How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
I. del Valle 5 Flamengo 0 -1.6
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Barcelona SC vs Junior*+0.0+4.5-2.9
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo-18.9+1.2+9.2
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Junior vs I. del Valle-12.6-1.7+1.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
153-0-0In6535278,789
132-1-0In1585817,168
122-0-1100.0%29801,764,861
111-2-0In199575,460
101-1-198.309822,020,983
91-0-285.50851501,448,623
0-3-098.4982118,904
80-2-184.08416556,674
70-1-245.846541754,315
60-0-34.447322317,231
Total:87.9%4841118,653,008
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
I. del Valle 5 Flamengo 0 +2.2
U. Catolica 2 Gremio 0 -0.1
Santos 0 Olimpia 0 -0.1
Bolivar 1 Palmeiras 2 +0.1
Internacional 4 America de Cali 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Barcelona SC vs Junior+0.0-0.2+0.1
Guarani vs Tigre+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Lottery seed
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo+3.4+0.8-2.2
Alianza Lima vs Racing-0.2-0.1+0.1
Junior vs I. del Valle+0.2-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.2+0.0-0.1
Caracas vs Libertad-0.0-0.1+0.1
Internacional vs Gremio-0.0-0.0+0.1
Defensa y Justicia vs Olimpia-0.0-0.1+0.1
Binacional vs River Plate-0.1-0.1+0.0
Delfin vs Santos-0.1-0.0+0.0
E. de Merida vs Nacional+0.1+0.0-0.0
America de Cali vs U. Catolica+0.0-0.1+0.0
I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
153-0-0417251541003500
132-1-0001354207113100
122-0-10000110433814300000
111-2-0000000153330165100
101-1-100001616252616611000
91-0-2000014132528145631000
0-3-0001516313214110000
80-2-100172947145410000
70-1-200442014101513831000
60-0-304001411222620930000
Total:0111100018139899910111122111000000