Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 6.8 to 34.8%
4-7-0   .364

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -8.9
-0.1
-1.0
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 +5.6
+0.1
+0.4
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 +0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 +0.0
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.1
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Arizona+12.0-3.5-8.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+1.4-0.1-1.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+5.6-8.5-9.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.6-0.6
Minnesota vs Carolina+2.3+2.2-4.0
+0.2+0.3-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0-0.2-0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.1-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Giants+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
95-0-0In019972,596,745
8.54-0-1In0100368,976
84-1-092.9%09300014200564,910,361
3-0-296.3960210753
7.53-1-182.182001161002,197,270
2-0-3In1001
73-2-065.36500616102001,616,484,978
2-1-261.862081810203,085
6.52-2-135.23552326101004,493,221
1-1-3Out1001
62-3-019.0192112530132002,128,370,371
1-2-216.016214272812204,004
5.51-3-13.23019333715203,745,017
0-2-3Out50502
51-4-00.3003163736801,276,719,236
0-3-20.2004213432801,529
4.50-4-1Out019434261,049,606
40-5-0Out3375010269,702,940
Total:34.8%003500003812151310405,940,648,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayPhiladelphiaDallasSeattleDetroitNew OrleansSan FranciscoChicagoSt. LouisMinnesota
95-0-01.2%02081022197015000
8.54-0-11.1187102219915000
84-1-01.11779191810013000
3-0-21.214711202210120
7.53-1-10.9136817171011000
2-0-3NoYes
73-2-00.71156131489000
2-1-20.68461414970
6.52-2-10.45237855000
1-1-3No
62-3-00.23124433000
1-2-20.121134220
5.51-3-10.00001110000
0-2-3No
51-4-00.00000000000
0-3-2No00
4-4.5No
Total:0.4%0.05.82.43.16.97.34.30.04.80.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 +2.0
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 -0.8
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 -0.1
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 -0.1
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 +0.1
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 -0.0
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Arizona-2.6+0.1+1.8
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-0.8+1.3+1.4
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.3-0.3+0.6
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.2
Jacksonville vs NY Giants-0.1-0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Miami+0.1-0.0-0.0
Detroit vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
95-0-0001495
8.54-0-10298
84-1-0009300000002320000
3-0-209601200
7.53-1-10820001583000
2-0-3100
73-2-00650002713103000
2-1-262028131130
6.52-2-1350006212511200
1-1-3100
62-3-01900031532246000
1-2-2160314332671
5.51-3-13006263922300
0-2-35050
51-4-00000218413170000
0-3-2000113413780
4.50-4-104284521300
40-5-0004244323500
Total:000035000000001258131311831000