SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

New York Giants Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.3 to 32.1%

1-2-0 .333

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+6.8		+0.3		+1.0
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	+1.4		+0.1		+0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	-0.8				-0.1
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	+0.4				+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	-0.4				-0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.4				+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.2				+0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	-0.2				+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.2*-0.0+0.3		-0.0*+0.2+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-6.0*+0.6+9.4		-0.3*+0.1+0.5		-0.6*+0.1+1.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	+1.9*+1.6-1.9		+0.1*-0.3-0.1		+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.4*-2.0-0.6				+0.0*-0.2-0.1
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.3*-0.2+0.5
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.2*+0.4+0.4		-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.2*-0.1-0.4		-0.0*+0.1+0.1		+0.0-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.3*+0.8-0.2		+0.0*-0.2-0.0		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.2*-1.5-0.2		+0.1*-0.0-0.0		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia	+0.2*-0.6-0.2				+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Giants finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14		13	-	0	-	0	In		90	9	0		0												1,447
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	In		90	10															10
13		12	-	1	-	0	In		69	28	3	0	0												11,537
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		60	34	5														111
12		11	-	2	-	0	In		36	44	16	1	2	0											69,591
		10	-	1	-	2	In				100														1
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		24	47	23	3	3	0											617
11		10	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	9	34	38	11	7	1	0	0									249,359
		9	-	2	-	2	In			50	50														2
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	99.9		2	21	45	19	9	3	0										1,956
10		9	-	4	-	0	97.6		1	9	33	31	13	10	2	0	0	0							610,575
		8	-	3	-	2	In			9		45	27	18											11
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	93.0		0	2	22	38	13	17	6	1	0								4,353
9		8	-	5	-	0	71.8		0	1	9	35	7	20	18	8	2	0	0	0					1,069,123
		7	-	4	-	2	94.4				11	39	6	39	6										18
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	47.0			0	3	28	2	14	27	19	6	1	0						6,785
8		7	-	6	-	0	22.5			0	1	16	1	6	17	25	21	10	3	0	0	0			1,375,856
		6	-	5	-	2	50.0					25	8	17	17	8	25								12
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	7.6					7	0	1	6	19	30	24	11	3	0				7,482
7		6	-	7	-	0	2.9				0	3	0	0	1	7	17	26	25	14	5	1	0	0	1,314,198
		5	-	6	-	2	4.3					4				9	4	17	30	22	9	4			23
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.4					0			0	1	4	14	31	30	16	4	1	0	6,098
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.2					0		0	0	0	1	5	16	27	28	17	5	1	938,145
		4	-	7	-	2	Out											8	17	17	42	17			12
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.0					0					0	0	3	14	32	33	16	2	3,697
5		4	-	9	-	0	0.0					0					0	0	1	6	19	34	31	10	490,521
		3	-	8	-	2	Out													29	14	14	29	14	7
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out												0	0	6	23	45	26	1,544
4		3	-	10	-	0	Out												0	0	2	14	42	42	183,419
		2	-	9	-	2	Out															100			1
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out														0	4	32	64	428
3		2	-	11	-	0	Out														0	2	22	76	46,624
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out																14	86	73
2		1	-	12	-	0	Out															0	7	93	7,172
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1	Out																20	80	5
1		0	-	13	-	0	Out																1	99	931

Total:							32.1	%	1	3	7	13	3	6	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	4	3	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Giants finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Arizona	Atlanta	Carolina	Green Bay	Minnesota	Dallas	Seattle	Washington	Philadelphia	St. Louis	Tampa Bay	San Francisco	Detroit	New Orleans	Chicago

14		13	-	0	-	0	12.3	%	100	0	0				0	0	0	0
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	10.0		Yes
13		12	-	1	-	0	11.7		96	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	10.8		95			2		2		1	1
12		11	-	2	-	0	10.3		80	1	1	3	2	2	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2	No														Yes
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	9.4		70	1	3	4	3	2	4	4	2	1	2	2	1	0	0	0
11		10	-	3	-	0	7.3		43	3	6	8	5	6	8	6	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	1
		9	-	2	-	2	Yes		50	50
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	4.8		23	4	10	11	8	8	10	7	4	3	4	3	2	1	1	1
10		9	-	4	-	0	4.5		10	6	12	12	9	9	11	7	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	1
		8	-	3	-	2	9.1		9	9	18	9	9		9	9			9	18
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	3.3		2	6	14	14	9	9	10	7	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	1
9		8	-	5	-	0	2.7		1	6	12	11	8	7	7	5	4	3	3	3	1	1	1	0
		7	-	4	-	2	No			11		17	17	6	17		11		6	6		6
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	1.8		0	4	9	8	5	4	4	3	2	1	2	2	1	1	1	0
8		7	-	6	-	0	0.8		0	2	5	4	2	2	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2	No				17		25		8
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	0.3			0	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0	0.1			0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No																	4
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.0			0	0	0		0		0			0	0	0
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0		0			0	0	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	No					0
5		4	-	9	-	0	No				0	0		0						0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
1	-4.5						No

Total:							1.5	%	3.8	2.1	4.7	4.4	3.0	2.8	2.9	2.2	1.4	1.0	1.2	1.2	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.2

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	-1.9
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-0.2
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-0.1
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	-0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7	+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+1.5-0.1-2.4
New Orleans vs Dallas	-0.1-0.2+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.1*+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

14		13	-	0	-	0	85	5	9		0				0
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	80	10	10
13		12	-	1	-	0	48	20	27	1	3	0	0		0
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	42	18	33	1	5
12		11	-	2	-	0	13	24	35	9	16	0	1		2	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2					100
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	6	17	35	12	23	0	3		3		0
11		10	-	3	-	0	1	9	12	22	29	8	11	0	6	1	1	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2				50	50
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1		2	4	17	32	13	19	0	7	3	3		0
10		9	-	4	-	0	0	1	1	8	12	22	26	5	5	8	8	2	2	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2				9			36	9	18	9	9	9
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1		0		2	4	18	29	9	3	11	11	6	6	1	0	0	0
9		8	-	5	-	0		0	0	1	1	9	18	17	0	7	5	15	12	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2						11	28	11		6	6	33			6
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1				0	0	3	9	18		2	1	14	7	15	16	10	3	1	0
8		7	-	6	-	0				0	0	1	3	13		1	0	5	2	7	13	17	16	12	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2								25		8		17		8	25				8		8
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1							1	6		0		1		0	1	5	12	21	23	17	9	3	1	0
7		6	-	7	-	0						0	0	3		0		0	0	0	0	1	3	7	13	18	19	16	11	6	3	1	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								4											13	22	22	9	9	13	4	4
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1								0									0	0	0	2	7	16	23	24	16	8	2	1	0	0
6		5	-	8	-	0							0	0				0					0	0	0	0	2	5	10	16	20	20	15	8	3	1	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2																						25			42	25		8
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1								0														0	0	2	7	16	26	26	16	7	1	0
5		4	-	9	-	0								0													0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	25	19	9	2
		3	-	8	-	2																										14		29	29	14		14
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1																										0	1	6	21	34	29	9
4		3	-	10	-	0																									0	0	0	3	11	26	37	23
		2	-	9	-	2																														100
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1																													1	12	37	50
3		2	-	11	-	0																												0	0	5	29	65
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1																														1	26	73
2		1	-	12	-	0																														0	9	91
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1																															20	80
1		0	-	13	-	0																															2	98

Total:							0	1	1	2	3	4	7	7	1	2	2	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1