New Orleans Saints Playoff ChancesLost to Carolina 22-27, playoff odds down 5.2 to 5.1% 0-3-0 .000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 | -4.0 | | -0.2 | | -0.7 | | Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 | -0.4 | | | | -0.0 | | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | +0.4 | | | | +0.0 | | St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 | +0.3 | | | | +0.1 | | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | -0.2 | | | | -0.0 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | NY Giants 32 Washington 21 | +0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | -0.1*+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | New Orleans vs Dallas | +2.7*+0.4-2.8 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.8+0.2-0.8 | | Atlanta vs Houston | -0.3*+0.3+0.4 | | -0.0*No+0.0 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Seattle vs Detroit | -0.2*+0.2+0.4 | | | | | | Denver vs Minnesota | +0.2*-1.0-0.3 | | | | | | Arizona vs St. Louis | +0.1*+0.8-0.3 | | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | Tampa Bay vs Carolina | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | | | -0.1*+0.1+0.0 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | +0.1*-0.5-0.1 | | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Chicago vs Oakland | -0.1*-0.5+0.1 | | | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 73 | 24 | 1 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 669 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 39 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3,064 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 26 | 24 | 12 | | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | 9 | 29 | 16 | 1 | 38 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 23,452 | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 50 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | 234 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 91.6 | | 1 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 106,407 | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 83.7 | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 994 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 47.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 327,680 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 50.0 | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 26.1 | | | | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 2,629 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 5.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 720,261 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 9.1 | | | | | | | 9 | 9 | 45 | 36 | | | | | | | | 11 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.6 | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 5,151 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,162,976 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | 23 | 38 | 23 | | | | | 13 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7,344 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 1,401,750 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 15 | 30 | 25 | 20 | 5 | | 20 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 7,241 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 37 | 15 | 1,255,880 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 54 | 38 | | 13 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 46 | 28 | 5,530 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 49 | 826,870 | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | 18 | 53 | 17 | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 2,837 | | 3 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 388,959 | | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 4 | | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 1,027 | | 2 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 124,145 | | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 211 | | 1 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 23,764 | | 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 15 | | 0 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 2,535 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 6,401,744 | |
First Round Opponent What IfFirst round opponent based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season. Explain | | If finish: | | Chance will play in first round | TW | W | - | L | - | T | Win SB | Bye | Arizona | Atlanta | Carolina | Green Bay | Minnesota | Dallas | NY Giants | Seattle | Washington | Philadelphia | St. Louis | Tampa Bay | San Francisco | Detroit | Chicago | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 8.1 | % | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 50.0 | | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 6.1 | | 77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 5.9 | | 50 | | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 12 | | 3 | | | | 11 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 3.8 | | 38 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 5.1 | | 22 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1.9 | | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | | | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1.4 | | 2 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.7 | | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | | | | | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | No | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | -5.5 | | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 | +1.3 | | Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 | -0.1 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | -0.0 | | Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 | -0.0 | | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | +0.0 | | New England 51 Jacksonville 17 | +0.0 | | Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 | -0.0 | | Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 | +0.0 | | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | +0.0 | | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New Orleans vs Dallas | -1.6-0.1+1.6 | | Arizona vs St. Louis | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | Atlanta vs Houston | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Seattle vs Detroit | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | -0.0*+0.1+0.1 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Tampa Bay vs Carolina | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | Miami vs NY Jets | +0.1*+0.1-0.0 | | Indianapolis vs Jacksonville | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Chicago vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Washington vs Philadelphia | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 58 | 15 | 23 | 0 | 1 | | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 12 | | | | 32 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1 | | 33 | 16 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 4 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 22 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | | 36 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | | 23 | 46 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 5 | | 5 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 5 | | | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 10 | 2 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 15 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 4 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 25 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 12 | 6 | 59 | 12 | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 54 | 3 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 75 | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 2 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 0 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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