Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Beat Detroit 24-12, playoff odds up 12.5 to 80.1%
3-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +7.1
+1.0
+0.7
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 +1.2
+0.2
+0.1
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 +0.5
+0.2
+0.0
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 -0.4
-0.1
-0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 -0.2
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.2
-0.2
-0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.8*-0.7-1.2
+0.1*-0.5-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Minnesota+4.6*+0.2-7.1
+0.9*-0.2-1.5
+0.4*+0.0-0.7
San Diego vs Cleveland-0.5+3.0+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+1.2*+0.9-1.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City+0.5*-0.1-0.9
-0.1*+0.8+0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.3*-0.2+0.6
-0.1*-1.1+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets+0.5*+0.5-0.4
+0.2*+0.8-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.3*+1.5+0.5
-0.1*-0.4+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston+0.1*+1.3-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In1005,298*
1512-1-0In100046,393
14.511-1-1In991381
1411-2-0In97300208,128
10-1-2In1003
13.510-2-1In93701,590
1310-3-0In84151000564,413
9-2-2In1005
12.59-3-1In7423213,998
129-4-0100.0%5338702001,039,890
8-3-2In653520
11.58-4-1In3546140406,581
118-5-099.9164228292001,375,836
7-4-2In1128331111618
10.57-5-199.5531404135007,651
107-6-094.31154012141351001,339,582
6-5-292.3884212419826
9.56-6-184.3043117122012306,338
96-7-055.401151851722165100974,469
5-6-247.129126124117
8.55-7-125.90413182529164103,979
85-8-010.701702922272092000528,023
4-7-2Out4020405
7.54-8-12.8031722282610201,763
74-9-00.801002719282514410212,252
3-8-2Out1001
6.53-9-10.20141832291430603
63-10-00.00001516303015360,697
5.52-10-1Out61537349115
52-11-0Out001726422411,689
4.51-11-1Out7573614
41-12-0Out0431651,385
3.50-12-1Out1002
30-13-0Out01386579
Total:80.1%24201866654322110006,401,744

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandCincinnatiNY JetsPittsburghBuffaloTennesseeHoustonOaklandKansas CityIndianapolisSan DiegoJacksonvilleClevelandMiamiBaltimore
14.5-1617.6%Yes
1411-2-017.410000000000000000
10-1-233.3Yes
13.510-2-116.51000
1310-3-017.199000000000000000
9-2-240.0Yes
12.59-3-116.797000000000000000
129-4-015.590111111111000000
8-3-220.0Yes
11.58-4-113.981112221112110100
118-5-011.859445553233221111
7-4-211.1391711661166
10.57-5-19.337567774465332211
107-6-07.216789995477342221
6-5-27.7158848844412884
9.56-6-15.748891096477342221
96-7-03.31667673254231211
5-6-211.812126666
8.55-7-11.90434331111110101
85-8-00.70212120000000000
4-7-2No
7.54-8-10.210010000000
74-9-00.0000000000000000
3-8-2No
6.53-9-1No0
63-10-0No0000
3-5.5No
Total:9.4%43.93.63.74.24.04.22.41.83.22.91.31.70.91.00.70.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 12 Denver 24 -1.5
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 -0.1
Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 -0.1
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 +0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 -0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 +0.0
Seattle 26 Chicago 0 +0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Minnesota-0.9+0.1+1.5
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.1-0.3-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland-0.2-0.0+0.2
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.1-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.0-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0*-0.2-0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Detroit+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Houston-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1613-0-01000
15.512-0-1100
1512-1-09820
14.511-1-19631
1411-2-08893000
10-1-2100
13.510-2-17914700
1310-3-06024140100000
9-2-24060
12.59-3-1413322121
129-4-021323177002000
8-3-225402015
11.58-4-172931151300400
118-5-0215202225420812000
7-4-211111728611116
10.57-5-105625271340945000
107-6-0012132020101861215100
6-5-28442715124198
9.56-6-1004526125391551230
96-7-0001213108141071916720000
5-6-262412629618
8.55-7-100431011712222312410
85-8-000116000239161918137310000
4-7-2404020
7.54-8-10030251320231910410
74-9-000100001381317191611631000
3-8-2100
6.53-9-1002615242713920
63-10-0000025101620191583100
5.52-10-114152327237
52-11-0000261323261992
4.51-11-12929367
41-12-000310253822
3.50-12-1100
30-13-0153460
Total:131111911742424143222111110000000000