Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 2.2 to 3.6%
1-4-0   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.3
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.3
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.2
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+1.3-1.7-2.3
+0.5-0.6-0.9
Washington vs Chicago+0.3*-0.3-0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.2*-0.1-0.3
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.2*-0.3+0.3
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.2*-0.3+0.3
Arizona vs Seattle-0.2*-0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.1*-0.2+0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1211-0-0In7316110600
11.510-0-1In333382639
1110-1-0In19311103714,673
9-0-2In50502
10.59-1-198.1%21219350112462
109-2-096.518163482030032,993
8-1-290.99182736911
9.58-2-173.4175243721602,780
98-3-055.5003415333211200134,871
7-2-250.552123236121107
8.57-3-111.4011927352151010,353
6-2-3Out3333333
87-4-05.6010420332811200362,116
6-3-26.61061636291010304
7.56-4-10.10001926352261023,659
5-3-3Out402020205
76-5-00.100001418343011200671,884
5-4-20.10052034291020691
6.55-5-1Out0011030381820037,432
4-4-3Out945182711
65-6-00.000016243826600877,962
4-5-2Out0522372960811
3-4-4Out1001
5.54-6-1Out042244274040,329
3-5-3Out294321714
54-7-0Out00215403480803,299
3-6-2Out214413580735
4.53-7-1Out02204927329,140
2-6-3Out10603010
43-8-0Out011342377503,878
2-7-2Out01242379367
3.52-8-1Out0224532113,574
1-7-3Out33673
32-9-0Out01155133206,378
1-8-2Out2134739127
2.51-9-1Out0339583,660
21-10-0Out01297049,510
0-9-2Out554511
1.50-10-1Out1585423
10-11-0Out7935,652
Total:3.6%0000123469121517161043,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1211-0-04.3%891014401001
11.510-0-1No6733313833
1110-1-03.7502443131323113100
9-0-2No5050
10.59-1-12.6145107717205423410
109-2-01.6961097171746334100
8-1-2No93691899
9.58-2-11.317119711103632210
98-3-00.70688677252111000
7-2-20.941476384321
8.57-3-10.11221111100000
6-2-3No
87-4-00.1111111010000000
6-3-2No11111101
7.56-4-10.000000000000
5-3-3No
76-5-00.000000000000
5-4-2No0
6.55-5-1No
65-6-0No00
4-5-2No
3-4-4No
1-5.5No
Total:0.1%0.20.30.50.50.40.50.50.20.30.10.10.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.1
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.1-0.1
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-1.0+0.6+1.9
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.1+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.0-0.1+0.0
Washington vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.0
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1211-0-046998146
11.510-0-133102353521
1110-1-019328560063210
9-0-25050
10.59-1-12111811318421022
109-2-0108115211471193000
8-1-2918272799
9.58-2-110623024182018710
98-3-0000313015429161693100
7-2-25212527201794
8.57-3-100110882126219310
6-2-3333333
87-4-000010042715212115831000
6-3-21005281722241263
7.56-4-1000001413222620103100
5-3-320204020
76-5-000000000138152121169410000
5-4-20128162122161031
6.55-5-100015122326209300
4-4-391845189
65-6-0000001391724221572000
4-5-203816242613820
3-4-4100
5.54-6-1003921302410200
3-5-3777292921
54-7-00002718282614300
3-6-20271829241540
4.53-7-100141632321320
2-6-320303020
43-8-00014163332132
2-7-2317333592
3.52-8-10052241265
1-7-3333333
32-9-00017304220
1-8-218225020
2.51-9-101184733
21-10-0073459
0-9-2183645
1.50-10-122672
10-11-011189
Total:00000000010211223344556778888752