Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 81.8%
5-1-0   .833

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +1.2
+0.1
+0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +1.0
+0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.7
-0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.7
+0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.5
-0.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.5
-0.2
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.3
-0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia-8.8+3.7+8.8
-1.7*-0.0+1.7
-0.7+0.1+0.7
Carolina vs Seattle+1.2*+0.5-0.9
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.1+1.3-0.7
+0.2*+0.4-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.3*-0.4+1.0
-0.3*+0.0+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.4
New England vs Chicago+0.4*+0.2-0.8
+0.0*+0.3-0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.7*+0.4-0.4
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1510-0-0In100346,079
14.59-0-1In10002,387
149-1-0In982002,633,136
8-0-2In1005
13.58-1-1In962216,693
138-2-0In79140608,963,514
7-1-2In851539
12.57-2-1In6618115049,838
127-3-0100.0%353360261017,662,666
6-2-2In37364221115
11.56-3-1100.0182880433085,278
116-4-099.4520170431410022,254,561
5-3-2In4201214815161
10.55-4-198.41913151252091,027
105-5-083.40311125431520018,721,150
4-4-290.1563284991151
9.54-5-170.500411848264063,174
94-6-030.600213244023500010,646,267
3-5-230.3533204818366
8.53-6-114.1001133935111028,231
83-7-02.000021231341740004,040,242
2-6-2Out6363612933
7.52-7-10.10421372891008,005
72-8-00.00002122932185100976,834
1-7-2Out173317336
6.51-8-1Out0420332811201,191
61-9-0Out0021128342050135,479
5.50-9-1Out213314112186
50-10-0Out02164034815,010
Total:81.8%2014812316952110000086,741,424

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14.5-1516.7%Yes
149-1-016.510000000000000000
8-0-220.0Yes
13.58-1-116.7980001000000
138-2-015.593000022001000000
7-1-220.5Yes
12.57-2-114.584000164002000000
127-3-012.4672112118114000000
6-2-216.5733361023
11.56-3-110.24632231813227001000
116-4-08.02574481913447111000
5-3-211.82444492017346111
10.55-4-16.210954112216658111000
105-5-04.63118614129764110000
4-4-24.0591271515107651
9.54-5-13.60107614106753110000
94-6-01.50543732321000000
3-5-27.62258583
8.53-6-10.7221411110000000
83-7-00.1000100000000000
2-6-2No
7.52-7-10.000000
72-8-00.000000000
1-7-2No
5-6.5No
Total:8.0%33.95.33.73.26.310.37.43.33.03.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +0.2
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.0
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia+1.3+0.0-1.3
Dallas vs Washington+0.3-0.0-0.8
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1510-0-01000
14.59-0-19910
149-1-08992000
8-0-28020
13.58-1-18214202
138-2-0483113100600
7-1-24441133
12.57-2-12937162101500
127-3-082719135100241100
6-2-211262016312111
11.56-3-11171117610395300
116-4-00541698003112140100
5-3-2144166613514141
10.55-4-11083900242623220
105-5-000022101181831111520000
4-4-251531117351491
9.54-5-100040111717302082000
94-6-000020103519262413510000
3-5-253331729211722
8.53-6-10010134142423145100
83-7-00000021716242416821000
2-6-231215271824
7.52-7-1000139202723124100
72-8-00000131019252313510000
1-7-2501733
6.51-8-103142427218200
61-9-0000151425271882000
5.50-9-12523292893
50-10-001414262918610
Total:10106844001581157422111000000000000