Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances

Beat Chicago 26-0, playoff odds up 17 to 31.1%
1-2-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle 26 Chicago 0 +4.0
+0.2
+0.8
St. Louis 6 Pittsburgh 12 +0.6
+0.1
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 -0.3
-0.0
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 -0.3
-0.0
Houston 19 Tampa Bay 9 +0.2
+0.0
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 -0.2
-0.1
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 -0.2
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +0.2
+0.1
NY Giants 32 Washington 21 +0.1
-0.0
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.4*-0.1+0.6
-0.0*+0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Detroit+6.1-3.5-11.8
+0.4*-0.5-0.7
+0.7*-0.2-1.3
Denver vs Minnesota+0.7*-0.6-1.1
+0.0*+0.3-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Houston-0.4*-0.6+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Giants+0.3*+0.7-0.5
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Dallas+0.2*-0.1-0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.3*+0.6-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.1*+0.4+0.2
Chicago vs Oakland-0.0-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1413-0-0In95501,866
13.512-0-1In92812
1312-1-0In801514017,090
12.511-1-1In672617149
1211-2-0In46325016094,952
11.510-2-1In313571252800
1110-3-099.9%132917235500323,269
9-2-2In3333333
10.59-3-199.6420194411202,585
109-4-094.9181773626500739,073
8-3-2In1443437
9.58-4-187.00397283912104,957
98-5-057.900471234281120001,197,321
7-4-262.56619311319616
8.57-5-131.71432436247107,252
87-6-010.2002172030241231001,415,336
6-5-2Out1950131916
7.56-6-11.50101722322410207,428
76-7-00.30000171727261551001,240,569
5-6-2Out412194241926
6.55-7-10.00014163129154005,523
65-8-00.0000151627291751800,017
4-7-2Out114422229
5.54-8-1Out041532321422,985
54-9-0Out00162035309379,055
3-8-2Out80205
4.53-9-1Out042448231,096
43-10-0Out002164438126,791
2-9-2Out50502
3.52-10-1Out043264256
32-11-0Out02257328,564
2.51-11-1Out99133
21-12-0Out08923,945
1.50-12-1Out33673
10-13-0Out199733
Total:31.1%23439111110998765326,401,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaAtlantaCarolinaGreen BayMinnesotaDallasNY GiantsWashingtonPhiladelphiaSt. LouisTampa BaySan FranciscoDetroitNew OrleansChicago
1413-0-014.8%1000
13.512-0-18.3Yes
1312-1-014.09500011110000000
12.511-1-115.493113111
1211-2-011.878112324322000000
11.510-2-19.166312546443110100
1110-3-08.242635879655110101
9-2-2No333333
10.59-3-16.12485612812856221111
109-4-04.791167131011866221111
8-3-214.3141429141414
9.58-4-13.631278131010755221111
98-5-02.208561067433110100
7-4-2No131319136
8.57-5-11.1433644212000000
87-6-00.40111211110000000
6-5-2No
7.56-6-10.00000000000000
76-7-00.0000000000000000
5-6-2No
6.55-7-1No0
65-8-00.0000000000
4-7-2No
1-5.5No
Total:1.7%4.73.62.22.44.33.03.32.21.71.60.50.50.20.40.20.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle 26 Chicago 0 -1.5
Dallas 28 Atlanta 39 +0.1
Cleveland 20 Oakland 27 +0.1
Carolina 27 New Orleans 22 -0.1
NY Jets 17 Philadelphia 24 +0.1
Minnesota 31 San Diego 14 -0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.0
Detroit 12 Denver 24 +0.0
New England 51 Jacksonville 17 -0.0
Arizona 47 San Francisco 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Detroit-1.3+0.7+2.5
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.1-0.3-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Carolina+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Oakland-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Denver vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Dallas+0.1*+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1413-0-089650
13.512-0-175178
1312-1-055251501400
12.511-1-140282617
1211-2-015312575001510
11.510-2-17242697012322
1110-3-01121019134202695000
9-2-2333333
10.59-3-1044161363027141210
109-4-001186116112251975000
8-3-214291443
9.58-4-10032852424231611200
98-5-0000044311282618137310000
7-4-2661962519666
8.57-5-10113312292021134100
87-6-000002010739151818148410000
6-5-21361350666
7.56-6-100001016142224189310
76-7-00000000013813171916116310000
5-6-2423831881244
6.55-7-1000127162324167200
65-8-00000025111721191473100
4-7-21144112211
5.54-8-1002617252616610
54-9-00000261424261981
3-8-220204020
4.53-9-10151934318
43-10-000211283821
2-9-25050
3.52-10-100143946
32-11-000053164
2.51-11-11288
21-12-00990
1.50-12-13367
10-13-0298
Total:01121221364754555544444333322211