"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Alianza Lima vs Boca Juniors+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Alianza Lima finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In1006,886,587*
155-0-1In9918,822,568
144-2-0In10008,727,758
134-1-1In93728,190,882
124-0-299.8%7227022,681,819
3-3-0In9377,430,716
113-2-199.96931035,850,077
103-1-294.23163657,406,936
2-4-099.4623813,543,119
93-0-361.935938130,532,633
2-3-188.920691122,687,900
82-2-246.614652154,257,946
1-5-080.5117020897,671
72-1-39.19682357,440,605
1-4-126.70276767,148,606
61-3-23.23574022,688,915
2-0-40.40396122,683,759
0-6-016.1016731193,621
51-2-30.10277335,843,310
0-5-10.614257897,206
41-1-4Out89228,195,276
0-4-20.0014863,544,770
31-0-5Out1998,826,474
0-3-3Out3977,434,690
20-2-4Out01008,725,236
0-1Out1006,889,960*
Total:50.0%25252525498,329,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Lottery seed
Alianza Lima vs Boca Juniors-3.9+1.2+4.4
Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-096400
165-1-079192000
155-0-152351120000100
144-2-03039227100000
134-1-19232820103106000
124-0-21412191912512061000000
3-3-016172524145151000
113-2-100271621176131251000000
103-1-200002511136151814731051000
2-4-0000131123235111173100100
93-0-3000003015111515922013410000
2-3-10000317027141917927310000
82-2-20001000141016148161594100000
1-5-000100002718261747521000
72-1-3000002713915181814841000000
1-4-100001520141016171373100000
61-3-2000300014916212014831000
2-0-4000000137131921181252000
0-6-000016000261319191472100
51-2-30000000151018232114620
0-5-1010000137152222179310
41-1-400000138172526165
0-4-2000001411202622123
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-30001312273621
20-2-400002113552
10-1-500021979
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333