Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Beat NY Jets 24-17, playoff odds up 11.3 to 23.6%
1-2-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 +6.0
+0.3
+1.0
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 +0.7
+0.0
+0.1
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 +0.4
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 +0.2
+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 -0.2
-0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +0.2
+0.1
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 +0.2
+0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 -0.1
+0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 +0.1
+0.0
Seattle 26 Chicago 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.2*+0.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Philadelphia-8.1+4.0+10.9
-0.3*+0.2+0.4
-1.0+0.6+1.3
New Orleans vs Dallas+1.7*+2.0-1.7
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.9*+0.9-1.5
+0.0*-0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota+0.3*+0.7-0.5
+0.0*+0.3-0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Detroit-0.2*+0.5+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.2*+1.8+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.1*+0.0-0.3
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.3*-0.9-0.2
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.1*+1.5-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1413-0-0In955869
13.512-0-1In1004
1312-1-0In77212006,093
12.511-1-1In564466
1211-2-0In41421312041,327
11.510-2-1In254622421368
1110-3-099.9%10353610710168,495
9-2-2In50504
10.59-3-199.9424411810401,457
109-4-096.919323113113000462,795
8-3-2In25754
9.58-4-192.203233811177103,551
98-5-065.70083262021103000910,981
7-4-277.822223311119
8.57-5-145.8022721425207106,096
87-6-016.50012041324251551001,308,562
6-5-29.55514335291021
7.56-6-17.37015183025122007,747
76-7-01.70200031224292182001,393,649
5-6-2Out29294314
6.55-7-10.40004142931174006,762
65-8-00.10000210233223811,098,475
4-7-2Out2833286618
5.54-8-10.00031332341634,399
54-9-00.00000313323715633,506
3-8-2Out111144339
4.53-9-1Out152346262,029
43-10-0Out0193950259,396
2-9-2Out1002
3.52-10-1Out033067625
32-11-0Out01168371,128
2.51-11-1Out11089142
21-12-0Out39711,728
1.50-12-1Out1008
10-13-0Out01001,405
Total:23.6%125102467899998756,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaAtlantaCarolinaGreen BayMinnesotaDallasNY GiantsSeattleWashingtonSt. LouisTampa BaySan FranciscoDetroitNew OrleansChicago
13.5-1412.4%Yes
1312-1-09.79800000000000000
12.511-1-19.1Yes
1211-2-08.584112122121111000
11.510-2-19.571223143352101100
1110-3-06.045368567353322111
9-2-225.0502525
10.59-3-16.02841010788473432111
109-4-03.59712129910574432111
8-3-2No255025
9.58-4-12.63714139910574442111
98-5-01.9061110766353221110
7-4-211.1111111112211
8.57-5-11.40498553231221110
87-6-00.50143221010110000
6-5-2No55
7.56-6-10.202211001000000
76-7-00.1010000000000000
5-6-2No
6.55-7-1No00000000
65-8-00.0000000000000
4-7-2No
5.54-8-1No0
54-9-0No00
3-8-2No
1-4.5No
Total:0.9%2.61.63.53.22.32.12.01.01.60.80.90.80.50.30.30.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 -2.5
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 -0.1
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 -0.1
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 +0.1
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 +0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +0.0
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 -0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 -0.0
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.0+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Philadelphia+1.8-0.3-2.5
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0+0.4-0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.0+0.3+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.1*-0.1+0.2
New Orleans vs Dallas-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Seattle vs Detroit+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.0*-0.2+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.0*+0.1-0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1413-0-09145
13.512-0-1100
1312-1-053232012000
12.511-1-1421444
1211-2-0132833101301200
11.510-2-16193313211421
1110-3-0110122328810062100
9-2-25050
10.59-3-1442029121707340
109-4-001081022265599330000
8-3-22575
9.58-4-103320281029106610
98-5-0000071616065151810410000
7-4-2222211221111
8.57-5-1002918211381616104100
87-6-0000210000441117191510521000
6-5-255553319101055
7.56-6-106010151220231893100
76-7-00020000015101619181484200000
5-6-2147212114714
6.55-7-100027162324168200
65-8-000000127131921181162000
4-7-262822176176
5.54-8-10002616262617610
54-9-000001281725251661
3-8-21111332222
4.53-9-102720342810
43-10-0001313293619
2-9-2100
3.52-10-1183952
32-11-00063162
2.51-11-111683
21-12-00991
1.50-12-1100
10-13-00199
Total:01112355121344444455444444443322