Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 81.7%
5-1-0   .833

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia-8.8+3.5+8.8
-1.7*+0.2+1.7
-0.7+0.1+0.7
Carolina vs Seattle+1.2+1.1-0.9
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.1+0.7-0.7
+0.2*+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.4*-0.0+1.1
-0.3*+0.1+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.4
New England vs Chicago+0.4+0.6-0.8
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.6*-0.0-0.4
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Philadelphia-7.3+3.5+6.0
-1.3*-0.1+1.0
-0.6+0.0+0.5
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.9+1.5+1.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.5+1.2+1.5
-0.0*+0.2+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.9*+0.2+0.4
Dallas vs Arizona+0.1-0.5-0.1
-0.3*-0.1+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Minnesota vs Washington-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.1-0.0
New England vs Denver+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In100510,657*
149-1-0In982003,852,423
8-0-2In10012
13.58-1-1In9620224,246
138-2-0In791406013,119,920
7-1-2In8410761
12.57-2-1In6618115072,890
127-3-0100.0%353360261025,836,102
6-2-2In38333251160
11.56-3-1100.01928804330124,243
116-4-099.4520170431410032,539,361
5-3-299.64191546170248
10.55-4-198.318131502520133,081
105-5-083.20211125431520027,388,212
4-4-289.00312124481000227
9.54-5-170.0004118472640091,775
94-6-030.300213244024600015,576,441
3-5-222.911120472461105
8.53-6-113.6001123935111041,296
83-7-02.000021231341740005,909,720
2-6-22.2211273318945
7.52-7-10.20421362891011,808
72-8-00.000021329321851001,425,773
1-7-2Out144329147
6.51-8-1Out01416362913201,854
61-9-0Out0021128342050198,208
0-8-2Out50502
5.50-9-1Out318313414108
50-10-0Out002163934821,991
Total:81.7%20148123169521100000126,880,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Philadelphia finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14.5-1516.4%Yes
149-1-016.5100000000000000000
8-0-28.3Yes
13.58-1-116.198000010000000
138-2-015.493000022001000000
7-1-23.393322
12.57-2-114.384000164012000000
127-3-012.3672112118114000000
6-2-210.6711111992331
11.56-3-110.14731231813227001000
116-4-07.92574481913457111000
5-3-26.022625720156681000
10.55-4-16.29954112215658111000
105-5-04.63118614128764110000
4-4-27.0412681911974411000
9.54-5-13.6010761496653110000
94-6-01.50543732321000000
3-5-21.924581112
8.53-6-10.7221411110000000
83-7-00.1000100000000000
2-6-2No2
7.52-7-1No00000
72-8-00.0000000000
1-7-2No
5-6.5No
Total:7.9%33.85.33.73.26.310.37.43.33.13.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia+1.3+0.0-1.3
Dallas vs Washington+0.3-0.1-0.7
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1-0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Philadelphia+1.2+0.1-1.0
Dallas vs Arizona+0.3+0.1-0.4
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0
New England vs Denver-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1510-0-0982
14.59-0-1973
149-1-083152000
8-0-2100
13.58-1-176202002
138-2-0403912200600
7-1-24143107
12.57-2-12442153101500
127-3-062917155100251100
6-2-2434171632321
11.56-3-11181019620394300
116-4-00531788003410140100
5-3-2431610536101600
10.55-4-11083900262424220
105-5-00002210119163391520000
4-4-203111110153711101
9.54-5-100040111619282182000
94-6-000020103618272412410000
3-5-211151533291051
8.53-6-1000010125152423135100
83-7-0000000217172423167200000
2-6-22711242716112
7.52-7-100131020272312410
72-8-00000013101925221351000
1-7-2431443
6.51-8-1013112330209200
61-9-00000151425271872000
0-8-2100
5.50-9-11619352891
50-10-00014142729186100
Total:81268450016712474221110000000000000