SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances

Lost to New England 17-51, playoff odds down 19.6 to 14.2%

1-2-0 .333

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-6.8		-0.4		-0.8
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	+2.3		+0.1		+0.1
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-0.8				-0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.4		+0.1
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.3				-0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	+0.3				+0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	-0.1
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.1				-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.1*+0.7-0.1				+0.0*+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	-5.5*-0.4+8.4		-0.1*+0.1+0.1		-0.9*-0.0+1.3
Atlanta vs Houston	+0.8*-0.3-1.3				+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.1*+0.5-0.1				-0.1-0.0+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.1*+0.5-0.1				+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.1*-0.5+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.1*+0.8+0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City					+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Jacksonville finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14		13	-	0	-	0	In		92	7	0														544
13		12	-	1	-	0	In		71	26	3														936
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		67	17	17														6
12		11	-	2	-	0	In		41	44	13	1	0												8,804
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		27	47	25	1													88
11		10	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	11	37	38	11	2	0	0										47,984
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	In		4	23	45	24	3	1											480
10		9	-	4	-	0	98.2		1	10	37	38	6	5	2	0	0								175,580
		8	-	3	-	2	In				67	33													3
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	94.0			2	23	53	5	11	5	1	0								1,647
9		8	-	5	-	0	74.8		0	0	11	50	4	11	13	8	3	1	0	0					464,768
		7	-	4	-	2	83.3					67		17		17									6
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	49.0			0	2	42	0	4	14	20	12	4	1	0					3,642
8		7	-	6	-	0	28.0			0	1	26	0	2	8	18	22	15	6	2	0	0	0		899,794
		6	-	5	-	2	30.8					31			8	31	15	8	8						13
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	12.8				0	13		0	1	5	18	28	23	10	2	0			6,269
7		6	-	7	-	0	5.2				0	5		0	0	2	8	20	27	22	11	3	0	0	1,303,404
		5	-	6	-	2	10.0					10					10	10	35	25	10				20
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	1.1					1				0	0	4	14	29	30	17	5	0	7,727
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.3					0				0	0	1	7	19	30	27	13	2	1,407,648
		4	-	7	-	2	Out													29	36	21	14		14
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.0					0						0	0	4	16	35	33	12	6,887
5		4	-	9	-	0	0.0					0						0	0	1	8	26	40	24	1,116,599
		3	-	8	-	2	Out														13	25	38	25	8
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out													0	1	9	38	52	4,404
4		3	-	10	-	0	Out													0	0	5	30	65	634,794
		2	-	9	-	2	Out																33	67	6
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out															0	13	87	1,890
3		2	-	11	-	0	Out														0	0	9	91	243,759
		1	-	10	-	2	Out																	100	1
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out																4	96	448
2		1	-	12	-	0	Out															0	1	99	56,930
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1	Out																	100	53
1		0	-	13	-	0	Out																0	100	6,588

Total:							14.2	%	0	1	2	9	0	1	2	4	5	7	8	9	10	12	13	16	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Jacksonville finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Denver	New England	Cincinnati	NY Jets	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	Tennessee	Houston	Oakland	Kansas City	Indianapolis	San Diego	Cleveland	Miami	Baltimore

14		13	-	0	-	0	6.4	%	100									0
13		12	-	1	-	0	4.4		97		0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	16.7		83									17
12		11	-	2	-	0	4.8		85	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	4.5		74	2	5	5	1	3	3	1	1	1	2			1
11		10	-	3	-	0	3.3		49	3	5	4	7	6	7	3	2	4	4	1	2	1	1	1
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1	1.7		27	4	8	6	11	8	11	5	3	4	5	1	3	3	1	1
10		9	-	4	-	0	1.8		11	6	10	8	12	9	11	5	3	6	7	2	3	2	2	1
		8	-	3	-	2	No								67						33
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1	1.8		2	6	13	9	13	10	12	5	3	5	7	2	2	2	2	1
9		8	-	5	-	0	1.0		1	6	11	8	11	7	10	3	2	5	5	1	2	1	1	1
		7	-	4	-	2	No			33		33							17
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1	0.6		0	4	7	5	8	6	8	1	0	3	4	0	1	1	1	0
8		7	-	6	-	0	0.4		0	2	5	3	5	3	5	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	1	0
		6	-	5	-	2	No				8	8		8	8
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1	0.2			1	2	1	2	1	3	0		1	1		0	0	0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0	0.1			0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No						5						5
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0				0		0		0
6		5	-	8	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0		0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.0					0		0	0
5		4	-	9	-	0	No			0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0		0		0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
1	-4.5						No

Total:							0.2	%	0.9	0.9	2.0	1.3	2.1	1.3	2.0	0.4	0.3	0.9	0.9	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.1

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	+1.7
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	-0.3
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.1
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.0*-0.3+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	+1.7-0.7-2.5
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.0-0.1-0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland	-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0*+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

14		13	-	0	-	0	88	4	7	0	0
13		12	-	1	-	0	45	26	24	1	3
12	.5	11	-	1	-	1	50	17	17		17
12		11	-	2	-	0	11	31	31	12	13	0	1		0	0
11	.5	10	-	2	-	1	10	17	34	13	24	1	1
11		10	-	3	-	0	1	11	11	27	28	10	11	0	2	0	0	0	0
10	.5	9	-	3	-	1		4	5	18	32	13	23	1	2	1	1
10		9	-	4	-	0	0	1	0	10	11	27	29	9	3	4	4	1	1	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2						67	33
9	.5	8	-	4	-	1				2	4	19	38	16	1	4	8	3	5	1	0
9		8	-	5	-	0		0	0	0	0	10	18	31	0	3	3	7	6	9	7	3	1	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2							17	50				17			17
8	.5	7	-	5	-	1				0	0	2	11	31		0	1	3	6	15	15	10	3	1	0
8		7	-	6	-	0				0	0	1	2	23	0	0	0	2	0	2	6	11	15	15	12	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2							8	23								31	15	15			8
7	.5	6	-	6	-	1						0	0	12				0		0	1	4	12	19	21	17	8	3	1	0	0
7		6	-	7	-	0						0	0	5				0		0	0	0	1	2	5	10	16	19	19	13	7	3	1	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								10												10	10	30	15	5	20
6	.5	5	-	7	-	1								1										0	0	2	6	14	22	23	19	9	3	1	0	0
6		5	-	8	-	0							0	0										0	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	22	16	8	2	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2																						7	14	7	14	7	14	29	7
5	.5	4	-	8	-	1								0														0	0	1	6	14	24	27	19	7	2	0
5		4	-	9	-	0								0														0	0	0	0	2	7	16	27	28	16	4
		3	-	8	-	2																											13	25	25	25	13
4	.5	3	-	9	-	1																										0	1	6	18	34	31	10
4		3	-	10	-	0																									0	0	0	1	6	20	40	33
		2	-	9	-	2																														17	50	33
3	.5	2	-	10	-	1																												0	1	8	38	53
3		2	-	11	-	0																											0	0	0	3	24	73
		1	-	10	-	2																																100
2	.5	1	-	11	-	1																														1	18	82
2		1	-	12	-	0																														0	6	94
1	.5	0	-	12	-	1																																100
1		0	-	13	-	0																															1	99

Total:							0	0	0	1	1	2	3	7	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8