How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Zamora vs Nacional-15.5+0.2+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5
Atletico-MG vs Cerro Porteno-0.7+2.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nacional vs Atletico-MG+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Cerro Porteno vs Zamora-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Nacional finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100443,403*
155-0-1In991570,162
144-2-0In1000561,902
134-1-1In9371,818,531
124-0-299.8%722801,462,548
3-3-0In937478,312
113-2-199.9693102,312,139
103-1-294.2316363,702,381
2-4-099.462381227,992
93-0-361.93593811,969,030
2-3-188.82069111,463,466
82-2-246.61465213,500,725
1-5-080.411702057,770
72-1-39.1968233,698,723
1-4-126.6027676460,652
62-0-40.4039611,463,158
1-3-23.2357401,461,853
0-6-016.31673116,068
51-2-30.1027732,307,944
0-5-10.61425757,990
41-1-4Out8921,820,802
0-4-20.001486228,571
31-0-5Out199569,358
0-3-3Out397478,763
20-2-4Out0100563,243
0-1Out100444,322*
Total:50.0%2525252532,129,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5100.0*Lottery seed
Zamora vs Nacional+3.4+0.2-4.8
Atletico-MG vs Cerro Porteno+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12100.0*Lottery seed
Nacional vs Atletico-MG-3.9+1.2+4.4
Cerro Porteno vs Zamora+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-07919200
155-0-1513511200010
144-2-0303922710000
134-1-19232820103106000
124-0-2141219191251206100000
3-3-016172524145151000
113-2-10027162117613125100000
103-1-200002511136151814731051000
2-4-000131123235111173100100
93-0-300003015111515922013410000
2-3-10000317027141917927310000
82-2-200100014101614816159410000
1-5-0001000271826174752100
72-1-30000271391518181484100000
1-4-10000152014101617138310000
62-0-4000000137131921181252000
1-3-200300014916212014731000
0-6-001600261418201372100
51-2-30000000151118232114620
0-5-11000137152222179310
41-1-4000138172525165
0-4-200001411202623123
31-0-50000310253725
0-3-30001312273621
20-2-40002113552
10-1-500021979
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333