SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Oakland Raiders Playoff Chances

Beat Cleveland 27-20, playoff odds up 8.8 to 28.3%

2-1-0 .667

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27	+8.2		+0.4		+1.2
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-1.4		-0.1		-0.1
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	+0.7				+0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.5				+0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.3				-0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-0.2				+0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	-0.1				+0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	-0.1				-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.7*-0.7-1.2		+0.0*-0.4-0.0		+0.1*-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago vs Oakland	-7.2*-1.4+6.4		-0.3*+0.0+0.3		-0.8*-0.1+0.7
Denver vs Minnesota	-1.0*-0.0+1.5		-0.1*+0.1+0.1		-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.6*+0.5+0.9		-0.0*+0.5+0.0		-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.7*-0.9-0.5		+0.0*-0.4-0.0		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.4*+0.5+0.8		-0.0*+0.3+0.0		+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	+0.4*-0.8-0.7				+0.0*-0.1-0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	-0.3*+0.4+0.4
Atlanta vs Houston	+0.1*-0.9-0.2				+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Oakland finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

15		13	-	0	-	0	In		99	1															758
14	.5	12	-	0	-	1	In		100																4
14		12	-	1	-	0	In		94	6	0		0												3,982
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		97	3															38
13		11	-	2	-	0	In		77	19	1		3	0											28,472
		10	-	1	-	2	In		100																1
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		72	22	1		4												279
12		10	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	43	37	8	0	11	0	0										124,171
		9	-	2	-	2	In			100															1
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	In		29	37	11		22	1											1,101
11		9	-	4	-	0	99.6		11	31	24	2	26	5	0	0									366,140
		8	-	3	-	2	In		50		25		25												4
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	98.2		3	22	26	2	33	12	2	0									2,840
10		8	-	5	-	0	89.2		1	8	23	7	26	24	9	2	0	0							774,991
		7	-	4	-	2	87.5			13		13	38	25	13										8
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1	72.7		0	2	13	7	18	32	22	5	0								5,324
9		7	-	6	-	0	42.7		0	0	6	7	7	22	30	20	7	1	0	0	0				1,209,054
		6	-	5	-	2	50.0				14	7	7	21	21	14	14								14
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1	14.5				1	3	1	9	27	34	19	5	1	0					7,219
8		6	-	7	-	0	4.9			0	0	2	0	3	12	25	29	19	8	2	0	0	0		1,399,498
		5	-	6	-	2	11.5					8		4		35	35	19							26
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.5				0	0		0	1	8	22	33	24	9	2	0			7,223
7		5	-	8	-	0	0.1				0	0	0	0	0	3	11	23	28	21	10	3	0	0	1,212,612
		4	-	7	-	2	Out										19	24	29	24	5				21
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1	Out									0	1	5	18	32	28	14	3	0	5,214
6		4	-	9	-	0	0.0					0				0	0	2	9	22	31	24	10	2	769,568
		3	-	8	-	2	Out													67	17	17			6
5	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out											0	0	5	20	37	30	8	2,561
5		3	-	10	-	0	Out											0	0	2	13	32	37	16	348,981
		2	-	9	-	2	Out															67		33	3
4	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out													0	2	13	45	40	923
4		2	-	11	-	0	Out													0	1	9	39	51	107,990
		1	-	10	-	2	Out																50	50	2
3	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out															1	24	75	194
3		1	-	12	-	0	Out														0	1	17	83	20,268
2	.5	0	-	12	-	1	Out																6	94	18
2		0	-	13	-	0	Out																4	96	2,235

Total:							28.3	%	2	4	6	3	6	8	9	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	2	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Oakland finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Denver	New England	Cincinnati	NY Jets	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	Tennessee	Houston	Kansas City	Indianapolis	San Diego	Jacksonville	Cleveland	Miami	Baltimore

14.5	-15						9.1	%	Yes
14		12	-	1	-	0	9.8		100	0		0	0			0	0				0
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	7.9		Yes
13		11	-	2	-	0	9.7		96	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2	No		Yes
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	9.3		94		1	1		0	0	1	0		0		1	0
12		10	-	3	-	0	8.0		80	2	1	1	2	2	2	3	2	1	2	0	1	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	2	No		Yes
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	7.7		66	3	1	2	3	3	2	7	4	1	2	1	4	1	1	1
11		9	-	4	-	0	5.3		42	7	4	5	4	6	4	7	6	2	5	1	3	1	1	1
		8	-	3	-	2	No		50	25							25
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	4.4		25	8	5	7	5	7	5	11	8	2	6	1	4	2	1	1
10		8	-	5	-	0	2.8		9	11	7	9	6	8	6	9	7	3	5	2	3	2	1	1
		7	-	4	-	2	12.5		13			25	13				25	13
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1	1.7		2	10	7	9	6	8	5	7	5	3	4	1	3	2	1	1
9		7	-	6	-	0	1.0		0	6	4	6	4	4	3	4	3	1	2	1	1	1	1	1
		6	-	5	-	2	7.1			14		7	14		7		7
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1	0.3			2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8		6	-	7	-	0	0.1		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No					4		8
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0				0	0
7		5	-	8	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1	No
6		4	-	9	-	0	0.0					0		0	0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
2	-5.5						No

Total:							1.1	%	5.6	3.2	2.1	2.8	1.9	2.3	1.8	2.3	1.8	0.7	1.3	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.3

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27	-2.3
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35	+0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.1
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.1
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.1
Seattle 26 Chicago 0	+0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	-0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27	-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.0*+0.2+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Oakland	+1.9+0.3-1.7
Seattle vs Detroit	+0.0+0.3-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville	-0.0-0.2+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0-0.1+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.1*+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.1+0.1-0.1
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.1*+0.2-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15		13	-	0	-	0	97	2	1
14	.5	12	-	0	-	1	100
14		12	-	1	-	0	82	12	6		0				0
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	79	18	3
13		11	-	2	-	0	48	29	19	1	1				3	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2		100
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	43	29	21	1	1				4
12		10	-	3	-	0	12	31	28	9	8	0	0		11	1	0		0
		9	-	2	-	2			100
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	5	24	26	10	11	1			21	1	1
11		9	-	4	-	0	1	10	11	20	19	5	2	0	20	6	5	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2		50				25			25
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	0	3	4	18	19	8	2	0	24	9	11	0	2	0
10		8	-	5	-	0	0	1	1	7	8	15	6	1	11	15	21	4	9	1	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2				13			13		13	25	25		13
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1		0	0	2	2	11	5	2	4	14	24	8	21	6	0	0
9		7	-	6	-	0		0	0	0	0	5	3	4	1	6	9	13	26	20	8	2	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2						14		7		7		21	14	21	7	7
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1						1	1	3		1	1	8	13	26	26	14	5	1	0
8		6	-	7	-	0				0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4	12	20	22	17	11	6	2	1	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								8				4	4	12	23	19	8	12	12
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1						0		0				0		0	1	6	14	23	25	18	9	3	1	0
7		5	-	8	-	0						0	0	0		0		0	0	0	0	1	5	10	17	20	18	14	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2																5		10	14	24	29	10		10
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1																		0	1	2	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
6		4	-	9	-	0								0									0	0	0	1	3	7	14	19	21	17	11	5	2	0	0	0
		3	-	8	-	2																						17		17		50	17
5	.5	3	-	9	-	1																						0	0	2	7	17	26	26	15	6	1	0
5		3	-	10	-	0																					0	0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	15	6	1
		2	-	9	-	2																											33		33		33
4	.5	2	-	10	-	1																										0	2	6	22	37	25	8
4		2	-	11	-	0																									0	0	1	4	13	29	35	18
		1	-	10	-	2																														50		50
3	.5	1	-	11	-	1																													1	11	38	49
3		1	-	12	-	0																												0	0	6	32	62
2	.5	0	-	12	-	1																															22	78
2		0	-	13	-	0																														0	8	92

Total:							1	1	1	2	2	3	1	1	3	3	5	3	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1