Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Beat St. Louis 12-6, playoff odds up 11.1 to 53.1%
2-1-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 +7.6
+0.8
+0.8
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 -1.2
-0.2
-0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24 -0.5
-0.1
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 +0.4
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 -0.3
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.4*+1.7-0.7
+0.0*-0.4-0.0
+0.0*+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+7.4*-0.5-14.0
+0.8*+0.1-1.6
+0.7+0.0-1.3
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.9*+0.8+1.5
-0.2*-0.2+0.4
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.7*+0.9+1.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets+0.9*+0.8-0.6
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.5*-0.8-0.5
Denver vs Minnesota-0.3*-0.2+0.5
-0.1*-0.5+0.2
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.2*+0.3-0.3
Atlanta vs Houston+0.1*-1.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1513-0-0In9913,497
14.512-0-1In10020
1412-1-0In9550032,184
13.511-1-1In92701285
1311-2-0In78201020156,162
10-1-2In1001
12.510-2-1In67262501,199
1210-3-0100.0%4240701000461,049
9-2-2In3850138
11.59-3-1In30411101803,317
119-4-099.6103524223600922,851
8-3-2In15318311513
10.58-4-198.84232833110106,038
108-5-089.309268212491001,320,239
7-4-294.754752611519
9.57-5-178.30218101930174007,393
97-6-041.3007104192921810001,387,194
6-5-228.677141450714
8.56-6-120.20271102732174007,080
86-7-04.90030161929251231001,084,321
5-6-2Out641351817
7.55-7-11.00101823322310204,665
75-8-00.300000413262919710630,268
4-7-2Out1003
6.54-8-1Out0517293015302,168
64-9-00.00002102534236268,919
3-8-2Out33673
5.53-9-1Out0315353611721
53-10-0Out00316423882,158
2-9-2Out1001
4.52-10-1Out83953163
42-11-0Out01207816,912
3.51-11-1Out79328
31-12-0Out04962,198
20-13-0Out0100636
Total:53.1%71011591098765432216,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverNew EnglandCincinnatiNY JetsBuffaloTennesseeHoustonOaklandKansas CityIndianapolisSan DiegoJacksonvilleClevelandMiamiBaltimore
14.5-1517.1%Yes
1412-1-017.410000000000000
13.511-1-116.899000
1311-2-016.697000001000000000
10-1-2NoYes
12.510-2-118.393101001100100000
1210-3-014.183112113211111000
9-2-2No8813
11.59-3-113.371223225321312010
119-4-09.945547457533423110
8-3-2No468815815
10.58-4-18.4277610559843524111
108-5-05.7109713778655433111
7-4-2No5511161151111165
9.57-5-14.729712767555433211
97-6-02.20557443233121110
6-5-2No7714
8.56-6-11.10333221111110000
86-7-00.30110110001000000
5-6-2No
7.55-7-10.0000000000
75-8-00.00000000000000
4-7-2No
6.54-8-1No
64-9-0No00000000
3-8-2No
2-5.5No
Total:4.7%17.54.03.35.53.23.13.62.62.32.31.81.31.30.60.50.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 -1.8
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 +0.2
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 -0.1
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 -0.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 -0.0
Seattle 26 Chicago 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-1.2+0.5+2.2
Cincinnati vs Kansas City+0.2*-0.2-0.3
New Orleans vs Dallas-0.0-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.0*+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1513-0-09811
14.512-0-1955
1412-1-08695000
13.511-1-17814701
1311-2-0532519110200
10-1-2100
12.510-2-13928251250
1210-3-014283197009000
9-2-213255013
11.59-3-1624271410001710
119-4-0191421204201846000
8-3-288151583115
10.58-4-1045181993022910010
108-5-00018111571101121310100
7-4-25262151116555
9.57-5-10023157351422717410
97-6-000017551410103019720000
6-5-277771457
8.56-6-1002150119132624124100
86-7-0000130001514212216105210000
5-6-235351866
7.55-7-10010016142225189310
75-8-0000000025111720181384200000
4-7-2333333
6.54-8-10028162224177300
64-9-00000127142021171152000
3-8-2333333
5.53-9-11517232918610
53-10-0000381725241561
2-9-2100
4.52-10-12217363310
42-11-0001413293518
3.51-11-13961
31-12-00163459
20-13-0011486
Total:34566532647397543332221111110000