Cincinnati Bengals Playoff ChancesBeat Baltimore 27-24, playoff odds up 8 to 77.2% 3-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 | +9.4 | | +1.7 | | +0.9 | | St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 | -1.3 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 | +1.0 | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | +0.6 | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | New England 51 Jacksonville 17 | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | -0.3 | | -0.2 | | | | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | +0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | -0.1 | | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | +0.4*-0.7-0.6 | | +0.0*-0.5-0.1 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | +6.3*-1.4-10.6 | | +1.1*-0.1-1.9 | | +0.6-0.2-0.9 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | -0.9*+0.2+1.6 | | -0.2*+0.9+0.5 | | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | -0.6*-0.4+0.9 | | -0.1*+0.6+0.2 | | | | Miami vs NY Jets | +0.8*+0.4-0.6 | | +0.2*+0.4-0.2 | | | | San Diego vs Cleveland | +0.4*+0.3-0.6 | | +0.1*+0.6-0.1 | | | | Chicago vs Oakland | +0.4*-0.0-0.4 | | | | | | Denver vs Minnesota | -0.2*+0.3+0.3 | | -0.2*+0.2+0.3 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | Atlanta vs Houston | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,201 | | 15 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 15 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30,010 | | 14 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 286 | | 14 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 150,166 | | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 13 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,223 | | 13 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 80 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 455,402 | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 12 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 73 | 24 | 2 | | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3,257 | | 12 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 49 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 923,984 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 56 | 38 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 11 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 33 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 5,896 | | 11 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.8 | | 15 | 40 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,332,156 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 14 | 32 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 10 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.5 | | 5 | 30 | 35 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7,708 | | 10 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 94.1 | | 1 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,397,675 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 83.3 | | | 8 | 17 | | 33 | 25 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 9 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 83.3 | | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 6,923 | | 9 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 58.3 | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1,086,842 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 62.5 | | | 13 | 13 | 25 | | 13 | 25 | 13 | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 26.8 | | | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 4,649 | | 8 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 12.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 626,924 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 10.0 | | | | | | 10 | | 20 | 40 | 10 | 10 | 10 | | | | | | 10 | | 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 3.0 | | | | 0 | 3 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 2,223 | | 7 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.9 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 264,621 | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 57 | 14 | | | 14 | | 7 | | 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 760 | | 6 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 79,196 | | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | 2 | | 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 34 | 9 | 175 | | 5 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 38 | 17 | 15,740 | | 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 50 | 38 | 24 | | 4 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 34 | 57 | 1,992 | | 3 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | 606 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 77.2 | % | 19 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6,401,744 | |
First Round Opponent What IfFirst round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season. Explain | | If finish: | | Chance will play in first round | TW | W | - | L | - | T | Win SB | Bye | Denver | New England | NY Jets | Pittsburgh | Buffalo | Tennessee | Houston | Oakland | Kansas City | Indianapolis | San Diego | Jacksonville | Cleveland | Miami | Baltimore | | | | 14.5 | -16 | | 17.9 | % | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 17.8 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 15.3 | | 100 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 17.1 | | 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 66.7 | | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 15.7 | | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 12 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 15.2 | | 88 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 12.5 | | 94 | | | | | | | | | 6 | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 13.4 | | 78 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11.5 | | 56 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 13.6 | | 45 | 5 | 5 | 5 | | | 18 | | 9 | 9 | | | 5 | | | | 10 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 9.9 | | 35 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 7.1 | | 16 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 16.7 | | 8 | 17 | | | 17 | 8 | 8 | | | 8 | | | 8 | | 8 | | 9 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 5.0 | | 4 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 3.4 | | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 13 | | | 13 | 13 | | | | 13 | 13 | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1.6 | | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.7 | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | 10 | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | 0 | | 7 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | No | | | 0 | | | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 6 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | -5.5 | | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 8.6 | % | 38.0 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 | -1.7 | | St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 | +0.2 | | Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 | -0.1 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | -0.1 | | Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 | -0.0 | | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | +0.0 | | Miami 14 Buffalo 41 | -0.0 | | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | -1.1+0.3+1.8 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | +0.2-0.1-0.4 | | Seattle vs Detroit | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | | Washington vs Philadelphia | *+0.0-0.2-0.0 | | Miami vs NY Jets | -0.1*-0.1+0.0 | | San Diego vs Cleveland | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Chicago vs Oakland | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | New Orleans vs Dallas | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Arizona vs St. Louis | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 97 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 88 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 81 | 13 | 6 | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 58 | 23 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 42 | 30 | 22 | 1 | 2 | | | | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 19 | 30 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 31 | 25 | 38 | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 7 | 26 | 31 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 5 | 5 | | 18 | | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | 8 | 8 | 8 | | | 17 | 17 | 25 | | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | 13 | | 13 | 25 | | | | | 13 | 13 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | 20 | 20 | | 10 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 43 | 14 | 14 | 14 | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | 6 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 2 | | 5 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 25 | 29 | 13 | 4 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 3 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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