"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0008 to 16.3%
2-5-0   .286

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Detroit+7.8+0.6-4.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+1.3+0.1-0.8
Carolina vs Seattle-3.8+1.9+2.8
-0.2+0.1+0.2
New Orleans vs Green Bay-2.5-1.7+1.7
-0.2-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.2*-0.0+0.2
New England vs Chicago+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs New Orleans-1.0+1.5+0.9
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.3-0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.3+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
119-0-0In1456273116,798
10.58-0-1In02054250873
108-1-099.9%0134837110001,250,379
7-0-2In67333
9.57-1-198.312175021009,095
97-2-092.600137513421006,490,135
6-1-287.1137410331
8.56-2-177.801750161051041,460
86-3-059.0015801512148200019,163,844
5-2-261.361710139111
7.55-3-138.5038016192211200102,306
75-4-019.6020000211242613300035,624,882
4-3-220.02001122725123240
6.54-4-17.8800212303115300158,311
3-3-3Out1001
64-5-02.020014163130142043,239,847
3-4-20.40006173231121276
5.53-5-10.30003153534121151,353
53-6-00.0000016233926534,312,086
2-5-2Out162241274191
4.52-6-1Out00527472089,018
42-7-0Out00218463417,173,857
1-6-2Out216513191
3.51-7-1Out03316629,516
31-8-0Out00223754,924,912
0-7-2Out5375819
2.50-8-1Out06944,268
20-9-0Out0397629,281
Total:16.3%0011500124710121414127163,513,184

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Atlanta finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
119-0-03.0%70345530133110000
10.58-0-10.921101115136128543000
108-1-01.4131311151662277330010
7-0-2No333333
9.57-1-10.91211215226116633000
97-2-00.902012152151155220000
6-1-26.51619296663
8.56-2-10.801910142040044220000
86-3-00.60148111430033110000
5-2-2No16712144324
7.55-3-10.395892002211000
75-4-00.2534510011000000
4-3-2No52343021
6.54-4-10.1212200000000
3-3-3No
64-5-00.0000000000000
3-4-2No0
5.53-5-10.00000000000
53-6-00.0000000000000
2-5-2No
2-4.5No
Total:0.2%0.23.72.23.03.70.80.10.10.90.90.40.30.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Detroit-2.4-0.6+1.5
Carolina vs Seattle+0.4-0.3-0.3
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.3+0.2-0.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.1+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.1-0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.0*+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
119-0-0014451101730
10.58-0-1002015392140
108-1-00013246162200000000
7-0-26733
9.57-1-1102026480011100
97-2-0000137680103122100000
6-1-2131361336
8.56-2-101571001136642000
86-3-000115700101258108520000
5-2-216012588115
7.55-3-10038000141015161041000
75-4-000200000001411182115720000
4-3-220131020201762
6.54-4-18002819272210200
3-3-3100
64-5-0020000131123282192000
3-4-201512182821113
5.53-5-1000292432238100
53-6-0000001616292915400
2-5-281833201461
4.52-6-10151934281120
42-7-00014163231142
1-6-27153129135
3.51-7-10162438265
31-8-00016254226
0-7-255263726
2.50-8-102164636
20-9-00032671
Total:000001014000000011123456899987531