Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Beat Indianapolis 30-27, playoff odds up 10.8 to 62.8%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +8.1
+1.0
+0.8
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -1.9
-0.2
-0.1
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 +1.1
+0.1
+0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.4
+0.1
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.3
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.3
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.2
-0.0
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.2
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +0.2
+0.0
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Washington+10.2+2.0-13.0
+1.6*+0.3-2.0
+1.0+0.2-1.3
St. Louis vs Dallas+1.1+1.4-1.0
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.2+1.1+0.4
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.4*+1.0-0.5
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Denver-0.4*+0.0+0.5
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
NY Giants vs Houston-0.6*+1.1+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.7-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.1*+0.8+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.1*+0.7-0.1
-0.1*+0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In1007,589*
1513-1-0In100061,837
14.512-1-1In100631
1412-2-0In99100365,579
11-1-2In1003
13.511-2-1In98203,304
1311-3-0In92800101,320,177
10-2-2In861414
12.510-3-1In86120111,041
1210-4-0100.0%6725304003,246,175
9-3-2In76145542
11.59-4-1In5433607024,441
119-5-0100.02637182151005,749,852
8-4-2In30332311379
10.58-5-199.913342442230038,660
108-6-097.121527142613300007,562,007
7-5-297.5410281924132122
9.57-6-192.60621172522610044,504
97-7-058.3017199222313410007,509,312
6-6-254.75171122261451139
8.56-7-134.8021331628241020039,202
86-8-08.50060271826231341005,658,653
5-7-212.0183528162311575
7.55-8-12.6020029233122920025,126
75-9-00.60100003102330229203,219,872
4-8-2Out2823322212260
6.54-9-10.10014142931174012,007
64-10-00.00001722352681,361,196
3-9-2Out757211414
5.53-10-1Out03153533134,076
53-11-0Out002144242415,162
2-10-2Out75254
4.52-11-1Out193853928
42-12-0Out01198086,239
1-11-2Out1001
3.51-12-1Out11188128
31-13-0Out049611,027
2.50-13-1Out13888
20-14-0Out1993,498
Total:62.8%1512108108665543322136,782,784

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasAtlantaGreen BayNew OrleansSt. LouisTampa BayNY Giants
14.5-1617.9%Yes
1412-2-017.7100000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
13.511-2-118.310000000
1311-3-017.599000000000000000
10-2-214.3Yes
12.510-3-116.598000000000000000
1210-4-016.193110111110100000
9-3-214.3902222
11.59-4-115.587111111111111100
119-5-012.564333333332221210
8-4-210.163115853314411
10.58-5-110.747555444444332221
108-6-07.317888766666543321
7-5-22.51491157109475671211
9.57-6-16.16999777776553321
97-7-03.31666554454332211
6-6-26.568764443144121
8.56-7-11.90443433332221210
86-8-00.50110111110100100
5-7-2No3131111
7.55-8-10.1010000000000000
75-9-00.000000000000000
4-8-2No
6.54-9-10.0000000
64-10-00.0000000000000
3-9-2No
2-5.5No
Total:6.5%26.63.53.83.43.22.92.82.93.02.42.21.91.41.50.90.5
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -1.9
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.2
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -0.1
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.1
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 -0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.0
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington-1.9-0.0+2.4
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.1*-0.2+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.0-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.0-0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.0-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.0-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1614-0-01000
15.513-0-1100
1513-1-09910
14.512-1-1982
1412-2-0954100
11-1-2100
13.511-2-190720
1311-3-0761680000100
10-2-2711414
12.510-3-1622412001
1210-4-0363123330004000
9-3-2383812255
11.59-4-11836277600700
119-5-05212116152201411000
8-4-25251320194113
10.58-5-10131024186401753000
108-6-0022121413122161012130000
7-5-2428131516214101212
9.57-6-10064171257181666100
97-7-000117910181111201362100000
6-6-25710110615221464
8.56-7-100221103115112019114100
86-8-00001500023914171614106210000
5-7-218113128201751193
7.55-8-1002000138172422156200
75-9-000100000025914171715116310000
4-8-2225101320121510282
6.54-9-100038162323167200
64-10-00000002511172019148310
3-9-21421297217
5.53-10-1000381927251351
53-11-000138172626164
2-10-2252550
4.52-11-10314313418
42-12-00016203933
1-11-2100
3.51-12-1162865
31-13-0032472
2.50-13-15050
20-14-00694
Total:87656453645354333322222111111000