Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Beat Tampa Bay 31-20, playoff odds up 11.9 to 48.4%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +8.4
+0.2
+1.0
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.4
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.3
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.2
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 *-0.1
-0.0
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-2.1+1.5+3.9
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas+17.5-3.5-17.1
+0.4*-0.1-0.4
+1.3-0.3-1.3
Washington vs Chicago-1.3*-1.0+1.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.4*-0.6-0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.3*+0.0+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.3*-0.2+0.5
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-0.3*-0.2+0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.1*-0.6+0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In811913,341
12.59-0-1In49456255
129-1-0In464590033,646
8-0-2In1767176
11.58-1-1In144931502,509
118-2-0In1243341010158,508
7-1-2In1239381176
10.57-2-199.9%116453521010,264
6-1-3In1001
107-3-099.6110354563000436,445
6-2-299.31133048531300
9.56-3-194.80113704741024,512
5-2-3In13888
96-4-085.90076351194100772,545
5-3-286.617663108410596
8.55-4-159.7155041116103037,494
4-3-357.1431429147
85-5-041.90039031120188100923,369
4-4-244.2042210182081742
7.54-5-121.702201723301530036,814
3-4-342.94314437
74-6-012.40120004183224810752,604
3-5-214.11405183422710566
6.53-6-13.9402143532112023,705
2-5-3Out142943147
63-7-01.620019273521500411,576
2-6-21.5193036204269
5.52-7-10.3017274122209,365
52-8-00.0000418393360144,486
1-7-2Out144236872
4.51-8-1Out0322502222,242
41-9-0Out02134632729,441
0-8-2Out2563138
3.50-9-1Out2294723249
30-10-0Out01646382,845
Total:48.4%1373223578108642103,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1310-0-05.7%9900000000
12.59-0-14.7941120020
129-1-05.19100111212100000
8-0-216.78317
11.58-1-13.76401452647411100
118-2-03.554126547575111000
7-1-22.6511177513431411
10.57-2-12.3174511106148119131000
6-1-3NoYes
107-3-01.8115611108159129121000
6-2-22.31375101051411127141
9.56-3-11.4177121061791210121000
5-2-3No2513132525
96-4-01.20671196158108121000
5-3-20.816813851510981210
8.55-4-10.85487112677011000
4-3-3No14141414
85-5-00.60336518455010000
4-4-20.933750855601
7.54-5-10.42133043220000
3-4-3No141414
74-6-00.211220221200000
3-5-2No10422111000
6.53-6-10.100111100000
2-5-3No
63-7-00.0000000000000
2-6-2No0000
5.52-7-10.00000000
52-8-00.0000000000
1-7-2No
3-4.5No
Total:0.9%4.53.13.16.05.02.67.84.45.44.60.41.00.50.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -2.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington+0.2-0.2-0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas-2.9-0.3+2.9
Washington vs Chicago+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.1*+0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-015661631
12.59-0-154433136
129-1-01451926710000
8-0-217333317
11.58-1-101416332555000
118-2-00126371717910100
7-1-212138201874
10.57-2-11115172831402100
6-1-3100
107-3-01010629281706210000
6-2-21012525282113211
9.56-3-1011133337043432000
5-2-3136325
96-4-0000716480538244310000
5-3-21071848328243310
8.55-4-115490043812105200
4-3-3142914141414
85-5-0002370030126111413831000
4-4-20239201251016127210
7.54-5-1002200013917211683100
3-4-3434314
74-6-000120000001391722191141000
3-5-2140113917211811410
6.53-6-1400015132325188200
2-5-3295714
63-7-02000026152426177100
2-6-210261523301461
5.52-7-10000392329221020
52-8-0000017203328910
1-7-2418363111
4.51-8-10041533321320
41-9-000162540245
0-8-213133838
3.50-9-122241314
30-10-003174635
Total:010326824021211123444455443321100