How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Atletico Tucuman vs Palmeiras-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs Defensor Sporting-15.5+0.2+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5
Penarol vs Atletico Tucuman-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Defensor Sporting finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In10048,537,869*
155-0-1In99162,212,828
144-2-0In100061,478,634
134-1-1In937198,683,872
124-0-299.8%72270159,866,421
3-3-0In93752,350,531
113-2-199.969310252,646,370
103-1-294.231636404,610,366
2-4-099.46238124,968,266
93-0-361.9359381215,082,492
2-3-188.9206911159,886,066
82-2-246.6146521382,372,981
1-5-080.51170206,318,913
72-1-39.196823404,644,530
1-4-126.702767650,365,036
61-3-23.235740159,888,324
2-0-40.403961159,806,021
0-6-015.90167311664,440
51-2-30.102773252,616,007
0-5-10.6142576,320,057
41-1-4Out892198,668,787
0-4-20.00148624,973,860
31-0-5Out19962,226,033
0-3-3Out39752,363,781
20-2-4Out010061,485,973
0-1Out10048,540,790*
Total:50.0%252525253,511,579,248

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol-3.9+1.2+4.4
Atletico Tucuman vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Palmeiras vs Defensor Sporting+3.4+0.2-4.8
Penarol vs Atletico Tucuman+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-0791920000
155-0-15235112000010
144-2-030392271000000
134-1-192328201031060000
124-0-21412191912512061000000
3-3-0161725241451510000
113-2-100271621176131251000000
103-1-2000025111361518147310510000
2-4-00001311232351111731001000
93-0-30000030151115159220134100000
2-3-100003170271419179273100000
82-2-2001000141016148161594100000
1-5-00001000027182617475210000
72-1-3000002713915181814841000000
1-4-100000015201410161713731000000
61-3-2000300014916212014831000
2-0-40000000137131921181252000
0-6-0000150002613191914721000
51-2-30000000151118232114620
0-5-10100000137152222179310
41-1-400000138172526165
0-4-20000001411202622123
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001312273621
20-2-400002113552
10-1-5000021979
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333