SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances

Lost to Pittsburgh 6-12, playoff odds down 12.8 to 17%

1-2-0 .333

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-7.0		-0.4		-0.8
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.4				+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	-0.4				-0.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	-0.3				-0.1
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-0.3
Seattle 26 Chicago 0	-0.2				-0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7	-0.2
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+0.2				-0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	-0.2				+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.2				+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.3*+0.6+0.4		-0.0*+0.1+0.0		-0.0*+0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs St. Louis	-4.8*+0.5+12.2		-0.2*-0.0+0.4		-0.6*+0.1+1.5
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.4*+1.5+0.8		-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.4*+0.0-0.6		+0.0*+0.1-0.0		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.3*+0.3+0.4
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.3*-0.7-0.4				+0.0*-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Dallas	+0.3*+1.6-0.3		+0.0*-0.2-0.0		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.3*+0.1-0.2				-0.0*+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.2*-1.1-0.1		+0.0*-0.1-0.0		-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.1*+1.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well St. Louis finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14		13	-	0	-	0	In		97	3															651
13		12	-	1	-	0	In		86	13	0		1												2,821
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		69	31															26
12		11	-	2	-	0	In		55	32	3	0	10	0											22,083
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		33	36	7	1	21	2											228
11		10	-	3	-	0	99.9	%	18	35	14	1	27	4	0										104,287
		9	-	2	-	2	In			100															1
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	99.4		5	21	19	3	38	13	1										955
10		9	-	4	-	0	96.6		2	12	18	7	36	22	3	0	0								330,617
		8	-	3	-	2	In				17		17	67											6
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	86.9		0	3	10	7	27	40	12	1	0								2,717
9		8	-	5	-	0	64.6		0	1	5	8	15	36	25	8	1	0	0	0					739,270
		7	-	4	-	2	81.8				9	9	9	55	18										11
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	28.8			0	1	3	3	22	36	26	8	1	0						5,171
8		7	-	6	-	0	12.6			0	0	2	1	9	23	30	22	9	2	0	0	0			1,199,295
		6	-	5	-	2	15.0					5		10	40	35	5	5							20
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	1.1				0	0		1	6	20	31	27	12	3	0	0			7,331
7		6	-	7	-	0	0.4				0	0	0	0	2	8	20	28	25	13	4	1	0	0	1,430,031
		5	-	6	-	2	Out									14	10	33	24	14	5				21
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	Out								0	0	4	15	29	30	17	4	0	0	7,346
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.0					0		0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	16	4	0	1,255,375
		4	-	7	-	2	Out											15	8	38	23	15			13
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	Out										0	0	3	14	31	32	16	3	5,308
5		4	-	9	-	0	Out									0	0	0	1	5	19	34	30	10	798,274
		3	-	8	-	2	Out														20	20	60		5
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out												0	0	5	21	45	29	2,646
4		3	-	10	-	0	Out												0	0	2	13	40	45	357,825
		2	-	9	-	2	Out																	100	3
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out														0	3	27	69	910
3		2	-	11	-	0	Out														0	1	18	81	106,860
		1	-	10	-	2	Out																	100	1
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out																5	95	169
2		1	-	12	-	0	Out															0	3	97	19,394
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1	Out																	100	11
1		0	-	13	-	0	Out																0	100	2,062

Total:							17.0	%	1	1	2	2	4	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well St. Louis finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Arizona	Atlanta	Carolina	Green Bay	Minnesota	Dallas	NY Giants	Seattle	Washington	Philadelphia	Tampa Bay	San Francisco	Detroit	New Orleans	Chicago

14		13	-	0	-	0	10.0	%	Yes
13		12	-	1	-	0	8.3		99			0	0	0	0	0			0	0		0
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	7.7		Yes
12		11	-	2	-	0	7.3		87	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	7.5		69	1	1	1	6	6	4	1	3	1	3	1	0	1	0
11		10	-	3	-	0	5.1		53	5	3	4	7	6	7	5	1	3	3	1	0	1	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	No		Yes
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	2.5		26	9	6	5	12	8	11	7	2	6	4	1	0	1	0	1
10		9	-	4	-	0	2.7		14	10	6	7	13	10	11	7	3	5	5	1	0	1	1	1
		8	-	3	-	2	No			17		33	33	17
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	1.6		3	11	6	7	15	10	11	7	3	5	5	1	1	1	1	1
9		8	-	5	-	0	1.2		1	9	6	6	11	8	8	5	2	4	3	1	0	1	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2	No			36		18	9			9	9
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	0.5		0	4	2	3	5	3	4	2	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
8		7	-	6	-	0	0.2		0	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2	5.0						10		5
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0			0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	No
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0		0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
1	-5.5						No

Total:							0.4	%	2.1	2.0	1.3	1.4	2.5	1.8	1.9	1.2	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	+2.0
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27	+0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.1
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+0.1
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7	+0.0
Seattle 26 Chicago 0	-0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	-0.0
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.1*-0.2+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs St. Louis	+1.2-1.0-3.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	-0.1*+0.1+0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Washington vs Philadelphia	-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.0-0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.0-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.0*-0.3+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	+0.0*-0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

14		13	-	0	-	0	92	5	3
13		12	-	1	-	0	56	30	12	1	0				1
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	38	31	31
12		11	-	2	-	0	16	39	24	7	3	0	0		9	1	0
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	9	25	25	11	7		1		18	3	2
11		10	-	3	-	0	1	17	11	24	11	3	1	0	19	8	4	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2				100
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	0	4	5	17	13	6	3	0	25	13	13	1	1
10		9	-	4	-	0	0	2	1	12	5	13	5	1	10	26	15	7	3	1	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2						17				17	33	33
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1		0		3	2	9	6	2	4	23	22	18	11	2	0
9		8	-	5	-	0		0	0	1	0	5	4	4	1	14	7	29	9	12	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2						9		9		9	18	36		18
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1				0		1	1	2		3	1	21	9	20	23	14	5	1	0	0
8		7	-	6	-	0				0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	9	1	3	8	13	18	18	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2								5				10	5	5	10	5	15	30	10	5
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1						0	0	0				1		0	1	5	12	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0						0	0	0		0		0		0	0	0	1	3	6	12	17	20	18	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2																			10	14	14	14	33	10	5
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1																	0	0	0	2	7	15	23	24	18	8	3	1	0
6		5	-	8	-	0								0				0						0	0	0	0	2	5	10	17	22	21	14	6	2	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2																							8		8	38	31	8	8
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1																						0	0	1	5	16	25	25	18	7	1	0
5		4	-	9	-	0																						0	0	0	1	2	8	18	27	26	15	3
		3	-	8	-	2																												40	20	20	20
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1																										0	1	6	17	33	32	11
4		3	-	10	-	0																										0	0	1	6	20	40	33
		2	-	9	-	2																																100
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1																													1	8	35	55
3		2	-	11	-	0																												0	0	3	22	75
		1	-	10	-	2																																100
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1																														1	9	90
2		1	-	12	-	0																													0	0	4	96
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1																																100
1		0	-	13	-	0																															0	100

Total:							0	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	3	2	5	1	2	2	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4