"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
E. de Merida 3 Alianza Lima 2 -1.3
-0.2
Racing 0 Nacional 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Alianza Lima vs Racing+3.8-0.9Out
+0.2-0.0-0.1
E. de Merida vs Nacional-0.6-0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Alianza Lima finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
93-0-073.0%0732727,049
72-1-025.526732180,629
62-0-14.557916497,640
51-2-0Out6337277,945
41-1-1Out38621,405,606
31-0-2Out14861,731,131
0-3-0Out100118,662
0-2Out1004,414,346*
Total:1.0%0117828,653,008

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
E. de Merida 3 Alianza Lima 2 +1.8
U. Catolica 2 Gremio 0 +0.3
I. Medellin 2 Caracas 3 -0.1
Binacional 0 LDU 1 -0.1
Internacional 4 America de Cali 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Tigre-0.1+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Lottery seed
Alianza Lima vs Racing-3.5-0.0+1.3
I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors+0.4+0.1-0.1
Delfin vs Santos+0.3+0.1-0.1
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Junior vs I. del Valle+0.2+0.1-0.0
Tigre vs Bolivar+0.1+0.0-0.1
E. de Merida vs Nacional+0.2+0.1-0.1
Binacional vs River Plate+0.2+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
93-0-000141219211341871000
72-1-0000171821120211451000
62-0-100400261523231672000
51-2-0000161526271761000
41-1-100027182625156100
31-0-2000141326291971
0-3-00041531301540
20-2-1052337278
10-1-216234129
00-0-3032275
Total:00000000100111223467911141821