Denver Broncos Playoff ChancesBeat Detroit 24-12, playoff odds up 12.5 to 80.1% 3-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | +7.1 | | +1.0 | | +0.7 | | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | +1.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 | -0.8 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | +0.5 | | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | New England 51 Jacksonville 17 | -0.2 | | | | | | Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | +0.0 | | Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 | -0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | +0.8*-0.7-1.2 | | +0.1*-0.5-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | 100.0* | Average seed | Denver vs Minnesota | +4.6*+0.2-7.1 | | +0.9*-0.2-1.5 | | +0.4*+0.0-0.7 | | San Diego vs Cleveland | -0.5+3.0+0.7 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0*+0.2+0.1 | | Chicago vs Oakland | +1.2*+0.9-1.1 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | +0.5*-0.1-0.9 | | -0.1*+0.8+0.1 | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | -0.3*-0.2+0.6 | | -0.1*-1.1+0.1 | | | | Miami vs NY Jets | +0.5*+0.5-0.4 | | +0.2*+0.8-0.1 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | -0.3*+1.5+0.5 | | -0.1*-0.4+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Atlanta vs Houston | +0.1*+1.3-0.1 | | | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Arizona vs St. Louis | | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15.5 | -16 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,298 | * | 15 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46,393 | | 14 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 381 | | 14 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 208,128 | | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 13 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,590 | | 13 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 564,413 | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 12 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 74 | 23 | 2 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,998 | | 12 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 53 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,039,890 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 65 | 35 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 11 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 35 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 6,581 | | 11 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | 16 | 42 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1,375,836 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 11 | 28 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 10 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.5 | | 5 | 31 | 40 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7,651 | | 10 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 94.3 | | 1 | 15 | 40 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,339,582 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 92.3 | | 8 | 8 | 42 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 9 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 84.3 | | 0 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6,338 | | 9 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 55.4 | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 974,469 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 47.1 | | | | 29 | 12 | | 6 | 12 | 41 | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 25.9 | | | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 3,979 | | 8 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 10.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 528,023 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 40 | 20 | 40 | | | | | | | 5 | | 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 2.8 | | | | 0 | 3 | | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | 1,763 | | 7 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 212,252 | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | 1 | | 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 1 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 603 | | 6 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 60,697 | | 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 9 | 115 | | 5 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 24 | 11,689 | | 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 57 | 36 | 14 | | 4 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 31 | 65 | 1,385 | | 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | | 3 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 86 | 579 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 80.1 | % | 24 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6,401,744 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. First Round Opponent What IfFirst round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season. Explain | | If finish: | | Chance will play in first round | TW | W | - | L | - | T | Win SB | Bye | New England | Cincinnati | NY Jets | Pittsburgh | Buffalo | Tennessee | Houston | Oakland | Kansas City | Indianapolis | San Diego | Jacksonville | Cleveland | Miami | Baltimore | | | | 14.5 | -16 | | 17.6 | % | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 17.4 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 33.3 | | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 16.5 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 17.1 | | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 40.0 | | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 16.7 | | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 15.5 | | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 20.0 | | Yes | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 13.9 | | 81 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11.8 | | 59 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 11.1 | | 39 | | 17 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 6 | | | | 6 | | | | | 10 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 9.3 | | 37 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 7.2 | | 16 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 7.7 | | 15 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 8 | | 4 | | | 9 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 5.7 | | 4 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 3.3 | | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 11.8 | | | | 12 | | 12 | 6 | | | 6 | | | 6 | | | 6 | | 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1.9 | | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.7 | | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | No | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | -5.5 | | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 9.4 | % | 43.9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Detroit 12 Denver 24 | -1.5 | | Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 | -0.1 | | Tennessee 33 Indianapolis 35 | -0.1 | | Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 | +0.1 | | NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 | -0.1 | | Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 | +0.0 | | Seattle 26 Chicago 0 | +0.0 | | New England 51 Jacksonville 17 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Green Bay vs Kansas City | -0.1*+0.1+0.2 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Denver vs Minnesota | -0.9+0.1+1.5 | | San Diego vs Cleveland | +0.1-0.3-0.1 | | Chicago vs Oakland | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | | Cincinnati vs Kansas City | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | Miami vs NY Jets | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Indianapolis vs Jacksonville | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | +0.0*-0.2-0.1 | | Buffalo vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Seattle vs Detroit | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Atlanta vs Houston | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Tampa Bay vs Carolina | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | San Francisco vs Green Bay | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 96 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 88 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 79 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 60 | 24 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 40 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 41 | 33 | 22 | 1 | 2 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 21 | 32 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 25 | 40 | 20 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | 11 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 6 | 11 | | 11 | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | | | 4 | 19 | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | 6 | 24 | | 12 | | | | 6 | 29 | 6 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 40 | | | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 6 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 7 | | | 5 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | 29 | 36 | 7 | 4 | | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | 22 | 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 3 | | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 34 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|