SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances

Beat New Orleans 27-22, playoff odds up 7.9 to 78.9%

3-0-0 1.000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	+6.5		+1.1		+0.6
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-0.9		-0.2		-0.1
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.8		+0.1		+0.1
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	+0.5
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	-0.4		-0.1		-0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.4				+0.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	-0.3				-0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7	+0.2		-0.1
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+0.2		+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.3*+1.5+0.5		-0.1*+0.8+0.2

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	-9.7+2.8+6.9		-1.7*-0.1+1.2		-0.9+0.1+0.6
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.6*-0.4+1.0		-0.3*-0.3+0.5		-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.4*+1.8-0.6		+0.1*+0.1-0.1		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.3*-0.7+0.6				-0.0-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.3*+0.0-0.5		+0.0*-0.5-0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.2*+1.2-0.5		-0.1*+0.4+0.4		-0.0+0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	+0.2*+1.1-0.2		+0.1*+0.2-0.1		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.1*+1.2+0.1				-0.0*+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.1*+1.1-0.1		+0.2*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

15.5	-16						In		100																3,752	*
15		12	-	1	-	0	In		99	1			0												34,323
14	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		98	2			0												284
14		11	-	2	-	0	In		94	6	0		1												166,013
		10	-	1	-	2	In		100																1
13	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		90	8	0		2												1,349
13		10	-	3	-	0	In		77	18	1	0	4	0											483,447
		9	-	2	-	2	In		50	50															2
12	.5	9	-	3	-	1	In		67	23	1	0	8												3,473
12		9	-	4	-	0	In		45	35	5	0	15	0											954,116
		8	-	3	-	2	In		69	25			6												16
11	.5	8	-	4	-	1	In		31	37	8	0	24	0											6,195
11		8	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	13	32	17	2	33	2	0	0									1,339,395
		7	-	4	-	2	In		9	36			55												11
10	.5	7	-	5	-	1	99.8		5	22	18	3	45	5	0										7,684
10		7	-	6	-	0	97.0		1	9	18	9	41	19	3	0	0	0							1,379,898
		6	-	5	-	2	In			38	25		25	13											8
9	.5	6	-	6	-	1	92.6		0	3	11	9	40	30	7	1	0								6,624
9		6	-	7	-	0	61.8		0	0	4	10	15	32	25	11	2	0	0	0					1,058,982
		5	-	6	-	2	61.5					8	23	31	23	15									13
8	.5	5	-	7	-	1	39.7				1	5	7	27	34	20	6	1	0						4,450
8		5	-	8	-	0	8.7			0	0	3	1	5	15	26	28	16	6	1	0	0			603,923
		4	-	7	-	2	Out								14	14	29	29	14						7
7	.5	4	-	8	-	1	1.8					1	0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0				2,104
7		4	-	9	-	0	0.2				0	0	0	0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	2	0	0	252,056
		3	-	8	-	2	Out												33	67					3
6	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out									0	3	16	26	31	17	5	1	0	649
6		3	-	10	-	0	0.0					0				0	0	1	5	19	33	29	12	2	75,240
5	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out												1	15	27	37	17	2	161
5		2	-	11	-	0	Out												0	1	8	28	43	21	15,030
4	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out															13	48	39	23
4		1	-	12	-	0	Out														0	5	33	62	1,896
3		0	-	13	-	0	Out																8	92	616

Total:							78.9	%	19	16	9	4	21	10	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	6,401,744

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Arizona	Atlanta	Green Bay	Minnesota	Dallas	NY Giants	Seattle	Washington	Philadelphia	St. Louis	Tampa Bay	San Francisco	Detroit	New Orleans	Chicago

15.5	-16						16.7	%	Yes
15		12	-	1	-	0	17.3		100				0	0
14	.5	11	-	1	-	1	20.8		100						0
14		11	-	2	-	0	17.1		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		10	-	1	-	2	No		Yes
13	.5	10	-	2	-	1	16.5		98			0	0	0	1	0	0	0
13		10	-	3	-	0	16.4		95	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	No		Yes
12	.5	9	-	3	-	1	15.4		90	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0		0
12		9	-	4	-	0	14.1		80	1	1	2	2	4	2	1	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2	18.8		94			6
11	.5	8	-	4	-	1	12.3		68	2	2	4	4	6	4	2	3	3	1	1	0	1	0	0
11		8	-	5	-	0	10.1		45	3	5	7	6	9	6	3	4	4	2	1	1	1	1	1
		7	-	4	-	2	No		45			18		18	9	9
10	.5	7	-	5	-	1	8.3		27	5	7	9	8	12	8	4	6	6	2	2	1	1	1	1
10		7	-	6	-	0	6.3		10	7	11	11	10	13	8	5	6	6	3	2	1	1	1	1
		6	-	5	-	2	No		38	13				25		13		13
9	.5	6	-	6	-	1	5.3		3	8	12	13	10	14	8	4	6	6	2	2	1	1	1	1
9		6	-	7	-	0	3.3		0	7	9	9	7	8	5	3	4	4	2	2	1	1	1	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No			8	15			8	8		8	8	8
8	.5	5	-	7	-	1	2.0			5	6	6	4	6	3	1	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
8		5	-	8	-	0	0.4		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
7	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
7		4	-	9	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
6	.5	3	-	9	-	1	No
6		3	-	10	-	0	No					0		0
3	-5.5						No

Total:							8.0	%	34.1	3.7	5.4	6.0	5.1	6.7	4.4	2.4	3.2	3.2	1.4	1.1	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.4

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	-1.2
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	+0.2
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	-0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+1.8-0.0-1.3
Atlanta vs Houston	+0.2+0.1-0.4
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.0-0.2+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.0-0.3+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.0*-0.3-0.1
Seattle vs Detroit	+0.0*+0.2-0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets	-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		13	-	0	-	0	100	0
15	.5	12	-	0	-	1	100
15		12	-	1	-	0	98	1	1						0
14	.5	11	-	1	-	1	95	2	2						0
14		11	-	2	-	0	87	7	6	0	0				1
		10	-	1	-	2	100
13	.5	10	-	2	-	1	78	12	8		0				2
13		10	-	3	-	0	57	20	18	0	1		0		4	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	50		50
12	.5	9	-	3	-	1	41	26	22	1	1		0		8	0
12		9	-	4	-	0	19	26	29	6	5	0	0	0	14	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2	13	56	25						6
11	.5	8	-	4	-	1	7	24	26	12	7	0	0		22	2	0
11		8	-	5	-	0	2	11	15	17	15	3	2	0	27	6	2	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2		9	9	27					45	9
10	.5	7	-	5	-	1	0	5	4	18	12	6	3	0	29	17	5	0	0
10		7	-	6	-	0	0	1	1	8	9	9	8	1	18	22	16	3	3	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2			13	25	25					25	13
9	.5	6	-	6	-	1		0		3	2	9	6	3	5	35	17	13	6	1	0	0
9		6	-	7	-	0		0	0	0	0	4	6	4	1	14	12	20	13	12	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								8		23	23	8		15	15	8
8	.5	5	-	7	-	1						1	1	4	0	7	1	26	9	18	19	10	4	1	0	0
8		5	-	8	-	0				0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	5	1	5	10	15	19	18	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2															14	14	29	14	29
7	.5	4	-	8	-	1								1		0		1		0	1	4	13	21	24	20	10	4	1	0
7		4	-	9	-	0						0	0	0		0		0		0	0	0	1	4	8	13	18	20	17	11	5	2	0	0	0
		3	-	8	-	2																						67		33
6	.5	3	-	9	-	1																			0	2	6	15	20	23	21	9	3	0	0
6		3	-	10	-	0								0										0	0	0	1	2	5	11	18	21	20	13	6	2	0	0
5	.5	2	-	10	-	1																								1	6	13	25	30	17	7	1
5		2	-	11	-	0																							0	0	1	3	9	18	26	26	14	4
4	.5	1	-	11	-	1																												4	4	48	30	13
4		1	-	12	-	0																											0	1	7	22	39	31
3		0	-	13	-	0																													0	3	20	76

Total:							10	8	9	6	6	3	3	1	12	8	6	5	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0