SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

New York Jets Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 17-24, playoff odds down 14.2 to 57.4%

2-1-0 .667

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	-9.3		-1.9		-0.8
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.6		-0.1		-0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.5		-0.1		-0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-0.5		-0.3		-0.1
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	+0.4				+0.0
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	+0.2		+0.2		+0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	-0.2		-0.2
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-0.1				-0.0
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27	-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.6*-0.2-1.0				+0.0*+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Miami vs NY Jets	-12.8-3.0+9.2		-1.6*-0.1+1.2		-1.0-0.2+0.7
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-1.1*+0.1+1.8		-0.1*+0.5+0.2		-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.9*-0.0-0.8		+0.1*-0.7-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.6*-1.0+1.1		-0.1*-0.9+0.1		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.5*-0.4+0.7		-0.1*-0.4+0.2
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	+0.2*+1.2-0.4		-0.1*+0.6+0.1		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland	-0.2*-1.6+0.3				-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston	+0.2*+0.5-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

15		13	-	0	-	0	In		100	0															3,692
14	.5	12	-	0	-	1	In		100																40
14		12	-	1	-	0	In		97	3	0		0												34,298
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		91	8			1												274
13		11	-	2	-	0	In		85	11	0		3	0											164,697
		10	-	1	-	2	In		50				50												2
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		69	23	1		7												1,330
12		10	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	55	27	3	0	15	0	0										482,933
		9	-	2	-	2	In		70		10		20												10
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	In		29	36	9	0	25	1											3,407
11		9	-	4	-	0	99.7		18	29	11	1	36	5	0	0									953,793
		8	-	3	-	2	In		14		14		57	14											7
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	98.4		5	19	17	2	41	14	2	0									6,003
10		8	-	5	-	0	92.7		2	10	12	4	39	26	7	1	0	0							1,341,579
		7	-	4	-	2	90.0		5	15	15		35	20	10										20
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1	75.2		0	2	8	6	23	37	20	4	0								7,519
9		7	-	6	-	0	51.4		0	0	3	4	12	32	32	13	3	0	0	0					1,384,133
		6	-	5	-	2	35.0					5	10	20	45	10	10								20
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1	14.8				0	2	2	11	31	33	18	4	0	0					6,707
8		6	-	7	-	0	6.1			0	0	1	0	5	20	31	26	12	4	1	0	0	0		1,059,859
		5	-	6	-	2	13.3					7		7	27	20	7	27	7						15
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.3					0		0	2	9	24	32	22	9	2	0			4,480
7		5	-	8	-	0	0.1					0	0	0	1	4	15	27	28	17	7	1	0	0	601,737
		4	-	7	-	2	Out								17			33		33	17				6
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1	Out									0	1	6	17	32	28	13	3	0	2,134
6		4	-	9	-	0	0.0					0				0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	1	250,593
5	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out												0	4	20	35	31	10	671
5		3	-	10	-	0	Out											0	0	2	12	31	37	18	74,440
		2	-	9	-	2	Out																100		2
4	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out															11	38	50	149
4		2	-	11	-	0	Out													0	1	7	35	57	14,850
3	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out																19	81	16
3		1	-	12	-	0	Out														0	0	12	87	1,751
2		0	-	13	-	0	Out																3	97	577

Total:							57.4	%	10	9	5	2	18	14	12	9	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Denver	New England	Cincinnati	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	Tennessee	Houston	Oakland	Kansas City	Indianapolis	San Diego	Jacksonville	Cleveland	Miami	Baltimore

14.5	-15						18.3	%	Yes
14		12	-	1	-	0	18.7		100	0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0			0
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	21.5		99						0						0
13		11	-	2	-	0	18.1		97	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2	No		50						50
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	18.8		92	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	1		1			0
12		10	-	3	-	0	15.7		82	1	1	1	1	0	4	3	1	1	3	0	2	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	20.0		70					10	20
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	13.7		64	2	2	2	2	1	8	5	1	2	4	1	3	1	0	0
11		9	-	4	-	0	11.3		47	4	3	3	4	2	11	8	2	2	7	1	4	1	0	1
		8	-	3	-	2	No		14	14		14			29							14	14
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	8.8		24	7	7	6	6	4	14	9	3	3	7	2	5	2	1	1
10		8	-	5	-	0	6.5		11	9	8	8	7	4	12	9	4	3	7	2	4	2	1	1
		7	-	4	-	2	10.0		20		5	10		5	20	10		5	5	5				5
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1	4.8		2	9	9	8	7	4	9	7	4	3	5	3	3	2	1	1
9		7	-	6	-	0	2.8		0	7	6	7	5	3	6	4	3	2	3	2	2	1	1	1
		6	-	5	-	2	No				5			10	5	5	10
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1	0.5			2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
8		6	-	7	-	0	0.3		0	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No			7				7
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1	No			0	0	0	0			0		0	0	0
7		5	-	8	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1	No
6		4	-	9	-	0	No											0
2	-5.5						No

Total:							5.5	%	18.8	4.2	3.6	3.8	3.2	1.9	6.0	4.4	1.9	1.5	3.4	1.1	2.1	0.7	0.3	0.4

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+2.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	+0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	+0.0
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	+0.0
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	-0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	-0.0
Miami 14 Buffalo 41	-0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.0*-0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Miami vs NY Jets	+2.0+0.0-1.5
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.1*-0.0-0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	+0.0-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Seattle vs Detroit	+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15		13	-	0	-	0	97	2	0
14	.5	12	-	0	-	1	98	3
14		12	-	1	-	0	86	12	3	0	0				0
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	70	21	8						1
13		11	-	2	-	0	55	30	11	0	0	0			3	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2	50								50
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	36	33	22	2	1				7	0
12		10	-	3	-	0	18	38	20	6	3	0	0		14	1	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	10	60			10				20
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	5	23	25	11	8	0	0		23	2	1
11		9	-	4	-	0	2	17	11	17	9	2	1	0	29	7	5	0	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2		14				14			29	29	14
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	0	5	4	15	11	5	2	0	29	12	14	0	2	0
10		8	-	5	-	0	0	2	1	9	5	7	3	1	19	21	23	3	6	1	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2		5		15	15				15	20	20		10
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1		0		2	1	7	4	2	6	17	28	10	20	5	0
9		7	-	6	-	0		0	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	11	16	16	17	18	10	3	1	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2							5			10	5	15	15	25	20	5
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1						0	0	1	0	2	1	10	14	27	26	14	4	1	0
8		6	-	7	-	0				0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	2	7	14	19	20	16	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								7				7		13	33	13	13	7	7
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1								0				0	0	0	1	5	14	23	24	18	10	3	0	0
7		5	-	8	-	0								0		0		0	0	0	0	1	2	6	11	17	19	18	13	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2																						67		17	17
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1																		0	0	2	7	16	23	25	17	7	2	0	0
6		4	-	9	-	0								0									0	0	0	0	1	4	9	15	20	20	16	10	4	1	0	0
5	.5	3	-	9	-	1																							0	2	6	14	28	25	19	5	1
5		3	-	10	-	0																						0	0	0	2	5	13	22	26	21	10	2
		2	-	9	-	2																															100
4	.5	2	-	10	-	1																											1	7	17	36	33	6
4		2	-	11	-	0																										0	0	2	10	26	37	25
3	.5	1	-	11	-	1																														6	56	38
3		1	-	12	-	0																													0	5	30	65
2		0	-	13	-	0																														0	8	92

Total:							4	7	4	5	3	2	1	1	10	8	9	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0