Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances

Beat Atlanta 24-15, playoff odds up 13 to 56.9%
5-4-0   .556

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 +10.1
+0.7
+0.7
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 +1.3
+0.1
+0.1
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 +0.8
+0.1
New England 24 Seattle 31 -0.6
-0.0
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 -0.6
-0.0
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 +0.4
+0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 -0.4
-0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 -0.2
Tampa Bay 36 Chicago 10 -0.1
-0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 -0.1
-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati-1.7+2.5+2.7
-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Philadelphia-13.8-0.4+13.3
-1.2-0.2+1.2
-0.7+0.1+0.7
NY Giants vs Chicago-1.2+3.1+3.2
-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Green Bay-1.6-1.2+2.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Arizona+1.0-2.1-1.1
+0.1-0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Jacksonville-0.7+1.8+1.7
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.7+1.2-0.9
+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay+0.3+0.3-0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Miami-0.5+0.4+0.4
Dallas vs Baltimore-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.0+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
127-0-0In353006203,572,869,659
11.56-0-1100.0%17400772016,103,526
116-1-099.955108180015,313,984,608
5-0-299.95310829030,902
10.55-1-198.51110722410058,734,346
4-0-3In3682931
105-2-092.400005240700027,471,373,051
4-1-291.50000504180093,261
9.54-2-168.00000214727500086,967,862
3-1-365.9224428685
94-3-034.5000062840205000026,660,086,865
3-2-232.4005274022500110,271
8.53-3-17.70007293920400066,856,695
2-2-37.116274416670
83-4-00.70001620332711200015,115,785,687
2-3-20.5005193328122062,660
7.52-4-10.00016243724710028,162,792
1-3-3Out411432514428
72-5-00.000002133134163005,011,788,752
1-4-2Out02123035173017,429
6.51-5-1Out0052440255006,170,275
0-4-3Out33673
61-6-0Out000216423550901,004,609
0-5-2Out02154434501,952
5.50-6-1Out0110394280549,796
50-7-0Out000115829275,221,649
Total:56.9%210032211497532110094,385,976,864

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleAtlantaMinnesotaDetroitNY GiantsWashingtonArizonaNew OrleansGreen BayTampa BayLos AngelesCarolinaChicagoSan Francisco
127-0-012.5%38061614120034520100
11.56-0-110.021082118140035620100
116-1-08.410092520150046720100
5-0-27.98010252016004662110
10.55-1-17.121112820160046620100
4-0-39.731326161613310
105-2-06.401112718151046520100
4-1-26.30112271815003652010
9.54-2-14.501102113110034310000
3-1-33.591913115522
94-3-02.301511660012110000
3-2-22.2151156001211000
8.53-3-10.5013110000000000
2-2-3No133
83-4-00.0000000000000000
2-3-20.000000000000
7.52-4-10.00000000000000
1-3-3No
72-5-00.000000000000
1-4-2No
5-6.5No
Total:4.4%3.20.76.115.910.89.00.30.12.13.53.21.20.20.50.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/10100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 -1.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.0
Tampa Bay 36 Chicago 10 +0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 +0.0
San Diego 24 Miami 31 -0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 +0.0
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 +0.0
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 +0.0
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Philadelphia+1.2+0.3-1.2
NY Giants vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.2
Dallas vs Baltimore+0.0+0.0-0.1
Washington vs Green Bay+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.1+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Miami-0.0+0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
127-0-06292100056600
11.56-0-121522000679200
116-1-005141000433871000
5-0-205131004339810
10.55-1-1010110002645213100
4-0-33234529
105-2-000000000843211970000
4-1-200000008422220800
9.54-2-1000000002013342471000
3-1-312163824721
94-3-000000000642436245100000
3-2-20000542337256100
8.53-3-10000007519302411310000
2-2-316324213113
83-4-000000012102329221031000000
2-3-200029232922113100
7.52-4-1000001514242619820000
1-3-37293214144
72-5-000000016152425178200000
1-4-20016152426178200
6.51-5-10000131123302292000
0-4-3333333
61-6-00000151628281541000
0-5-201518292716400
5.50-6-100211303518400
50-7-0000182637226100
Total:020100001221813128554211111000000000