Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Beat Dallas 33-10, playoff odds up 16 to 93.3%
9-3-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas 10 Philadelphia 33 +15.8
+2.3
+1.2
Detroit 34 Chicago 17 -1.7
-0.1
-0.0
San Francisco 3 Seattle 19 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs New England-0.2+0.3+0.2
-0.8+0.8+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.6+0.6-0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Seattle+5.1+1.8-6.7
+2.2+1.1-2.9
+0.5+0.1-0.7
Detroit vs Tampa Bay-0.4+1.7+1.5
-0.1+0.5+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Dallas+1.4-0.7-0.7
+0.1-0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.2+0.6+0.5
-0.4+1.3+1.4
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Oakland vs San Francisco+0.3+0.3-0.2
Arizona vs Kansas City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Diego vs New England+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
134-0-0In613541,112,716,841
12.53-0-1In613542,711,046
123-1-0In1348402,321,429,858
2-0-2In1647372,492
11.52-1-1100.0%1145405004,201,019
112-2-097.90107855201,769,422,021
1-1-297.2097567302,640
10.51-2-190.2055410221002,120,086
101-3-051.300381123910586,054,188
0-2-242.7311114810642
9.50-3-127.50140135715349,146
90-4-00.70137602071,842,069
Total:93.3%1728442352005,870,852,048

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayDetroitSeattleNew OrleansDallasAtlantaSan FranciscoCarolinaTampa BayChicagoSt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
134-0-016.7%96110100000
12.53-0-116.7961110000
123-1-012.46013158090300000
2-0-212.863211129300
11.52-1-111.955131493102200000
112-2-07.610313271432025000000
1-1-27.193112217323251
10.51-2-16.453122285264410000
101-3-03.40291831141300000
0-2-23.71614511302
9.50-3-11.7015720110100000
90-4-00.00000010000
Total:10.7%45.31.36.316.48.20.911.20.62.90.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 10 Philadelphia 33 -2.5
Detroit 34 Chicago 17 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs New England+0.2-0.3-0.2
Atlanta vs Arizona-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Seattle-1.1-0.1+1.4
Green Bay vs Atlanta+0.1-0.3-0.3
Arizona vs Kansas City+0.1-0.2-0.2
Chicago vs Dallas-0.2+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.2-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
134-0-035263504
12.53-0-130313414
123-1-03103810391
2-0-2313398371
11.52-1-111022233644000
112-2-0003756224150200
1-1-20265421617030
10.51-2-100510434619310000
101-3-000043401932118720000
0-2-232701832819821
9.50-3-1001400112142522102000
90-4-000116193127133000
Total:89236331010203211000000