Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff ChancesLost to Houston 9-19, playoff odds down 11.3 to 14.6% 1-2-0 .333 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | -5.4 | | -0.2 | | -0.6 | | Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 | -0.7 | | -0.0 | | -0.0 | | St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 | +0.6 | | | | +0.1 | | Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 | -0.4 | | -0.0 | | -0.0 | | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | -0.4 | | | | -0.0 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | -0.3 | | | | -0.1 | | NY Giants 32 Washington 21 | +0.2 | | | | -0.0 | | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | +0.2 | | | | +0.1 | | Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Seattle 26 Chicago 0 | | | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | -0.2*-0.8+0.3 | | | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Tampa Bay vs Carolina | +8.2*-1.3-5.8 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.1 | | +1.1*-0.1-0.8 | | Atlanta vs Houston | -0.5*-0.4+0.8 | | | | | | Denver vs Minnesota | +0.4*-0.5-0.6 | | | | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Seattle vs Detroit | -0.3*+0.5+0.6 | | | | | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | +0.2*-0.3-0.4 | | | | +0.0*-0.1-0.1 | | Arizona vs St. Louis | +0.1*-0.1-0.3 | | | | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | New Orleans vs Dallas | +0.2*-1.0-0.2 | | | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | +0.2*+0.2-0.1 | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Chicago vs Oakland | | | | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 586 | | 13 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 10 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,102 | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 68 | 18 | | | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 60 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 17,258 | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 30 | 34 | 10 | | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 176 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 21 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 33 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 83,463 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 5 | 20 | 17 | 1 | 44 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 820 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 96.7 | | 2 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 273,484 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 33 | | | | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 85.7 | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 2,242 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 65.6 | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 640,580 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 83.3 | | | 8 | 8 | | 42 | 25 | 8 | 8 | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 28.4 | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 4,625 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 12.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 1,100,672 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 18.8 | | | | | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 44 | 13 | | | | | | | | 16 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 6,932 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,396,855 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 5 | 27 | 32 | 23 | 5 | 9 | | | | 22 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7,567 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1,317,436 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 6 | | 18 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 6,016 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 30 | 9 | 909,110 | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 25 | 38 | 19 | 13 | 16 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 23 | 44 | 27 | 3,333 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 445,938 | | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 29 | | 57 | 7 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 1,222 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 148,434 | | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 273 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 29,274 | | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 28 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 3,200 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 14.6 | % | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6,401,744 | |
First Round Opponent What IfFirst round opponent based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season. Explain | | If finish: | | Chance will play in first round | TW | W | - | L | - | T | Win SB | Bye | Arizona | Atlanta | Carolina | Green Bay | Minnesota | Dallas | NY Giants | Seattle | Washington | Philadelphia | St. Louis | San Francisco | Detroit | New Orleans | Chicago | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 5.8 | % | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 6.9 | | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4.5 | | 86 | | | | | | 9 | | | 5 | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 5.6 | | 87 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3.4 | | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 3.8 | | 53 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2.8 | | 25 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2.0 | | 13 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 33 | | | | 33 | | | | | | 33 | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1.6 | | 2 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.9 | | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 8 | | | | 8 | 33 | 17 | 8 | | | 8 | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.2 | | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | | 6 | | 6 | | | | | 6 | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | No | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | -5.5 | | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.3 | % | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | +1.6 | | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | -0.1 | | Seattle 26 Chicago 0 | +0.1 | | Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 | +0.0 | | Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 | +0.0 | | New England 51 Jacksonville 17 | +0.0 | | Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tampa Bay vs Carolina | -2.2-0.9+1.6 | | Indianapolis vs Jacksonville | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | | Denver vs Minnesota | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | | Chicago vs Oakland | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Miami vs NY Jets | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Atlanta vs Houston | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Washington vs Philadelphia | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93 | 4 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 57 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 32 | 36 | 18 | | | | | | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 15 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 10 | | | | 22 | 2 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | | 27 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | 33 | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | 8 | | 8 | | | | 42 | | 25 | | 8 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 4 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 6 | | 6 | | 6 | | 6 | 25 | 13 | 19 | | 13 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 5 | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 17 | 11 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 6 | | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 29 | 18 | 5 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 13 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 4 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 37 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 57 | 29 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 3 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 77 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | 2 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
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