Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Beat Baltimore 27-24, playoff odds up 8 to 77.2%
3-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 +9.4
+1.7
+0.9
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 -1.3
-0.3
-0.1
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 +1.0
+0.2
+0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 +0.6
+0.2
+0.1
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 -0.3
-0.1
Detroit 12 Denver 24 -0.3
-0.2
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 +0.3
+0.0
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 +0.2
+0.2
+0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.4*-0.7-0.6
+0.0*-0.5-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Kansas City+6.3*-1.4-10.6
+1.1*-0.1-1.9
+0.6-0.2-0.9
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.9*+0.2+1.6
-0.2*+0.9+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.6*-0.4+0.9
-0.1*+0.6+0.2
Miami vs NY Jets+0.8*+0.4-0.6
+0.2*+0.4-0.2
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.4*+0.3-0.6
+0.1*+0.6-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.4*-0.0-0.4
Denver vs Minnesota-0.2*+0.3+0.3
-0.2*+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston+0.1*-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1613-0-0In10003,201
15.512-0-1In10024
1512-1-0In99130,010
14.511-1-1In991286
1411-2-0In95500150,166
10-1-2In1001
13.510-2-1In946001,223
1310-3-0In80181010455,402
9-2-2In1003
12.59-3-1In73242203,257
129-4-0100.0%493970500923,984
8-3-2In5638616
11.58-4-1In3345130805,896
118-5-099.815402521530001,332,156
7-4-2In143223518922
10.57-5-199.5530354196007,708
107-6-094.1115349191651001,397,675
6-5-283.381733251712
9.56-6-183.30426151524143006,923
96-7-058.3011414722251331001,086,842
5-6-262.51313251325138
8.55-7-126.80412192429154104,649
85-8-012.1017041527251451000626,924
4-7-210.010204010101010
7.54-8-13.00302823302491002,223
74-9-00.901004132528198200264,621
3-8-2Out145714147
6.53-9-10.400051929271530760
63-10-00.00002102331239179,196
2-9-2Out1002
5.52-10-1Out141735349175
52-11-0Out0021231381715,740
4.51-11-1Out13503824
41-12-0Out1834571,992
30-13-0Out01288606
Total:77.2%19191659875432110006,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverNew EnglandNY JetsPittsburghBuffaloTennesseeHoustonOaklandKansas CityIndianapolisSan DiegoJacksonvilleClevelandMiamiBaltimore
14.5-1617.9%Yes
1411-2-017.8100000000000000000
10-1-2NoYes
13.510-2-115.310000
1310-3-017.198000000000000000
9-2-266.7Yes
12.59-3-115.79700000010000000
129-4-015.288111112111111000
8-3-212.5946
11.58-4-113.478122323221111100
118-5-011.556334645333322111
7-4-213.64555518995
10.57-5-19.935657867455332211
107-6-07.1167771287565432211
6-5-216.78171788888
9.56-6-15.048881286565342222
96-7-03.41666964344221211
5-6-2No1313131313
8.55-7-11.60333341122110010
85-8-00.70122121011010000
4-7-2No10
7.54-8-10.301100000100
74-9-00.000000000000000
3-8-2No
6.53-9-1No000
63-10-00.000000000
2-9-2No
3-5.5No
Total:8.6%38.03.73.53.85.53.93.52.62.82.81.81.61.31.00.70.7
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 -1.7
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 +0.2
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 -0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 -0.1
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 -0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +0.0
Miami 14 Buffalo 41 -0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-1.1+0.3+1.8
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2-0.1-0.4
Seattle vs Detroit-0.0-0.2+0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia*+0.0-0.2-0.0
Miami vs NY Jets-0.1*-0.1+0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland-0.0*-0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1613-0-010000
15.512-0-1100
1512-1-09811
14.511-1-19721
1411-2-08885000
10-1-2100
13.510-2-18113600
1310-3-05823171100100
9-2-2100
12.59-3-14230221220
129-4-019303277005000
8-3-23125386
11.58-4-172631151210800
118-5-021419222141012230000
7-4-25918141855189
10.57-5-1056242411401456000
107-6-0012131717811091515100
6-5-288817172517
9.56-6-10045211144111861330
96-7-000121286161291915620000
5-6-2131325131325
8.55-7-10043911811232211410
85-8-00011500033917201712621000
4-7-2101020201030
7.54-8-1003001413222418103100
74-9-00010001381419191610621000
3-8-21443141414
6.53-9-10026152423178310
63-10-00000015111721191473100
2-9-25050
5.52-10-11231723251892
52-11-0000261523251992
4.51-11-133252913
41-12-00211283821
30-13-0042867
Total:1091099742636254322111111000000000