Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 56%
3-1-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21 -8.8
-1.4
-0.8
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Washington 14 NY Giants 45 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24 -0.5
-0.1
Chicago 17 Green Bay 38 +0.5
+0.2
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 +0.3
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28 -0.2
+0.1
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs St. Louis+6.9*+0.4-13.5
+0.7*-0.1-1.4
+0.7+0.1-1.3
Dallas vs Houston-1.3*+0.1+1.7
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.2
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.9+1.5+1.1
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Kansas City-0.8*+0.4+0.8
-0.0-0.5+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota+0.3+1.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Buffalo-0.4*+0.6+0.7
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Chicago+0.5*+0.1-0.5
Denver vs Arizona+0.5*+0.8-0.5
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Washington vs Seattle+0.4*+0.1-0.4
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In10018,067*
1411-1-0In99100171,479
13.510-1-1In972001,448
1310-2-0In909001882,220
9-1-2In1002
12.59-2-1In8315026,952
129-3-0100.0%6228306002,720,136
8-2-2In65266331
11.58-3-1In47356011018,614
118-4-099.920361922120005,564,969
7-3-2In17521515254
10.57-4-199.79292333150034,105
107-5-093.011124102820610007,974,038
6-4-297.91531832211195
9.56-5-183.70417925301330042,067
96-6-041.6006106202721920008,196,441
5-5-239.171051733187287
8.55-6-119.402521128301751036,757
85-7-03.300201414262817610006,094,804
4-6-24.4313102137193368
7.54-7-10.50000172132261120022,645
74-8-00.1000002822312510203,245,995
3-7-2Out361642236331
6.53-8-1Out0313293318409,583
63-9-00.00001723362661,209,135
2-8-2Out2531311316
5.52-9-1Out004143537102,627
52-10-0Out002174536299,449
1-9-2Out33673
4.51-10-1Out00114049458
41-11-0Out02257443,850
3.50-11-1Out138723
30-12-0Out06945,767
Total:56.0%1110105119877654321136,602,016

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaDetroitDallasAtlantaSeattleMinnesotaNY GiantsGreen BayCarolinaSan FranciscoChicagoNew OrleansSt. LouisWashingtonTampa Bay
14.5-1515.4%Yes
1411-1-015.21000000000000000
13.510-1-115.410000
1310-2-015.099000000000000000
9-1-2NoYes
12.59-2-114.998000100000000000
129-3-013.690111211001101000
8-2-216.190333
11.58-3-112.683211411112111000
118-4-09.956444843224323111
7-3-25.669242476422
10.57-4-18.3385561154336434111
107-5-05.4128891175656544111
6-4-25.36116618655146143221
9.56-5-14.2488101176555434111
96-6-01.90555543322221110
5-5-21.18165626311
8.55-6-10.80222221111111000
85-7-00.20100010000000000
4-6-2No111
7.54-7-10.0000000000000
74-8-00.000000000000000
3-7-2No
6.53-8-1No
63-9-0No0000
2-8-2No
3-5.5No
Total:4.6%20.93.53.53.94.93.22.42.32.02.42.11.61.60.60.50.5
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21 +1.6
Washington 14 NY Giants 45 -0.1
Chicago 17 Green Bay 38 -0.1
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17 +0.1
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24 +0.0
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14 +0.0
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs St. Louis-1.2+0.3+2.4
Dallas vs Houston+0.2-0.0-0.2
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.0-0.2-0.0
Carolina vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Cleveland-0.1+0.0+0.0
Washington vs Seattle-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Detroit vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Denver vs Arizona+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1512-0-0991
14.511-0-1991
1411-1-09181000
13.510-1-18710200
1310-2-065258000010
9-1-25050
12.59-2-15132140020
129-3-024382353006000
8-2-226392663
11.58-3-1103726106001010
118-4-021816201632016620000
7-3-2172626132962
10.57-4-1096231672018135000
107-5-0011101014811018155610000
6-4-21512198112117411
9.56-5-100431463322161312410
96-6-00000555066141820136200000
5-5-22573132151623993
8.55-6-10021420117182419103100
85-7-000002000114111720181483100000
4-6-23147151916161241
7.54-7-10000000271523251782100
74-8-00000000013814182017116200000
3-7-21910261010196
6.53-8-101410202623124100
63-9-0000012714212318104100
2-8-2619313166
5.52-9-100261527291651
52-10-00000151425281971
1-9-2333333
4.51-10-112122638173
41-11-000314323514
3.50-11-1223939
30-12-0001103851
Total:47565532565465544333222111110000