Siemian Toast Crunch Playoff Chances 2016
Beat S Crouch 126.1-115.9, playoff odds up 18 to 40.4%
1-1-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lassiter 126.1 S Crouch 115.9 | +11.0 | +0.8 | ||
| Purvis 146.9 Flores 126.2 | +0.5 | |||
| Metheny 79.4 Smith 94.8 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lassiter vs McNichols | +8.8-5.3-13.6 | +0.6-0.3-0.9 | ||
| Flores vs Lippincott | -0.5+0.6+0.3 | |||
| S Crouch vs M Crouch | -0.1+1.0*+0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Smith vs Salsberry | -0.1+0.8*+0.0 | |||
| Purvis vs Metheny | +0.1+0.8-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lassiter finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 11 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 22,337 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 17,094 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | 161,574 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | 7,876 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 88 | 12 | 0 | 151,343 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 71 | 28 | 1 | 2,267 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 69 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 718,614 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 65 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 63,200 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 29 | 51 | 19 | 0 | 402 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 49 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 599,479 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 23 | 51 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 15,538 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 96.4 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 45 | 4 | 55 | |||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 23 | 50 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,883,405 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 15 | 48 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 218,489 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 90.4 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 2,459 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.0 | 6 | 36 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1,367,737 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 86.3 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 45,394 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 25.2 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 250 | ||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 87.7 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,205,985 | |||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 76.9 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 44 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 424,974 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 15.8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 5,719 | * | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 52.9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1,993,286 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 73,827 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 2 | 16 | 41 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 498 | * | |||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 16.7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3,723,564 | |||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 513,681 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 7,570 | * | ||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1,914,254 | ||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 70,788 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 4 | 27 | 53 | 16 | 457 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 2,971,435 | |||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 23 | 2 | 394,466 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 2 | 24 | 52 | 22 | 5,424 | * | ||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 1,221,448 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 18 | 53 | 27 | 40,348 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 1 | 34 | 64 | 183 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 52 | 19 | 1,615,543 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 13 | 52 | 34 | 187,367 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 29 | 69 | 2,031 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 46 | 495,921 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 26 | 73 | 12,682 | * | |||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 34 | 64 | 572,733 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 50,544 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 6 | 94 | 310 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 15 | 84 | 116,544 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 5 | 95 | 1,771 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 118,666 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 3 | 97 | 5,907 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 98 | 11,940 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 17,241 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 40.4 | % | 7 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 25,054,620 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
