Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.ChangeRPIStrength5/2
Palmeiras103-1-0397.0%+0.0871031.25.614Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Jorge Wilstermann62-0-2377.9-0.012661932.127.598Club Jorge Wilstermann
Atletico Tucuman41-1-2-117.3-0.011655283.122.443PenarolClub Atletico Tucuman
Penarol31-0-3-57.8+0.0824693.616.367at Atletico TucumanClub Atletico Penarol

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/26
Penarol 2 Palmeiras 3
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+6.6
+0.2
Jorge Wilstermann+2.6
-0.1
Atletico Tucuman-0.8
+0.0
Penarol-8.5
-0.2
Week of 5/2
Jorge Wilstermann vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras92.9InIn
1.41.01.0
Jorge Wilstermann94.776.257.9
1.82.22.5
Atletico Tucuman9.615.528.3
3.23.13.0
Penarol2.78.313.8
3.73.63.5
Atletico Tucuman vs PenarolHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras93.8InIn
Jorge Wilstermann73.686.8*77.9
2.22.02.1
Atletico Tucuman32.65.10.6
2.63.23.8
PenarolOut8.121.4
4.03.72.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.