How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Melgar vs San Lorenzo-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Lorenzo vs Junior Barranquilla-15.5+0.2+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5
Palmeiras vs Melgar-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Junior Barranquilla finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In1008,066,186*
155-0-1In99110,346,185
144-2-0In100010,221,183
134-1-1In93733,031,019
124-0-299.8%7227026,571,745
3-3-0In9378,698,948
113-2-199.96931042,008,244
103-1-294.23163667,274,724
2-4-099.4623814,153,286
93-0-361.935937135,762,152
2-3-188.920691126,572,597
82-2-246.614652163,580,307
1-5-080.51170201,049,606
72-1-39.19682367,258,670
1-4-126.70276768,378,012
61-3-23.23574026,583,853
2-0-40.40396126,566,243
0-6-016.00167311110,086
51-2-30.10277341,995,648
0-5-10.6142571,051,744
41-1-4Out89233,032,700
0-4-20.0014864,147,633
31-0-5Out19910,340,329
0-3-3Out3978,710,541
20-2-4Out010010,227,158
0-1Out1008,075,457*
Total:50.0%25252525583,814,256

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras-3.9+1.2+4.4
Melgar vs San Lorenzo+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
San Lorenzo vs Junior Barranquilla+3.4+0.2-4.8
Palmeiras vs Melgar+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-079192000
155-0-15235112000010
144-2-030392271000000
134-1-192328201031060000
124-0-21412191912512061000000
3-3-016172524145151000
113-2-1002716211761312510000000
103-1-2000025111361518147310510000
2-4-0000131123235111173100100
93-0-30000030151115159220134100000
2-3-100003170271419179273100000
82-2-200100014101614816159410000
1-5-000100002718261747521000
72-1-300000271391518181484100000
1-4-1000001520141016171373100000
61-3-2000300014916212014831000
2-0-40000000137131921181252000
0-6-000016000261320191472100
51-2-30000000151118232114620
0-5-101000137152222179310
41-1-400000138172526165
0-4-20000001411202622123
31-0-50000310253725
0-3-30001312273621
20-2-400002113552
10-1-500021979
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333