How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jorge Wilstermann vs Penarol+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Atletico Tucuman vs Palmeiras-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs Jorge Wilstermann-15.5+0.2+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5
Penarol vs Atletico Tucuman-0.7+2.1-0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Jorge Wilstermann finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100425,516*
155-0-1In991546,081
144-2-0In1000539,084
134-1-1In9371,746,548
124-0-299.8%722701,404,680
3-3-0In937460,349
113-2-199.9693102,220,721
103-1-294.2316363,553,193
2-4-099.462381218,460
93-0-361.93593811,889,428
2-3-188.92069111,404,448
82-2-246.61465213,357,346
1-5-080.511702055,464
72-1-39.1968233,552,949
1-4-126.8027676443,461
61-3-23.2357401,404,048
2-0-40.4039611,402,895
0-6-015.901673115,814
51-2-30.1027732,220,478
0-5-10.61425755,257
41-1-4Out8921,746,237
0-4-20.001486219,036
31-0-5Out199546,174
0-3-3Out397459,313
20-2-4Out0100539,962
0-1Out100426,466*
Total:50.0%2525252530,843,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Jorge Wilstermann vs Penarol-3.9+1.2+4.4
Atletico Tucuman vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Palmeiras vs Jorge Wilstermann+3.4+0.2-4.8
Penarol vs Atletico Tucuman+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-079192000
155-0-1523511200010
144-2-03039227100000
134-1-192328201031060000
124-0-2141219191251206100000
3-3-016172524145151000
113-2-10027162117613125100000
103-1-200002511136151814731051000
2-4-000131124235111173100100
93-0-300003015111515922013410000
2-3-100031702714191792731000
82-2-200100014101614816159410000
1-5-0011002718261747521000
72-1-30000271391518181484100000
1-4-1000152114101617137310000
61-3-200300014916212014831000
2-0-4000000137131921181252000
0-6-001150027121920147300
51-2-30000000151018232114620
0-5-1100138152123179310
41-1-40000138172526165
0-4-200001411202622123
31-0-5000310253725
0-3-30001312273622
20-2-40002113552
10-1-50021979
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333