The Force Interpolates Playoff Chances 2016Beat Metheny 94.8-79.4, playoff odds up 17.5 to 36.1% 1-1-0 .500 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Metheny 79.4 Smith 94.8 | +10.5 | | +0.8 | | Lassiter 126.1 S Crouch 115.9 | +0.3 | | | | Purvis 146.9 Flores 126.2 | +0.3 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Smith vs Salsberry | +13.0-1.9-11.3 | | +0.9-0.1-0.7 | | Lassiter vs McNichols | -0.9+0.7+1.3 | | | | Flores vs Lippincott | -0.5+0.6+0.3 | | | | Purvis vs Metheny | +0.1+0.9-0.1 | | | | S Crouch vs M Crouch | -0.1+0.9*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Smith finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 17,666 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 12,444 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | 122,603 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6,068 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 119,928 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 64 | 33 | 3 | | | | | | | | 1,817 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 585,628 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 61 | 36 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 51,694 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.7 | % | 24 | 48 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 357 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | 46 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 504,753 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | 20 | 49 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 12,966 | * | 8 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | 21 | 49 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1,640,974 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | 14 | 47 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 190,253 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 90.9 | | 1 | 13 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 0 | | | | | 2,080 | * | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.8 | | 6 | 35 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 1,235,474 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 85.4 | | 0 | 9 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | 41,306 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 24.6 | | | | 2 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 5 | | | | 240 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 86.6 | | 1 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 3,001,776 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 76.2 | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | 397,536 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 16.0 | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 35 | 10 | 1 | | | 5,528 | * | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 51.5 | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | 1,924,812 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 9.8 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | 70,765 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 477 | * | 6 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 15.4 | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | 3,726,965 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 4.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | 514,490 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 7,569 | * | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1,987,578 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 72,770 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 52 | 15 | 437 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 3,184,848 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 23 | 2 | 421,621 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 21 | 5,745 | * | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 38 | 6 | 1,353,571 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 53 | 27 | 44,818 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | 3 | 36 | 62 | 266 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 52 | 20 | 1,852,826 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 36 | 215,656 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 29 | 70 | 2,395 | * | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 49 | 587,238 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | 1 | 23 | 76 | 15,286 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | 48 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 700,506 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 18 | 82 | 61,785 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 398 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 147,338 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 2,199 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 155,440 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 7,787 | | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 16,149 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 21,746 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 36.1 | % | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 25,054,620 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |