Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 97.4%

7 points 2-1-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/17	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Alianza Lima vs Junior Barranquilla	-1.0+1.3+1.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras	-4.7+1.0+2.5		-0.4+0.1+0.2
Junior Barranquilla vs Alianza Lima	+1.6+1.2-1.2

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

14	-16						In		100				3,147,752	*
13		2	-	0	-	1	In		77	23			1,400,585
12		1	-	2	-	0	In		93	7			726,675
11		1	-	1	-	1	99.7	%	43	56	0		1,108,685
10		1	-	0	-	2	82.5		11	72	17		356,681
		0	-	3	-	0	In		53	47			98,680
9		0	-	2	-	1	85.6		9	77	14		215,283
8		0	-	1	-	2	46.1		0	46	54	0	131,346
7		0	-	0	-	3	10.7			11	81	8	20,025

Total:							97.4	%	76	21	3	0	7,205,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 4/17	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cerro Porteno 0 Gremio 0	-0.1
Libertad 2 Penarol 1	+0.1
Independiente 0 Corinthians 1	+0.1
Racing 4 Vasco da Gama 0	+0.1
Flamengo 1 Santa Fe 1	-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Alianza Lima vs Junior Barranquilla	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Universidad de Chile vs Cruzeiro	+0.0-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras	+3.5+0.3-2.4
Vasco da Gama vs Racing	-0.2-0.1+0.1
Penarol vs Libertad	-0.2-0.1+0.1
Junior Barranquilla vs Alianza Lima	-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atletico Nacional vs Bolivar	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Santos vs Estudiantes	+0.1-0.1-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Universidad de Chile	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Santa Fe vs Flamengo	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Deportivo Lara vs Millonarios	-0.1-0.0+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16	3	-	0	-	0	48	41	10	1	0
14	2	-	1	-	0	5	23	35	26	10	2	0	0
13	2	-	0	-	1	0	3	11	22	24	14	4	0	21	2	0	0
12	1	-	2	-	0	0	0	2	10	26	33	18	3	4	2	0	0	0
11	1	-	1	-	1	0	0	0	0	3	11	19	10	14	22	14	5	1	0	0		0	0
10	1	-	0	-	2				0	0	1	4	6	2	9	19	21	14	5	1	0	16	2	0	0
	0	-	3	-	0				0	0	4	21	28	2	9	15	13	6	1	0	0
9	0	-	2	-	1						0	1	8	0	1	6	15	24	20	9	2	10	4	0	0	0
8	0	-	1	-	2							0	0		0	0	1	4	12	18	11	17	21	11	3	1	0	0
7	0	-	0	-	3													0	0	3	7	3	12	22	24	17	9	3	1	0	0

Total:						10	14	13	12	10	8	6	3	7	5	4	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0