Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 15-24, playoff odds down 4.5 to 82.5%
6-4-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 -4.9
-1.0
-0.5
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 +1.8
+0.1
+0.1
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 +0.6
+0.0
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 -0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Tampa Bay 36 Chicago 10 -0.2
New England 24 Seattle 31 -0.1
-0.5
-0.1
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 +0.1
+0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 -0.1
-0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 -0.1
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs New Orleans+2.8+1.4-3.5
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay+1.0+0.4-2.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Chicago-0.3+0.2+0.7
Washington vs Green Bay-0.3+0.2+0.5
Seattle vs Philadelphia+0.4+0.3-0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Arizona+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Jacksonville-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Baltimore-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
126-0-0In25621304,269,175,505
11.55-0-1In75240117,312,294
115-1-0100.0%449444000017,690,703,759
4-0-2In4484440029,196
10.54-1-1100.00206514000059,351,292
3-0-3In14681822
104-2-099.1013562712100029,934,907,127
3-1-299.40135627121079,210
9.53-2-197.1024051132100079,486,436
2-1-3In24947245
93-3-081.201225315972000026,308,915,346
2-2-283.002355149720078,742
8.52-3-166.70659028149200051,722,508
1-2-375.013593313932
82-4-035.902340021222198200012,582,447,839
1-3-236.423400212221971033,457
7.51-4-118.60190003163123710016,214,316
0-3-314.3141443297
71-5-04.6050002102733194003,072,477,517
0-4-23.430211293219305,295
6.50-5-10.710031737339001,934,665
60-6-0Out00193347110301,102,254
Total:82.5%216332912344321100094,385,976,864

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleMinnesotaPhiladelphiaDetroitNY GiantsWashingtonArizonaNew OrleansGreen BayTampa BayLos AngelesCarolinaChicagoSan Francisco
126-0-09.8%8700131331100000
11.55-0-17.85900393885211000
115-1-07.3531031039963110000
4-0-27.45210411399631100
10.54-1-15.320215185151595221100
3-0-3No145185141814555
104-2-04.813335205161595221100
3-1-24.813335205161510522110
9.53-2-13.92445244181795111100
2-1-36.722222427227272
93-3-03.11444224161483111000
2-2-23.2043422417158311100
8.52-3-12.50432202141261101000
1-2-3No28191693
82-4-01.302211118640000000
1-3-21.4211111874000000
7.51-4-10.711161432000000
0-3-3No14
71-5-00.2000101110000000
0-4-20.1000101100
6.50-5-10.00000000000
60-6-0No
Total:4.4%18.12.62.33.415.93.312.411.56.83.11.01.00.60.40.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/10100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 +0.9
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.2
New England 24 Seattle 31 +0.2
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 -0.1
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.0
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.3-0.2+0.4
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1+0.2
Minnesota vs Arizona+0.1+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Houston-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
126-0-0719461612000
11.55-0-116312139010
115-1-0041533404400000000
4-0-204143440440000
10.54-1-10021853121400000000
3-0-314551418
104-2-00011237192510121100000
3-1-2011237192610111100
9.53-2-100213274380112210000
2-1-3218314422
93-3-00015173716011447521000000
2-2-200518391601133652100
8.52-3-1006213800214910631000
1-2-313223833399
82-4-000282600000141015151162100000
1-3-202826000141015151152100
7.51-4-100118000000271622201141000
0-3-31429141429
71-5-0000500000013918242213510000
0-4-2030131017242313510
6.50-5-10100016183027133000
60-6-0000013122631206100
Total:02511211220800111222222111100000000