Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras	-15.5+0.2+20.8		-0.4+0.0+0.5
Alianza Lima vs Boca Juniors	-0.7+2.1-0.6

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

16	-18						In		100				6,882,260	*
15		5	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			8,827,291
14		4	-	2	-	0	In		100	0			8,725,034
13		4	-	1	-	1	In		93	7			28,201,501
12		4	-	0	-	2	99.8	%	72	27	0		22,681,223
		3	-	3	-	0	In		93	7			7,432,192
11		3	-	2	-	1	99.9		69	31	0		35,855,149
10		3	-	1	-	2	94.2		31	63	6		57,408,392
		2	-	4	-	0	99.4		62	38	1		3,541,243
9		3	-	0	-	3	61.9		3	59	38	1	30,530,571
		2	-	3	-	1	88.9		20	69	11		22,688,981
8		2	-	2	-	2	46.6		1	46	52	1	54,269,989
		1	-	5	-	0	80.4		11	70	20		895,902
7		2	-	1	-	3	9.1			9	68	23	57,420,632
		1	-	4	-	1	26.6		0	27	67	6	7,150,509
6		1	-	3	-	2	3.2			3	57	40	22,687,362
		2	-	0	-	4	0.4			0	39	61	22,674,844
		0	-	6	-	0	16.0		0	16	73	11	94,312
5		1	-	2	-	3	0.1			0	27	73	35,841,539
		0	-	5	-	1	0.6			1	42	57	899,249
4		1	-	1	-	4	Out				8	92	28,201,453
		0	-	4	-	2	0.0			0	14	86	3,543,092
3		1	-	0	-	5	Out				1	99	8,833,249
		0	-	3	-	3	Out				3	97	7,429,823
2		0	-	2	-	4	Out				0	100	8,726,495
0	-1						Out					100	6,886,753	*

Total:							50.0	%	25	25	25	25	498,329,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27	100.0*	Lottery seed
Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras	+3.4+0.2-4.8
Alianza Lima vs Boca Juniors	+0.1-0.2+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	6	-	0	-	0	96	4	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	0	79	19	2	0	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	1	52	35	11	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	30	39	22	7	1	0	0	0	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	1	9	23	28	20	10	3	1	0	6	0	0	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	2	1	4	12	19	19	12	5	1	20	6	1	0	0	0	0		0	0
	3	-	3	-	0	1	6	17	25	24	14	5	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	7	16	21	17	6	13	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	3	-	1	-	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	13	6	15	18	14	7	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	23	23	5	11	11	7	3	1	0	0	1	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	3			0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	5	11	15	15	9	2	20	13	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1			0	0	0	0	3	17	0	2	7	14	19	17	9	2	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	2						0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	14	8	16	15	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0						0	0	10	0	0	0	2	7	18	26	17	4	7	5	2	1	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	3										0	0	0	0	0	2	7	1	3	9	15	18	18	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1								0			0	0	0	1	5	20	1	4	10	16	17	13	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	2													0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	20	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
	2	-	0	-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	13	19	21	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0								0						0	0	16	0	0	0	2	6	13	19	19	13	7	2	1	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	3															0	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	5	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0
	0	-	5	-	1															0	1		0	0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	9	3	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	4																					0	0	0	0	1	3	8	17	25	25	16	5
	0	-	4	-	2																0					0	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	26	22	12	3
3	1	-	0	-	5																								0	0	0	0	3	10	25	37	25
	0	-	3	-	3																							0	0	0	0	1	3	12	27	36	21
2	0	-	2	-	4																										0	0	0	2	11	35	52
1	0	-	1	-	5																											0	0	0	2	19	79
0	0	-	0	-	6																													0	0	4	96

Total:						3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3