SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Lost to Atlanta 28-39, playoff odds down 21.4 to 49.8%

2-1-0 .667

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	-10.3		-1.7		-1.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	-1.2		-0.1		-0.1
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+1.0		+0.2		+0.1
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	+0.3				+0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14	-0.3
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9	+0.2				+0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	+0.1				+0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7	+0.1		-0.1
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	-0.1		-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.2*+1.0+0.4		-0.0*-0.4+0.1		-0.0*+0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Super Bowl	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans vs Dallas	-9.4*-2.2+9.4		-0.6*+0.2+0.6		-1.0-0.1+1.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+1.6*-2.4-2.5		+0.1*+0.2-0.1		+0.1*-0.1-0.2
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.3*-0.8-0.5				+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.2*-1.5+0.4		-0.0*-0.1+0.1		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.2*-0.3+0.3
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.1*-1.5-0.3		-0.1*-0.0+0.1		+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	+0.2*-1.7-0.2		+0.1*-0.4-0.0		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia	+0.2*-1.7-0.2				+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland					-0.0*+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay			+0.1*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

15		13	-	0	-	0	In		98	2															957
14	.5	12	-	0	-	1	In		100																5
14		12	-	1	-	0	In		92	8	0														6,608
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	In		90	10															67
13		11	-	2	-	0	In		71	26	3	0	0												42,486
		10	-	1	-	2	In		100																1
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	In		58	36	6														396
12		10	-	3	-	0	In		39	44	15	1	1	0											170,419
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	In		27	45	23	3	2												1,407
11		9	-	4	-	0	100.0	%	11	37	39	10	3	0	0										463,017
		8	-	3	-	2	In		25	25	25	25													4
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	99.9		3	23	47	18	6	2	0	0									3,415
10		8	-	5	-	0	98.8		1	12	40	33	8	6	1	0	0	0							902,702
		7	-	4	-	2	In			33		67													6
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1	94.5		0	2	25	43	10	14	5	1									6,017
9		7	-	6	-	0	81.3		0	1	14	46	6	15	12	5	1	0	0	0					1,292,776
		6	-	5	-	2	95.7				13	61	9	13		4									23
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1	52.1			0	3	34	2	13	24	18	6	1	0						7,525
8		6	-	7	-	0	34.1			0	1	26	1	6	16	23	17	7	2	0	0	0			1,381,934
		5	-	6	-	2	58.3					50	8		17	17	8								12
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1	10.3				0	9		1	6	19	29	24	9	2	0	0			6,774
7		5	-	8	-	0	6.3				0	6	0	0	2	8	19	26	22	12	4	1	0	0	1,099,328
		4	-	7	-	2	6.3					6					19	50	19		6				16
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1	1.1					1			0	1	4	17	29	29	15	4	0		4,468
6		4	-	9	-	0	0.5					0			0	0	1	7	18	28	27	14	4	0	644,458
		3	-	8	-	2	Out												11	22	22	22	22		9
5	.5	3	-	9	-	1	Out										0	0	3	15	30	34	16	2	2,165
5		3	-	10	-	0	0.0					0					0	0	1	7	21	35	28	8	271,404
		2	-	9	-	2	Out																100		1
4	.5	2	-	10	-	1	Out													0	5	25	47	23	689
4		2	-	11	-	0	Out												0	0	3	15	42	40	77,574
		1	-	10	-	2	Out																	100	1
3	.5	1	-	11	-	1	Out															6	30	63	125
3		1	-	12	-	0	Out													0	0	2	23	75	13,399
2	.5	0	-	12	-	1	Out																18	82	11
2		0	-	13	-	0	Out															0	7	93	1,545

Total:							49.8	%	3	6	12	22	3	5	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	6,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	-	T	Win SB		Bye	Arizona	Atlanta	Carolina	Green Bay	Minnesota	NY Giants	Seattle	Washington	Philadelphia	St. Louis	Tampa Bay	San Francisco	Detroit	New Orleans	Chicago

14.5	-15						13.0	%	Yes
14		12	-	1	-	0	11.7		100				0	0	0				0			0
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	13.4		Yes
13		11	-	2	-	0	11.1		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	1	-	2	No		Yes
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	9.1		94		1	1		0	0	1		1	1		1	0	1
12		10	-	3	-	0	9.6		83	0	1	2	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	8.4		72	0	3	5	2	4	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0
11		9	-	4	-	0	6.9		48	2	6	7	5	5	5	5	3	4	3	3	2	1	1	1
		8	-	3	-	2	No		50						25			25
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	5.2		26	3	9	10	6	9	8	6	5	5	4	3	3	1	1	1
10		8	-	5	-	0	4.4		13	5	12	12	8	9	8	7	5	5	4	4	2	2	1	1
		7	-	4	-	2	No		33		17	33		17
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1	3.4		2	6	14	15	9	9	7	8	5	5	4	4	2	1	2	1
9		7	-	6	-	0	2.8		1	6	15	13	8	8	6	6	4	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	5	-	2	No			4	13	17	13	4	4	9	13	4	4	4	4
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1	1.8		0	3	11	10	6	5	3	4	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0
8		6	-	7	-	0	1.1		0	2	8	7	3	3	1	3	1	1	1	2	1	0	1	0
		5	-	6	-	2	No				17	17	8		8				8
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1	0.3			1	3	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
7		5	-	8	-	0	0.2			0	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2	No				6
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1	0.0			0	0	0	0	0		0			0	0		0	0
6		4	-	9	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0		0			0	0	0	0	0	0
		3	-	8	-	2	No
5	.5	3	-	9	-	1	No
5		3	-	10	-	0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0		0				0			0
		2	-	9	-	2	No
2	-4.5						No

Total:							2.3	%	8.5	2.5	7.2	6.7	4.0	4.1	2.9	3.3	2.0	2.0	1.9	1.9	1.1	0.7	0.7	0.3

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39	+2.1
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	-0.2
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24	+0.1
Seattle 26 Chicago 0	-0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17	-0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22	+0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12	-0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24	-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-0.0*-0.2+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Dallas	+1.9+0.5-1.9
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.1*+0.2+0.2
Seattle vs Detroit	-0.0-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia	-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Oakland	-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15		13	-	0	-	0	98	0	2
14	.5	12	-	0	-	1	80	20
14		12	-	1	-	0	85	7	8		0
13	.5	11	-	1	-	1	79	10	10
13		11	-	2	-	0	52	20	25	1	3		0		0
		10	-	1	-	2	100
12	.5	10	-	2	-	1	35	23	35	1	6
12		10	-	3	-	0	15	24	36	8	15	0	1		1	0	0
11	.5	9	-	3	-	1	6	21	33	12	22	1	3		2	0
11		9	-	4	-	0	1	10	15	22	31	7	10	0	3	1	0	0	0
		8	-	3	-	2		25	25			25	25
10	.5	8	-	4	-	1	0	3	5	18	32	15	18	0	5	2	2	0	0	0
10		8	-	5	-	0	0	1	1	11	16	24	29	4	3	4	5	1	1	0	0	0
		7	-	4	-	2				33			50	17
9	.5	7	-	5	-	1		0		2	4	22	33	11	2	8	9	5	5	1	0
9		7	-	6	-	0		0	0	1	1	13	26	20	0	5	5	10	11	5	2	1	0	0	0	0
		6	-	5	-	2						13	39	22	4	4	4	9	4
8	.5	6	-	6	-	1				0	0	3	11	23		2	1	13	6	15	14	9	3	1	0
8		6	-	7	-	0				0	0	1	6	20	0	1	0	6	3	9	15	15	12	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
		5	-	6	-	2								50		8			8	8		25
7	.5	5	-	7	-	1						0	1	9				1		0	1	5	12	19	22	17	9	3	0	0	0
7		5	-	8	-	0						0	0	6		0		0	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	19	17	13	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
		4	-	7	-	2								6									6			19	38	31
6	.5	4	-	8	-	1								1											0	2	7	16	23	24	17	7	2	1	0
6		4	-	9	-	0							0	0									0	0	0	1	2	7	13	19	21	17	11	6	2	1	0	0
		3	-	8	-	2																						11	22	11	11	22	11	11
5	.5	3	-	9	-	1																					0	0	0	2	7	16	24	26	16	7	1	0
5		3	-	10	-	0								0													0	0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	16	7	1
		2	-	9	-	2																													100
4	.5	2	-	10	-	1																										0	1	7	21	34	29	8
4		2	-	11	-	0																									0	0	1	3	13	28	35	20
		1	-	10	-	2																															100
3	.5	1	-	11	-	1																														10	40	50
3		1	-	12	-	0																												0	1	6	31	62
2	.5	0	-	12	-	1																															18	82
2		0	-	13	-	0																														0	10	90

Total:							1	2	2	3	5	7	11	10	1	2	2	4	3	3	4	4	3	3	3	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0