SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Houston Texans Playoff Chances

Beat Tampa Bay 19-9, playoff odds up 14.9 to 30.7%

1-2-0 .333

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+3.7		+0.2		+0.6
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	+1.6		+0.1		+0.1
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	+0.7				+0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.2				+0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.2
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.1				-0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	+0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27					+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.1*-0.5-0.2				+0.0*-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta vs Houston	-5.3*+1.7+8.3		-0.2*+0.1+0.4		-0.6+0.3+1.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	-0.2*+1.6+0.3				-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.1*+0.5+0.2				-0.0+0.1+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.2*-0.7-0.1		+0.0*-0.5-0.0		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.1*-0.7+0.1		-0.0*+0.3+0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland					+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14		13	-	0	-	0	In		97	3															890
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	In		100																4
13		12	-	1	-	0	In		85	14	1														6,249
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		72	24	4														67
12		11	-	2	-	0	In		53	38	8	0	0												41,622
		10	-	1	-	2	In		100																2
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		30	47	21	2	1												375
11		10	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	16	42	33	8	2	0	0										170,828
		9	-	2	-	2	In						100												1
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	99.8		3	24	43	24	5	1	0										1,453
10		9	-	4	-	0	98.8		1	12	40	36	5	4	1	0	0	0							468,510
		8	-	3	-	2	In				50	50													6
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	93.7		0	2	23	54	6	9	5	1	0								3,501
9		8	-	5	-	0	78.5		0	0	12	55	3	9	11	7	3	0	0	0					916,658
		7	-	4	-	2	90.9				9	73	9			9									22
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	52.1			0	2	45	0	5	14	18	12	4	1	0	0				6,056
8		7	-	6	-	0	33.8			0	1	32	0	1	5	14	20	16	7	2	0	0	0		1,311,652
		6	-	5	-	2	26.3					26			16	16	21	16	5						19
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	15.4				0	15		0	1	5	17	28	22	9	2	0			7,627
7		6	-	7	-	0	7.6				0	8		0	0	1	5	16	26	25	14	4	1	0	1,390,153
		5	-	6	-	2	21.1					21						16	21	32	11				19
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	1.9					2				0	0	3	16	30	30	15	3	0	6,753
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.6					1				0	0	1	4	15	29	31	17	3	1,093,538
		4	-	7	-	2	Out													14	21	29	36		14
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.0					0							0	4	17	36	32	11	4,429
5		4	-	9	-	0	0.0					0						0	0	1	6	22	42	30	628,209
		3	-	8	-	2	Out														9	18	36	36	11
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out														1	11	38	50	1,950
4		3	-	10	-	0	Out													0	0	3	26	71	256,534
		2	-	9	-	2	Out																67	33	3
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out															1	15	85	601
3		2	-	11	-	0	Out															0	7	93	70,727
		1	-	10	-	2	Out																	100	2
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out																2	98	109
2		1	-	12	-	0	Out																1	99	11,762
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1	Out																	100	8
1		0	-	13	-	0	Out																0	100	1,380

Total:							30.7	%	1	2	6	19	1	2	3	4	6	7	8	8	9	9	8	8	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Denver	New England	Cincinnati	NY Jets	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	Tennessee	Oakland	Kansas City	Indianapolis	San Diego	Jacksonville	Cleveland	Miami	Baltimore

13.5	-14						11.2	%	Yes
13		12	-	1	-	0	9.7		99		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	10.4		96				1			1		1
12		11	-	2	-	0	9.4		92	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2	No		Yes
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	7.2		77	1	1	3	4	2	3	2	2	2	1	1		1	1	1
11		10	-	3	-	0	6.8		57	3	5	4	6	4	5	3	3	4	1	2	1	1	1	1
		9	-	2	-	2	No			Yes
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	4.7		28	4	9	7	9	7	10	5	6	6	2	2	1	2	1	1
10		9	-	4	-	0	3.8		13	6	10	8	12	8	11	6	6	7	2	3	1	2	2	1
		8	-	3	-	2	No			17			17	17	17			17		17
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	3.2		2	6	12	9	13	8	12	5	6	7	2	4	1	2	1	1
9		8	-	5	-	0	2.4		1	6	11	8	12	7	11	4	5	6	1	2	1	1	1	1
		7	-	4	-	2	No			5	9	14	5		14		14	5		14		5	5	5
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	1.7		0	4	8	6	8	5	8	1	3	4	1	1	0	1	1	0
8		7	-	6	-	0	1.0		0	2	6	3	6	3	6	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
		6	-	5	-	2	No						16	5				5
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	0.4			1	3	1	3	1	3	0	1	1		0		0	0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0	0.2			0	1	1	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No			11	11
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0		0		0	0
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0		0		0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	No				0
5		4	-	9	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0		0				0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
1	-4.5						No

Total:							1.1	%	3.3	1.8	4.1	2.6	4.4	2.6	4.2	1.0	1.8	2.0	0.4	0.9	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.3

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-1.6
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	-0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	-0.1
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-0.1
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	-0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Houston	+1.5-0.4-2.4
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.0-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.1*-0.1+0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	*-0.0-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.0+0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	+0.0*-0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

14		13	-	0	-	0	91	6	3
13	.5	12	-	0	-	1	75	25
13		12	-	1	-	0	55	31	13	1	1
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	46	25	24		4
12		11	-	2	-	0	16	38	29	10	8	0	0		0	0
		10	-	1	-	2		100
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	6	24	32	15	20	1	2		0	0
11		10	-	3	-	0	1	15	14	28	25	8	8	0	1	0	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2									100
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1		3	5	20	31	12	23	0	4	1	1		0
10		9	-	4	-	0	0	1	1	12	14	26	29	7	2	3	3	1	1	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2					17	33	33	17
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1		0	0	2	4	19	39	15	1	4	7	2	5	1	0
9		8	-	5	-	0		0	0	0	1	11	24	31	0	2	4	5	9	7	4	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2						9	41	32		9			5	5
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1				0		2	11	34		0	1	4	7	14	15	9	3	1	0
8		7	-	6	-	0				0	0	1	4	28	0	0	0	1	2	6	11	14	13	10	6	3	1	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2								26					5		21	37	11
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1						0	1	15				0		0	1	4	11	19	20	16	9	3	1	0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0						0	0	7				0	0	0	0	1	3	6	12	16	17	16	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								21										5	26	16	5	16	5	5
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1								2										0	0	2	7	15	24	24	15	8	2	0	0
6		5	-	8	-	0							0	1									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	20	20	15	8	3	1	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2																			7				14		21	21	7	21	7
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1								0														0	0	2	6	16	25	26	17	6	1	0
5		4	-	9	-	0								0													0	0	0	0	2	6	14	23	26	20	9	2
		3	-	8	-	2																										9	36		9	45
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1																										0	2	7	20	34	27	11
4		3	-	10	-	0																									0	0	0	2	11	27	38	22
		2	-	9	-	2																															67	33
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1																													0	10	41	49
3		2	-	11	-	0																											0	0	0	5	30	64
		1	-	10	-	2																																100
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1																														1	12	87
2		1	-	12	-	0																													0	0	9	90
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1																																100
1		0	-	13	-	0																															2	98

Total:							0	1	1	2	2	4	7	12	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	2