San Diego Chargers Playoff ChancesLost to Minnesota 14-31, playoff odds down 17.2 to 14.6% 1-2-0 .333 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | -6.4 | | -0.5 | | -0.7 | | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | -1.0 | | | | -0.1 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | +0.6 | | +0.1 | | | | Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 | -0.5 | | | | -0.0 | | St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 | -0.4 | | | | -0.0 | | New England 51 Jacksonville 17 | -0.4 | | | | | | Miami 14 Buffalo 41 | -0.2 | | | | | | Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 | +0.1 | | | | -0.0 | | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | -0.1 | | | | -0.0 | | Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | +0.4*+0.7-0.7 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | San Diego vs Cleveland | +4.7-2.3-6.2 | | +0.1*-0.1-0.2 | | +0.9-0.2-1.1 | | Denver vs Minnesota | -0.7*-0.7+1.0 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | | Chicago vs Oakland | +0.6*+1.3-0.5 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Miami vs NY Jets | +0.7*+0.7-0.5 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | -0.4*-1.1+0.6 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | -0.2*+0.0+0.5 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | +0.2*+0.9-0.4 | | | | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | | Atlanta vs Houston | | | | | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Indianapolis vs Jacksonville | | | | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 870 | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 13 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 79 | 19 | 1 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,746 | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 63 | 26 | 3 | | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 45 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 33,827 | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 29 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 286 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.6 | | 12 | 34 | 25 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 143,304 | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.0 | | 3 | 22 | 28 | 3 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1,248 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 89.0 | | 1 | 9 | 25 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 411,564 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | | | 33 | 33 | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 73.1 | | | 2 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3,207 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 39.6 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 842,509 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 53.8 | | | | | 8 | | 46 | 8 | 31 | 8 | | | | | | | | 13 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 14.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 5,689 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 3.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 1,263,644 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 25 | 25 | 30 | 15 | 5 | | | | | | 20 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 7,453 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1,404,096 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 4 | 32 | 28 | 28 | 8 | | | | 25 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6,962 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 1,157,788 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | 7 | 40 | 27 | | 15 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 34 | 10 | 4,879 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 42 | 29 | 699,864 | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 33 | 42 | 12 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 2,289 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 302,054 | | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 86 | 754 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 87,627 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 129 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 15,138 | | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 16 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,674 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 14.6 | % | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6,401,744 | |
First Round Opponent What IfFirst round opponent based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season. Explain | | If finish: | | Chance will play in first round | TW | W | - | L | - | T | Win SB | Bye | Denver | New England | Cincinnati | NY Jets | Pittsburgh | Buffalo | Tennessee | Houston | Oakland | Kansas City | Indianapolis | Jacksonville | Cleveland | Miami | Baltimore | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 7.2 | % | 100 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 50.0 | | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 8.1 | | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 11.4 | | 89 | 3 | | 3 | | | | | | | | 6 | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 7.1 | | 83 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7.7 | | 70 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 4.6 | | 46 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Yes | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3.4 | | 25 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2.4 | | 9 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | | 33 | 33 | | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1.8 | | 2 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.8 | | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | | 8 | 8 | 8 | | 8 | | 15 | 8 | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | No | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | -5.5 | | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | +1.7 | | Miami 14 Buffalo 41 | +0.1 | | Seattle 26 Chicago 0 | +0.1 | | New England 51 Jacksonville 17 | +0.1 | | St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 | -0.1 | | Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 | -0.0 | | Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | San Diego vs Cleveland | -1.7+0.2+2.2 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | +0.1-0.4-0.1 | | Indianapolis vs Jacksonville | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Seattle vs Detroit | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | | Miami vs NY Jets | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | | Tampa Bay vs Carolina | +0.1*+0.1-0.0 | | Arizona vs St. Louis | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | Atlanta vs Houston | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Chicago vs Oakland | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | New Orleans vs Dallas | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 87 | 7 | 6 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 49 | 30 | 18 | 1 | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 31 | 31 | 26 | | 3 | | | | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 14 | 8 | | 1 | | 18 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 24 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | 33 | 33 | | | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | 2 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 8 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 8 | | | 15 | 31 | | 23 | 23 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 4 | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 20 | 13 | 27 | 20 | 7 | | 7 | | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 2 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 42 | 42 | 8 | | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 4 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 25 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 10 | 38 | 51 | 3 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | 2 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
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