Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 74.3%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina 10 New Orleans 28 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Houston vs Philadelphia-8.4+4.2+8.4
-1.3+0.4+1.3
-0.6+0.1+0.6
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.9+2.0+2.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.6+1.4+2.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.7-0.3+1.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-1.0*-0.1+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.1+0.5+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Carolina+4.1-1.4-14.4
+0.6-0.5-2.0
+0.3-0.2-1.1
New Orleans vs San Francisco+1.2+1.1-2.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Dallas+2.3-0.2-0.6
+0.6*-0.0-0.2
+0.3+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Chicago-0.7+1.5+1.8
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.4+1.3+1.2
-0.1+0.3+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs NY Giants-0.5+0.9+1.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Miami-0.4+0.8+0.6
-0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In955010,265,366
13.58-0-1In955063,906
138-1-0In7524168,140,217
7-0-2In74260203
12.57-1-1In7224130375,841
127-2-0100.0%3346120900197,456,306
6-1-2In31491208903
11.56-2-1100.024391202410942,188
5-1-3In1002
116-3-099.7425323297000323,888,643
5-2-2In5263132961,975
10.55-3-198.81122234515101,306,158
4-2-3In33673
105-4-084.502188233314200330,929,962
4-3-285.802167273313102,155
9.54-4-169.400631841264001,097,367
3-3-3Out1001
94-5-028.60024320382661000217,799,737
3-4-228.51332138266101,432
8.53-5-111.000119363813200570,744
2-4-3Out50502
83-6-01.50000192936194000092,046,331
2-5-20.91729372051581
7.52-6-10.10000318373111100177,716
72-7-00.000000211293519500023,994,359
1-6-2Out1112433247123
6.51-7-1Out03163532122030,497
61-8-0Out00110303718303,483,480
0-7-2Out331733176
5.50-8-1Out02173932902,145
50-9-0Out021746305313,107
Total:74.3%11151541514117421000001,272,891,456

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDetroitArizonaNew OrleansDallasGreen BaySeattleSan FranciscoNY GiantsCarolinaAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoWashingtonTampa BaySt. Louis
149-0-016.6%10000000000000
13.58-0-116.9100000
138-1-016.099000000000000000
7-0-218.21000
12.57-1-115.696002000000000000
127-2-013.379116332211100000
6-1-212.38001633321110
11.56-2-111.6641216443212200000
5-1-3NoYes
116-3-08.32955211197522210100
5-2-29.4313520119862221000
10.55-3-16.51467321286523310000
4-2-3No3367
105-4-04.629101915107522211100
4-3-24.12910211687512210000
9.54-4-13.4089171476311100000
3-3-3No
94-5-01.40555632100000000
3-4-21.264463211000000
8.53-5-10.50222311000000000
2-4-3No
83-6-00.10000000000000000
2-5-2No100
7.52-6-10.00000000
72-7-00.00000000000000
1-6-2No
5-6.5No
Total:6.6%26.54.54.712.18.45.94.53.21.21.11.10.40.30.30.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Philadelphia+1.4-0.1-1.4
Dallas vs Arizona+0.2+0.1-0.4
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Carolina-0.7+0.8+2.3
Jacksonville vs Dallas-0.6-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.0-0.2-0.2
New Orleans vs San Francisco-0.0-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Miami+0.0-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Tennessee+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs NY Giants+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-0869500
13.58-0-18312500
138-1-0492723110
7-0-246282500
12.57-1-1383423110300
127-2-092433131110080000
6-1-29233415120070
11.56-2-1222211911100213100
5-1-3100
116-3-00471820123020960000
5-2-20571919133019950
10.55-3-101012715201628132100
4-2-33367
105-4-0000231544518191411310000
4-3-200231334621191410310
9.54-4-1000613018635121162000
3-3-3100
94-5-0000203031188182015720000
3-4-210332209172114721
8.53-5-1000110902102126198200
2-4-3100
83-6-0000000100281927241341000
2-5-2100281828251331
7.52-6-1000000017193027123000
72-7-00000000161730281441000
1-6-29143228117
6.51-7-1017213426920
61-8-000017223325102000
0-7-217175017
5.50-8-1021328361830
50-9-0004163131153000
Total:56877722887744433221110000000000