	1	7	13	21	38	8	2	3	4	1	2	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2			20			60	20
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1		0	0	2	4	19	41	17	1	3	6	2	4	1	0	0
9		8	-	5	-	0		0	0	0	1	8	26	30	0	2	3	4	7	9	7	3	1	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2						13	13	31				6	6	13	19
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1					0	2	13	39	0	1	0	3	5	12	13	8	3	1	0
8		7	-	6	-	0				0	0	0	4	25	0	0	0	1	0	2	6	11	15	14	11	6	2	1	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2							8	20							4	12	28	8	16	4
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1						0	1	19				0		0	1	4	10	17	21	16	8	3	1	0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0						0	0	7				0		0	0	0	1	2	6	11	16	19	18	12	6	2	1	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								17										6	6		6	17	17	28	6
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1								3										0	0	2	7	14	24	23	17	8	3	0	0
6		5	-	8	-	0							0	1										0	0	0	0	2	5	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2																							10	10	10	30	20	20
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1								0														0	0	1	6	16	25	26	19	6	1	0
5		4	-	9	-	0								0														0	0	0	1	3	8	18	27	26	15	4
		3	-	8	-	2																													33	33	33
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1																										0	1	8	19	33	29	10
		2	-	8	-	3																													100
4		3	-	10	-	0																										0	0	1	7	21	40	31
		2	-	9	-	2																														100
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1																													1	6	44	49
3		2	-	11	-	0																												0	0	3	24	72
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1																															15	85
2		1	-	12	-	0																													0	0	7	93
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1																																100
1		0	-	13	-	0																															1	99

Total:							0	1	1	2	4	5	12	14	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1