New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances

Lost to Carolina 22-27, playoff odds down 5.2 to 5.1%
0-3-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 -4.0
-0.2
-0.7
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 -0.4
-0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 +0.4
+0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 +0.3
+0.1
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 -0.2
-0.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 -0.1
-0.1
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +0.1
+0.1
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 +0.1
+0.0
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Dallas+2.7*+0.4-2.8
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.8+0.2-0.8
Atlanta vs Houston-0.3*+0.3+0.4
-0.0*No+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Detroit-0.2*+0.2+0.4
Denver vs Minnesota+0.2*-1.0-0.3
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.1*+0.8-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.1*-0.5-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland-0.1*-0.5+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.0*+0.2-0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1313-0-0In732412669
12.512-0-1In50504
1212-1-0In3939601603,064
11.511-1-1In2624123834
1111-2-099.7%929161387023,452
10.510-2-1In3191515012234
1010-3-091.6171243830810106,407
9-2-2In1001
9.59-3-183.7025532401510994
99-4-047.90023113232164100327,680
8-3-250.050502
8.58-4-126.10242037288102,629
88-5-05.8000051628271661000720,261
7-4-29.199453611
7.57-5-10.6015183227133005,151
77-6-00.1000141223282192001,162,976
6-5-2Out8823382313
6.56-6-1Out03132731196007,344
66-7-00.00000310223124911,401,750
5-6-2Out515302520520
5.55-7-1Out0021129361937,241
55-8-0Out0003133237151,255,880
4-7-2Out8543813
4.54-8-1Out0032246285,530
44-9-0Out001104049826,870
3-8-2Out29185317
3.53-9-1Out0329682,837
33-10-0Out011881388,959
2-9-2Out1004
2.52-10-1Out09911,027
22-11-0Out0595124,145
1.51-11-1Out0100211
11-12-0Out19923,764
0.50-12-1Out10015
00-13-0Out01002,535
Total:5.1%000013456789111316176,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaAtlantaCarolinaGreen BayMinnesotaDallasNY GiantsSeattleWashingtonPhiladelphiaSt. LouisTampa BaySan FranciscoDetroitChicago
1313-0-08.1%970000100000
12.512-0-150.0Yes
1212-1-06.177112225312210000
11.511-1-15.95033312636123
1111-2-03.8384457612735521110
10.510-2-15.1225721191592772011
1010-3-01.9776712913846621111
9-2-2NoYes
9.59-3-11.42105712913745421111
99-4-00.70645856423311010
8-3-2No50
8.58-4-10.2322434212100000
88-5-00.10101111000000000
7-4-2No9
7.57-5-1No0000000000
77-6-00.0000000000000000
6-5-2No
6.56-6-1No
66-7-0No0
5-6-2No
0-5.5No
Total:0.1%0.30.50.40.50.80.50.70.40.20.30.30.10.10.00.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 +1.3
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 -0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 -0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 +0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 +0.0
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 -0.0
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 +0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Dallas-1.6-0.1+1.6
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atlanta vs Houston-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.0+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Detroit+0.0*-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Miami vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.0+0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1313-0-0581523012
12.512-0-15050
1212-1-092928115001510
11.511-1-132418612326
1111-2-009721124102513600
10.510-2-1341511413316110
1010-3-01063941830191271000
9-2-2100
9.59-3-102144152723181321
99-4-0000021201142819171051000
8-3-25050
8.58-4-10014120102222145100
88-5-0000000053813181916115200000
7-4-2936918999
7.57-5-1010151322261994100
77-6-0000000013611161818148410000
6-5-2312346
6.56-6-100261423241893100
66-7-00000014815202117104100
5-6-25551515301555
5.55-7-1001514252719720
55-8-000001412212722102
4-7-2838231515
4.54-8-101618343110
44-9-000029253925
3-8-2121265912
3.53-9-10193654
33-10-00042868
2-9-22575
2.52-10-1011386
22-11-000892
1.51-11-10100
11-12-00199
0.50-12-1100
00-13-00100
Total:000000000112122233344445566778910