How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Huracan vs Cruzeiro-15.5+0.2+20.8
-0.4+0.0+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruzeiro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In1006,886,782*
155-0-1In9918,834,104
144-2-0In10008,727,715
134-1-1In93728,197,020
124-0-299.8%7227022,684,657
3-3-0In9377,431,925
113-2-199.96931035,852,159
103-1-294.23163657,423,647
2-4-099.4623813,540,847
93-0-361.935938130,520,684
2-3-188.920691122,695,537
82-2-246.614652154,262,640
1-5-080.5117019896,498
72-1-39.19682357,416,130
1-4-126.60276767,152,041
61-3-23.23574022,686,123
2-0-40.40396122,682,228
0-6-016.2016731193,675
51-2-30.10277335,843,738
0-5-10.614257896,699
41-1-4Out89228,195,677
0-4-20.0014863,538,608
31-0-5Out1998,825,019
0-3-3Out3977,431,983
20-2-4Out01008,726,025
0-1Out1006,886,879*
Total:50.0%25252525498,329,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Lottery seed
Huracan vs Cruzeiro+3.4+0.2-4.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-079192000
155-0-152351120000100
144-2-03039227100000
134-1-192328201031060000
124-0-21412191912512061000000
3-3-0161725241451510000
113-2-100271621176131251000000
103-1-200002511136151814731051000
2-4-00001311232351111731001000
93-0-30000030151115159220134100000
2-3-10000317027141917927310000
82-2-20001000141016148161594100000
1-5-000100002718261747521000
72-1-30000271391518181484100000
1-4-100001520141016171373100000
61-3-2000300014916212014831000
2-0-4000000137131921181252000
0-6-000016000261319191372100
51-2-30000000151118232114620
0-5-101000137152222179310
41-1-400000138172526165
0-4-20000001411202622123
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001312273621
20-2-40002113552
10-1-5000021979
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333